An Iterative Approach toward Development of Ensemble Visualization Techniques for High-Impact Winter Weather Hazards Part I: Product Development
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 104(9), E1630–E1648.
author keywords: Uncertainty; Ensembles; Forecasting techniques; Probability forecasts/models/ distribution; Risk assessment; Model interpretation and visualization
TL;DR:
A suite of probabilistic winter weather forecasting visualizations for High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) system output was developed, found to have the greatest utility due to their association with impact decision support services (IDSS), and forecasters assessed snowfall rates as the most impactful variable.
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