@article{sutton_banks_castillo-chavez_2010, title={Using inverse problem methods with surveillance data in pneumococcal vaccination}, volume={51}, ISSN={["1872-9479"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.mcm.2009.12.014}, abstractNote={The design and evaluation of epidemiological control strategies is central to public health policy. While inverse problem methods are routinely used in many applications, this remains an area in which their use is relatively rare, although their potential impact is great. We describe methods particularly relevant to epidemiological modeling at the population level. These methods are then applied to the study of pneumococcal vaccination strategies as a relevant example which poses many challenges common to other infectious diseases. We demonstrate that relevant yet typically unknown parameters may be estimated, and show that a calibrated model may used to assess implemented vaccine policies through the estimation of parameters if vaccine history is recorded along with infection and colonization information. Finally, we show how one might determine an appropriate level of refinement or aggregation in the age-structured model given age-stratified observations. These results illustrate ways in which the collection and analysis of surveillance data can be improved using inverse problem methods.}, number={5-6}, journal={MATHEMATICAL AND COMPUTER MODELLING}, author={Sutton, Karyn L. and Banks, H. T. and Castillo-Chavez, Carlos}, year={2010}, month={Mar}, pages={369–388} }
 @article{cowger_sutton_2005, title={The Southeastern U.S. fusarium head blight epidemic of 2003}, ISBN={1535-1025}, DOI={10.1094/php-2005-1026-01-rs}, abstractNote={ Fusarium head blight (FHB) caused unprecedented losses to southeastern U.S. wheat producers and millers in 2003. The epidemic was documented afterward through interviews with 120 researchers, extension agents, millers, and growers. Sixty-two counties in five states were assigned an FHB impact score of 1 to 4, and 2003 yield and weather data were obtained for those counties. The relationships of yield and pre- and post-flowering weather variables to impact score were evaluated using regression and correlation analyses. Yield as a percentage of the 10-year average was negatively correlated with FHB impact (r = -0.588, P < 0.0001). FHB impact was positively correlated with hours of post-flowering rainfall (r = 0.465, 0.590, and 0.619 for 10, 20, and 30 days post-flowering, respectively; P = 0.0001), but not correlated with hours of pre-flowering rainfall (P = 0.99). While this was not a controlled study, the results suggest that pre-flowering weather may have played a less significant role than post-flowering weather, and was unlikely to have been a good predictor of FHB severity in the southeast in 2003. Using 10-year average production data, premilling economic losses were estimated for 40 counties in Maryland, Virginia, and North Carolina at over $13.6 million. Wheat production in those counties comprised just 71.7%, 45.8%, and 48.0% of the statewide totals, respectively; thus, actual 2003 FHB-related losses to growers in those states were probably much higher. Additionally, mills in the region suffered losses of several million dollars in 2003 due to increased shipping, testing, and handling costs brought on by FHB. }, journal={Plant Health Progress}, author={Cowger, Christina and Sutton, A. L.}, year={2005}, pages={1} }
 @article{sutton_sutton_1994, title={THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE MYCELIAL TYPES OF GLOEODES POMIGENA ON APPLES IN NORTH-CAROLINA AND THEIR RELATIONSHIP TO ENVIRONMENTAL-CONDITIONS}, volume={78}, ISSN={["0191-2917"]}, DOI={10.1094/PD-78-0668}, abstractNote={The distribution of the four mycelial types of Gloeodes pomigena was determined by monitoring their incidence and severity in eight locations throughout North Carolina in 1986 and 1987. Temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity were monitored at four sites in 1986 and seven sites in 1987 throughout the growing seasons. The incidence of sooty blotch approached 100% at all locations by the end of each growing season. Severity of the disease was highest at locations with cooler temperatures and longer periods of dew (western Mountains) or higher humidities (eastern Coastal Plain). The punctate mycelial type was most common overall and was most prevalent in areas where disease severity was greatest [...]}, number={7}, journal={PLANT DISEASE}, author={SUTTON, AL and SUTTON, TB}, year={1994}, month={Jul}, pages={668–673} }