TY - SOUND TI - Let’s Talk Pollinator Gardening AU - Seth Carley, D. AU - Spafford, A. DA - 2021/6/24/ PY - 2021/6/24/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - TRLN Remote Rap: Pollinator Gardening for the South AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/6/14/ PY - 2021/6/14/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Pollinator Plantings for Bees and Butterflies AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/4/18/ PY - 2021/4/18/ ER - TY - JOUR TI - Estimation of water stress tolerance of six woody plant species AU - Seth Carley, D. AU - Gragg, L.A. AU - Taggart, M.J. AU - Rufty, T.W. T2 - Horticulture International Journal DA - 2021/3// PY - 2021/3// DO - 10.15406/hij.2021.05.00205 VL - 5 IS - 2 SP - 64–72 UR - https://doi.org/10.15406/hij.2021.05.00205 ER - TY - JOUR TI - Making the Case for Regulatory Science in Agriculture AU - Seth Carley, D. AU - Armbrust, K. T2 - ACS Agricultural Science and Technology AB - ADVERTISEMENT RETURN TO ISSUEViewpointNEXTMaking the Case for Regulatory Science in AgricultureDanesha G. Seth Carley*Danesha G. Seth CarleyNorth Carolina State University, 1730 Varsity Drive, Suite 110, Venture IV Building, Raleigh, North Carolina 27606, United States*Phone: 919.621.2012. Email: [email protected]More by Danesha G. Seth Carleyhttp://orcid.org/0000-0001-7891-8530 and Kevin L. ArmbrustKevin L. ArmbrustLouisiana State University, 1279 Energy, Coast and Environment Building, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 70803, United StatesMore by Kevin L. Armbrusthttp://orcid.org/0000-0001-5894-3675Cite this: ACS Agric. Sci. Technol. 2021, 1, 3, 115–116Publication Date (Web):April 27, 2021Publication History Received9 January 2021Accepted12 April 2021Revised5 April 2021Published online27 April 2021Published inissue 21 June 2021https://doi.org/10.1021/acsagscitech.1c00011Copyright © 2021 American Chemical SocietyRIGHTS & PERMISSIONSArticle Views118Altmetric-Citations-LEARN ABOUT THESE METRICSArticle Views are the COUNTER-compliant sum of full text article downloads since November 2008 (both PDF and HTML) across all institutions and individuals. These metrics are regularly updated to reflect usage leading up to the last few days.Citations are the number of other articles citing this article, calculated by Crossref and updated daily. Find more information about Crossref citation counts.The Altmetric Attention Score is a quantitative measure of the attention that a research article has received online. Clicking on the donut icon will load a page at altmetric.com with additional details about the score and the social media presence for the given article. Find more information on the Altmetric Attention Score and how the score is calculated. Share Add toView InAdd Full Text with ReferenceAdd Description ExportRISCitationCitation and abstractCitation and referencesMore Options Share onFacebookTwitterWechatLinked InReddit Read OnlinePDF (602 KB) Get e-AlertsSUBJECTS:Agriculture,Biotechnology,Crops,Food,Safety Get e-Alerts DA - 2021/4// PY - 2021/4// DO - 10.1021/acsagscitech.1c00011 VL - 1 IS - 3 SP - 115-116 UR - https://doi.org/10.1021/acsagscitech.1c00011 ER - TY - JOUR TI - Presence of pollinator-friendly habitat on pollinator communities in managed turfgrass systems AU - Billeisen, T.L. AU - Kilpatrick, L.D. AU - Seth Carley, D. AU - Brandenburg, R.L. T2 - International Turfgrass Society Research Journal AB - Abstract Insect pollinator community dynamics in established turfgrass systems is a topic of continuing study. This research examines pollinator abundance and diversity in two turfgrass environments (golf courses and home lawns) and whether populations are affected by the establishment of pollinator‐friendly habitat. Sites adjacent to managed green spaces were selected based on site suitability for management and monitored monthly from July through October 2018 for insect pollinators using a combination of sweep netting and pan traps prior to habitat establishment. Insect sampling was repeated in 2019 post‐establishment. Wildflower presence increased bee abundance but did not impact species richness. DA - 2021/4// PY - 2021/4// DO - 10.1002/its2.56 VL - 4 ER - TY - SOUND TI - Successfully Plan, Plant, and Promote Gardens for Pollinators AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/10/18/ PY - 2021/10/18/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Protecting and Promoting Native Pollinators in the Landscape AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/3/23/ PY - 2021/3/23/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Let's Talk Pollinator Gardening: Plan, plant, and IPM your way to successful and beautiful pollinator gardens AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/1/13/ PY - 2021/1/13/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Let's Talk Pollinator Gardening: Plan, Plant, and Maintain Successful and Beautiful Pollinator Gardens AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/10/14/ PY - 2021/10/14/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Plan, Plant, and Maintain Beautiful Pollinator Gardens AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/7/19/ PY - 2021/7/19/ M3 - (Virtually, ER - TY - SOUND TI - Center overview and introduction AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/9/15/ PY - 2021/9/15/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - How to Select Pollinator-Friendly Easy-to-Maintain Landscape Plants that Offer Multiple Ecosystem Benefits to Golf Courses and Landscapes AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/8// PY - 2021/8// ER - TY - SOUND TI - Pollinator Friendly Gardening AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/5/27/ PY - 2021/5/27/ UR - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PQfSV_hI0gg ER - TY - SOUND TI - Let’s Talk about Pollinator Gardening AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/4/12/ PY - 2021/4/12/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Pollinator Gardening in the South AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/3/11/ PY - 2021/3/11/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Protecting Pollinators in Your NC Landscape AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/3/10/ PY - 2021/3/10/ ER - TY - SOUND TI - Let's Talk Pollinator Gardening: Plan, plant, and maintain your way to successful and beautiful pollinator gardens AU - Seth Carley, D. DA - 2021/2/6/ PY - 2021/2/6/ ER - TY - BOOK TI - Pollinator Gardening for the South: Creating Sustainable Habitats AU - Seth Carley, D. AU - Spafford, A. DA - 2021/3// PY - 2021/3// SP - 152 PB - UNC Press ER - TY - JOUR TI - A polyketide synthase gene cluster required for pathogenicity of Pseudocercospora fijiensis on banana AU - Thomas, Elizabeth AU - Noar, Roslyn D. AU - Daub, Margaret E. T2 - PLOS ONE AB - Pseudocercospora fijiensis is the causal agent of the highly destructive black Sigatoka disease of banana. Previous research has focused on polyketide synthase gene clusters in the fungus, given the importance of polyketide pathways in related plant pathogenic fungi. A time course study of expression of the previously identified PKS7-1, PKS8-2, and PKS10-2 gene clusters showed high expression of all three PKS genes and the associated clustered genes in infected banana plants from 2 weeks post-inoculation through 9 weeks. Engineered transformants silenced for PKS8-2 and PKS10-2 were developed and tested for pathogenicity. Inoculation of banana plants with silencing transformants for PKS10-2 showed significant reduction in disease symptoms and severity that correlated with the degree of silencing in the conidia used for inoculation, supporting a critical role for PKS10-2 in disease development. Unlike PKS10-2, a clear role for PKS8-2 could not be determined. Two of four PKS8-2 silencing transformants showed reduced disease development, but disease did not correlate with the degree of PKS8-2 silencing in the transformants. Overall, the degree of silencing obtained for the PKS8-2 transformants was less than that obtained for the PKS10-2 transformants, which may have limited the utility of the silencing strategy to identify a role for PKS8-2 in disease. Orthologous PKS10-2 clusters had previously been identified in the related banana pathogens Pseudocercospora musae and Pseudocercospora eumusae. Genome analysis identified orthologous gene clusters to that of PKS10-2 in the newly sequenced genomes of Pseudocercospora fuligena and Pseudocercospora cruenta, pathogens of tomato and cowpea, respectively. Our results support an important role for the PKS10-2 polyketide pathway in pathogenicity of Pseudocercospora fijiensis, and suggest a possible role for this pathway in disease development by other Pseudocercospora species. DA - 2021/10/27/ PY - 2021/10/27/ DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0258981 VL - 16 IS - 10 SP - SN - 1932-6203 ER - TY - JOUR TI - Simulation-Based Investigation of the Performance of Delimiting Trapping Surveys for Insect Pests AU - Caton, Barney P. AU - Fang, Hui AU - Manoukis, Nicholas C. AU - Pallipparambil, Godshen R. T2 - JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC ENTOMOLOGY AB - Abstract Fully trapped survey designs are widely used to delimit adventive pests populations that can be detected using traps and lures. Delimitation includes verifying the presence of the pest and determining its spatial extent. The size and shape of the survey design and the density of traps can vary; however, resulting variation in detecting efficiency is often unknown. We used a trapping network simulation model with diffusion-based insect movement to investigate delimiting survey trapping design performance for fully trapped and some modified designs. Simulations included randomized outbreak locations in a core area and a duration of 30 d. We assessed impacts of insect dispersal ability, grid size and shape, and trap attractiveness and density on survey performance, measured as mean probability of capturing individual pests [p(capture)]. Most published grids are square, but circles performed equally well and are more efficient. Over different grid sizes, p(capture) increased for insects with greater dispersal ability but was generally unresponsive to size because most captures occurred in central areas. For low dispersing insects, the likelihood of egress was approximately zero with a 3.2-km square grid, whereas an 11.3-km grid was needed to contain highly vagile insects. Trap attractiveness affected p(capture) more strongly than density: lower densities of poorly attractive traps may underperform expectations. Variable density designs demonstrated potential for cost savings but highlighted that resource-intensive outer bands are critical to boundary determination. Results suggesting that many grids are oversized need empirical verification, whereas other principles, such as using circular shapes, are readily adoptable now. DA - 2021/12// PY - 2021/12// DO - 10.1093/jee/toab184 VL - 114 IS - 6 SP - 2581-2590 SN - 1938-291X UR - https://publons.com/wos-op/publon/41676571/ KW - invasive species KW - delimitation survey KW - modeling KW - pest management KW - survey and detection ER - TY - JOUR TI - Quantifying insect dispersal distances from trapping detections data to predict delimiting survey radii AU - Caton, Barney P. AU - Fang, Hui AU - Manoukis, Nicholas C. AU - Pallipparambil, Godshen R. T2 - JOURNAL OF APPLIED ENTOMOLOGY AB - Abstract The spread potential of invasive pests is a major concern for delimitation, quarantine and eradication efforts. We analysed trapping survey detections data for five insects and one low‐dispersing mollusc to quantify 30‐day dispersal kernels (mean total distance [MTD], m). We hypothesized that MTD would increase with species’ reported diffusion coefficients ( D , m 2 per day), and that D could be used to predict containment radius lengths for delimiting surveys for exotic pests. We collected trapping data for the following six invasive pest species: European grapevine moth (EGVM; Lobesia botrana [Denis & Schiffermüller]), Giant African land snail (GALS; Lissachatina fulica [Bowdich]), Japanese beetle (JB; Popillia japonica [Newman]), Mediterranean fruit fly (Medfly; Ceratitis capitata [Wiedemann]), Mexican fruit fly (Mexfly; Anastrepha ludens [Loew]) and Oriental fruit fly (OFF; Bactrocera dorsalis [Hendel]). We used K‐means clustering to group detections that were proximate in space and time, then finalized them manually. We calculated MTD from the cluster centroid for each detection. Probability histograms for MTD were fit to a two‐parameter exponential function, and from those functions we estimated species’ dispersal limits for four percentiles (99th to 99.99th). The least vagile species, GALS and EGVM, had the greatest decay rates, and smallest MTD and percentile distances. OFF, with the greatest reported D , had the smallest decay rates and greatest MTD and percentile distances. Medfly, Mexfly and JB had intermediate MTD and percentile distances. Each regression of percentile distance as a logarithmic function of D fit the data well. The best regression used adjusted 99.9th percentile distances. These empirical results indicated that many delimiting surveys currently in use are oversized; adopting the new recommendations could yield significant cost savings. These results could be a general solution for estimating delimiting survey radii (for durations of ca. 30 days) across a wide range of insect dispersal abilities. DA - 2021/10/28/ PY - 2021/10/28/ DO - 10.1111/jen.12940 VL - 10 SP - SN - 1439-0418 KW - Anastrepha ludens KW - Bactrocera dorsalis KW - Ceratitis capitata KW - diffusion KW - Lobesia botrana KW - Popillia japonica ER - TY - JOUR TI - Recent Immigrant Insect Fauna-Another Look at a Classic Analysis AU - Takeuchi, Yu AU - Koch, Frank H. AU - Nelson, Stacy A. C. T2 - JOURNAL OF INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT AB - Abstract In 1978, Reece Sailer published a seminal retrospective entitled ‘Our Immigrant Insect Fauna.’ His goals were to better understand the origins and historical patterns of alien insect species introductions into the United States and establish a baseline for future work to improve our ability to respond to environmental and agricultural well-being threats. We updated Sailer’s study to include information on species introduced recently into the United States and that are now targeted by regulatory agencies. The recent trends (recorded through 2016) are different from those reported by Sailer. Asian-origin species are much more important than in 1978 and predominate today. Nevertheless, introductions from all parts of the world have continued. Although the diversity of alien species’ origins has increased through time, there has not been a corresponding change in the rate of introductions of species of phytosanitary importance. This finding is inconsistent with our original assumption of a positive nonlinear relationship with international trade imports. Our findings will assist in identifying and prioritizing potential high-risk plant pests as well as enhancing biosecurity capacities. DA - 2021/1/1/ PY - 2021/1/1/ DO - 10.1093/jipm/pmab034 VL - 12 IS - 1 SP - SN - 2155-7470 UR - https://doi.org/10.1093/jipm/pmab034 KW - invasive species KW - phytosanitary KW - immigrant fauna KW - invasive trend KW - trade ER - TY - JOUR TI - A Brief Review of Resseliella citrifrugis (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae), a Lesser-Known Destructive Citrus Fruit Pest AU - Xia, Yulu AU - Ouyang, Ge-Cheng AU - Takeuchi, Yu T2 - JOURNAL OF INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT AB - Abstract The gall midge, Resselielia citrifrugis Jiang (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae), is a major citrus pest in China. The pest occurs widely in regions with tropical, subtropical, and temperate climates. Larvae feed inside the fruit, leading to premature fruit drop or damaged fruits. An infested fruit can have hundreds of larvae in it. The extent of losses varies, usually between 10 and 100%, depending on the grove management level. Resselielia citrifrugis hosts include common citrus varieties. China has no area-wide management program against the pest. Field pest management measures include grove sanitation, fruit bagging, and pesticide applications. This review identifies three scientific and technological gaps that need to be filled to protect the U.S. citrus industry from this pest. First, the taxonomical and systematic status of R. citrifrugis needs to be clarified and validated before the pest can be effectively regulated. Second, traps and/or lures for early detection of the pest need to be developed before the pest arrival. Third, pest risk mitigation measures against the pest need to be evaluated and strengthened. DA - 2021/1/1/ PY - 2021/1/1/ DO - 10.1093/jipm/pmab033 VL - 12 IS - 1 SP - SN - 2155-7470 UR - https://doi.org/10.1093/jipm/pmab033 KW - Resselielia citrifrugis KW - citrus KW - gall midge KW - early detection KW - risk mitigation ER - TY - JOUR TI - Investigation of proline in superficial scald development during low temperature storage of 'Dangshansuli' pear fruit AU - Qian, Ming AU - Wang, Libin AU - Zhang, Suling AU - Sun, Liqiong AU - Luo, Weiqi AU - Posny, Drew AU - Xu, Shanshan AU - Tang, Chao AU - Ma, Min AU - Zhang, Chen AU - Lin, Shaoyan AU - Wang, Jiahong AU - Hui, Wei AU - Zhang, Shaoling T2 - POSTHARVEST BIOLOGY AND TECHNOLOGY AB - The role of proline in superficial scald development in pear fruit was investigated in this study. During low temperature storage of ‘Dangshansuli’ pear fruit, superficial scald incidence and index accumulated in association with the alternation of α-farnesene and conjugated trienols (CTols). 14 out of 17 free amino acids were identified; proline content gradually decreased, which was consistent with the up-regulation of PbrP5CS activity and down-regulation of PbrProDH activity in its metabolic pathway. A total of 14 genes involved in proline metabolism were identified based on transcriptome annotation with diverse expression profiles. Results from correlation analysis among proline content further indicate that enzyme activity and gene expression profile, PbrProDH2, PbrProDH4, PbrProDH5 & PbrP5CS5 might play a critical role in proline metabolism during low temperature storage of ‘Dangshansuli’ fruit; thus, influencing superficial scald development which was then functionally validated using the transgenic pear fruit. Postharvest 1-MCP and diphenylamine (DPA) treatment inhibited the accumulation of CTols, and thus, mitigated superficial scald development and maintained higher proline content, in association with the up-regulated PbrP5CS activity, PbrP5CS4 & PbrP5CS5 mRNAs as well as the down-regulated PbrProDH activity & PbrProDH4 transcripts. In a further study, we found that exogenous application of proline alleviated superficial scald incidence and index. To that end, the results of our study confirmed that proline was involved in superficial scald development during pear storage. DA - 2021/11// PY - 2021/11// DO - 10.1016/j.postharvbio.2021.111643 VL - 181 SP - SN - 1873-2356 KW - Pyrus bretschneideri KW - Superficial scald KW - Proline KW - 1-MCP KW - DPA ER - TY - JOUR TI - Beneficial horticultural responses from the application of solar thermotherapy to mature Huanglongbing-affected citrus trees AU - Armstrong, Cheryl M. AU - Doud, Melissa S. AU - Luo, Weiqi AU - Raithore, Smita AU - Baldwin, Elizabeth A. AU - Zhao, Wei AU - Plotto, Anne AU - Bai, Jinhe AU - Manthey, John A. AU - Stover, Ed AU - Duan, Yongping T2 - HORTICULTURAL PLANT JOURNAL AB - The detrimental effects of Huanglongbing (HLB) on citrus are well known and so is the need for effective methods to combat this disease. Solar thermotherapy (ST), one of the management methods to help alleviate some of the negative effects of HLB, is the process of heating trees to therapeutic temperatures by encompassing the tree within a plastic structure (Visqueen) to harness the sun's natural energy. ST was applied to mature ‘Valencia’ citrus trees in three locations. Tree vigor, yield, and Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus (Las) titer in leaves were monitored for two consecutive seasons post ST treatment, while fruit and juice quality were evaluated at the end of the second season. ST promoted an increase in canopy density in most groves tested and did not have a significant effect on fruit quantity, despite the prolonged exposure of the trees to increased temperatures. Moreover, Las titer was reduced in both leaves and juice processed from affected trees post ST. With respect to fruit quality, the ratio of total soluble solids to titratable acidity was higher post ST compared to controls as was the sucrose content of the juice in most treated groves, whereas limonin was higher in juice from control trees. Principal components analysis of aroma volatiles showed significant differences between juice from treated versus control trees with volatiles imparting top-note and freshness to orange juice, such as acetaldehyde, hexanal, Z-3-hexenol and linalool, being higher in juice from treated trees. Taste panels confirmed that flavor differences existed, ultimately showing that ST resulted in improved juice flavor in well-managed groves. Although the effects of ST on the trees appear temporary, such outcomes emphasize its utility when used as part of an integrated management strategy for HLB-affected citrus, imparting beneficial horticultural responses with minimal to positive effects on subsequent juice flavor. DA - 2021/9// PY - 2021/9// DO - 10.1016/j.hpj.2021.04.008 VL - 7 IS - 5 SP - 411-422 SN - 2468-0141 KW - HLB KW - Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus KW - Thermotherapy KW - Juice KW - Flavor ER - TY - JOUR TI - Interaction of common purslane (Portulaca oleracea) and Palmer amaranth (Amaranthus palmeri) with sweet potato (Ipomoea batatas) genotypes AU - Chaudhari, Sushila AU - Jennings, Katherine M. AU - Monks, David W. AU - Mehra, Lucky K. T2 - CANADIAN JOURNAL OF PLANT SCIENCE AB - Greenhouse replacement series studies were conducted to determine the relative competitiveness of NC10-275 (unreleased, drought tolerant; upright, bushy, and vining growth with large leaves) and Covington (the most commonly grown genotype in North Carolina; vining growth with smaller leaves) sweet potato genotypes with weeds. Sweet potato genotypes were grown with Palmer amaranth (tall growing) or common purslane (low growing) at five planting (sweet potato to weed) proportions of 100:0, 75:25, 50:50, 25:75, and 0:100 at a density of four plants per pot. Reduction in common purslane shoot dry biomass was greater when growing with NC10-275 than when growing with Covington or alone. When growing with common purslane, shoot dry and root fresh biomass of Covington was 18% and 26% lower, respectively, than NC10-275. Relative yield (shoot dry biomass) and aggressivity index (AI) of common purslane was lower than both sweet potato genotypes. Palmer amaranth shoot dry biomass was similar when growing alone or with Covington, whereas it was reduced by 10% when growing with NC10-275 than alone. Palmer amaranth competition reduced shoot dry biomass and root fresh biomass of Covington by 23% and 42%, respectively, relative to NC10-275. Relative yield and AI of Palmer amaranth was greater than Covington but lower than NC10-275. This research indicates that sweet potato genotypes differ in their ability to compete with weeds. Both sweet potato genotypes were more competitive than common purslane, and the following species hierarchy exists: NC10-275 > Covington > common purslane. In contrast, NC10-275 was more competitive than Covington with Palmer amaranth, and the following species hierarchy exists: NC10-275 ≥ Palmer amaranth > Covington. DA - 2021/8// PY - 2021/8// DO - 10.1139/cjps-2020-0138 VL - 101 IS - 4 SP - 447-455 SN - 1918-1833 KW - aggressivity KW - interspecific competition KW - replacement series KW - relative competitive ability ER - TY - JOUR TI - Registration of two germplasm lines with improved lint yield and fiber elongation in upland cotton AU - Fang, Hui AU - Zhang, Kuang AU - Bowman, Daryl T. AU - Jones, Don C. AU - Kuraparthy, Vasu T2 - JOURNAL OF PLANT REGISTRATIONS AB - Abstract Two conventional upland cotton ( Gossypium hirsutum L.) germplasm lines, NC18‐05 (Reg. no. GP‐1082, PI 697272) and NC18‐06 (Reg. no. GP‐1083, PI 697273), were developed by the Department of Crop and Soil Sciences at North Carolina State University. The lines were bred for fiber elongation within yield‐competitive phenotypes. The two lines were derived from a randomly mated population using multiple parental lines. Both NC18‐05 and NC18‐06 produced equivalent or higher lint than commercial cultivars ‘DP393’, ‘SG747’, and ‘UA48’ during 2 yr in Clayton, NC. Germplasm line NC18‐05 produced 1507.2 kg ha –1 of lint, which was 36.2% higher than DP393 and 29.4% higher than UA48 ( p < .05). Germplasm line NC18‐06 produced 1428.6 kg ha –1 of lint, which was 29.1% higher than DP393 and 22.6% higher than UA48 ( p < .05). However, neither line yielded more lint per hectare than SG747 or the average of the parental lines ( p > .05). Both NC18‐05 and NC18‐06 exhibited equal or higher fiber elongation values (6.0–49.2%) than the commercial cultivar controls. These two lines had higher lint percentages than UA48 ( p < .05). NC18‐06 also demonstrated stronger fiber than DP393 and SG747 ( p < .05). These two germplasm lines offer breeders a new source of exceptional fiber elongation before break within a high‐yielding background. DA - 2021/5// PY - 2021/5// DO - 10.1002/plr2.20121 VL - 15 IS - 2 SP - 359-365 SN - 1940-3496 UR - https://publons.com/wos-op/publon/54751099/ ER - TY - JOUR TI - Iteratively forecasting biological invasions with PoPS and a little help from our friends AU - Jones, Chris M. AU - Jones, Shannon AU - Petrasova, Anna AU - Petras, Vaclav AU - Gaydos, Devon AU - Skrip, Megan M. AU - Takeuchi, Yu AU - Bigsby, Kevin AU - Meentemeyer, Ross K. T2 - FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT AB - Ecological forecasting has vast potential to support environmental decision making with repeated, testable predictions across management‐relevant timescales and locations. Yet resource managers rarely use co‐designed forecasting systems or embed them in decision making. Although prediction of planned management outcomes is particularly important for biological invasions to optimize when and where resources should be allocated, spatial–temporal models of spread typically have not been openly shared, iteratively updated, or interactive to facilitate exploration of management actions. We describe a species‐agnostic, open‐source framework – called the Pest or Pathogen Spread (PoPS) Forecasting Platform – for co‐designing near‐term iterative forecasts of biological invasions. Two case studies are presented to demonstrate that iterative calibration yields higher forecast skill than using only the earliest‐available data to predict future spread. The PoPS framework is a primary example of an ecological forecasting system that has been both scientifically improved and optimized for real‐world decision making through sustained participation and use by management stakeholders. DA - 2021/6/3/ PY - 2021/6/3/ DO - 10.1002/fee.2357 VL - 6 SP - SN - 1540-9309 ER - TY - JOUR TI - Early Warning Systems as a Component of Integrated Pest Management to Prevent the Introduction of Exotic Pests AU - Noar, Roslyn D. AU - Jahant-Miller, Chelsea J. AU - Emerine, Sherrie AU - Hallberg, Rosemary T2 - JOURNAL OF INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT AB - Abstract When introduced to novel habitats, invasive alien plant pests have the potential to reduce fitness or cause aesthetic damage to naïve plant hosts, or to cause widespread mortality in both native and cultivated plant populations. Once established, the cost of mitigation, eradication, and damage and losses from invasive alien plant pests often exceeds the cost of preventing introductions from occurring. National plant protection organizations (NPPOs) have therefore implemented trade restrictions and regulations to minimize the introduction of alien plant pest species. To be effective, NPPOs must stay informed about pest species that may pose a threat to natural or agricultural systems. Early warning systems such as PestLens, the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization Reporting Service, and others collect relevant and current plant pest information and disseminate it to NPPOs, thereby facilitating informed regulatory decision-making. Herein, we describe the processes and goals of some of the existing plant pest early warning systems and how these systems may be used. DA - 2021/4/22/ PY - 2021/4/22/ DO - 10.1093/jipm/pmab011 VL - 12 IS - 1 SP - SN - 2155-7470 KW - early warning KW - plant pests KW - regulatory science KW - plant protection KW - invasive species ER - TY - JOUR TI - Probabilistic risk-based model for the assessment of Phyllosticta citricarpa-infected citrus fruit and illicit plant material as pathways for pathogen introduction and establishment AU - Gottwald, T. R. AU - Taylor, E. L. AU - Amorim, L. AU - Bergamin-Filho, A. AU - Bassanezi, R. B. AU - Silva, Jr. G. J. AU - Fogliata, G. AU - Fourie, P. H. AU - Graham, J. H. AU - Hattingh, V. AU - Kriss, A. B. AU - Luo, W. AU - Magarey, R. D. AU - Schutte, G. C. AU - Sposito, M. B. T2 - CROP PROTECTION AB - Citrus Black Spot (CBS), caused by the ascomycete, Phyllosticta citricarpa, is a fruit, foliar, and twig spotting fungal disease affecting the majority of commercial cultivars of citrus. The disease causes cosmetic lesions, may cause fruit drop and P. citricarpa is considered a quarantine pathogen by some countries, impacting domestic and international trade of citrus fruit. Regulatory requirements affecting fruit trade exist even though there is no documented case of disease spread via infected fruit into previously disease-free areas. To clarify the risk of fruit as a potential pathway for the spread of CBS, we developed a quantitative, probabilistic risk assessment model. The model provides an assessment of all steps in the fruit pathway, including production, packinghouse handling, transportation, export-import distribution channels, and consumer endpoints. The model is stochastic and uses Monte Carlo simulation to assess the risk of P. citricarpa moving through all steps in the pathway. We attempted to use all available literature and information to quantitate risk at each point in the potential pathway and by sequentially linking all steps to determine the overall quantitative risk. In addition, we assessed climatological effects on incidence of diseased fruit at production sites and on fungal reproduction and infection, as well as criteria for establishment at endpoints. We examined ten case studies between exporting and importing locations/countries. Model results indicated fruit to be an epidemiologically insignificant means for CBS spread, even between producing countries where CBS occurs and CBS-free importing countries with disease-conducive climates. We created a second model to examine the introduction of infected plant material from countries where CBS occurs. This model demonstrated significant probability of introduction via such infected material. However, pathogen establishment and disease development was still restricted only to areas with conducive climatological conditions. We created a tool to quantitatively explore the viability of various potential pathways via combinations of CBS-present production sites and corresponding pathway endpoints, including environments conducive and non-conducive to CBS. The tool is provided to aid decision makers on phytosanitary risk relative to international trade of citrus fruit. DA - 2021/4// PY - 2021/4// DO - 10.1016/j.cropro.2020.105521 VL - 142 ER - TY - JOUR TI - Correction: Information: a missing component in understanding and mitigating social epidemics AU - Magarey, Roger D. AU - Trexler, Christina M. T2 - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications AB - A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-020-00690-w DA - 2021/1/4/ PY - 2021/1/4/ DO - 10.1057/s41599-020-00690-w UR - https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-020-00690-w ER -