2013 journal article
Identifying optimal mitigation strategies for responding to a mild influenza epidemic
SIMULATION-TRANSACTIONS OF THE SOCIETY FOR MODELING AND SIMULATION INTERNATIONAL, 89(11), 1400–1415.
author keywords: Simulation; mild epidemic; optimal control policy; cost-effectiveness analysis; vaccination; self-isolation
TL;DR:
A continuous-time simulation model for the spread of a mild influenza epidemic based on the SEIR model, which shows that for low (high) levels of intervention, vaccination is incrementally more cost-effective than self-isolation, and public health officials should concentrate on vaccination at the beginning of the epidemic.
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UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being
(Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018
Mathematical models have been developed to simulate influenza epidemics to help public health officials evaluate different control policies. In these models, often severe influenza epidemics with a considerable mortality rate are considered. However, as was the case for the 2009 H1N1 pandemic, some of the influenza epidemics are mild with insignificant mortality rates. In the case of a mild epidemic, the cost of different control policies becomes an important decision factor in addition to disease-related outcomes such as the attack rate.