@article{greenland_lake_lopresti_2024, title={Us Inequality in the 1980s: The Tokyo Round Trade Liberalization and the Swiss Formula}, DOI={10.2139/ssrn.4756064}, abstractNote={Download This Paper Open PDF in Browser Add Paper to My Library Share: Permalink Using these links will ensure access to this page indefinitely Copy URL Copy DOI}, journal={SSRN Electronic Journal}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Greenland, Andrew and Lake, James and Lopresti, John}, year={2024} }
 @article{greenland_lopresti_2021, title={Trade Policy as an Exogenous Shock: Focusing on the Specifics}, DOI={10.2139/ssrn.3869026}, abstractNote={This paper proposes a novel strategy for identifying the effects of import competition on economic outcomes that avoids standard concerns related to the endogeneity of trade policy and provides a consistent measure of exposure to trade over time. Conditioning on the level of import tariffs, our approach exploits cross-industry differences in the relative importance of specific rather than ad valorem tariffs. As they are expressed in per unit terms rather than as a share of value, the effective protection provided by a given specific tariff varies with price levels. Using digitized tariff line data between 1900 and 1940, we relate inflation-driven changes in trade protection to changes in imports and labor market outcomes in the full count U.S. census. We show that our measure predicts import growth at both the industry and county level. Using our measure as an instrument, we show that import competition reduces labor force participation in traded sectors during this period. Labor market effects are widespread but fall most heavily on those with little experience or fewer outside labor market options: the young, seniors, and those in rural areas.}, journal={SSRN Electronic Journal}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Greenland, Andrew and Lopresti, John}, year={2021} }
 @article{greenland_ion_lopresti_schott_2020, title={Using Equity Market Reactions to Infer Exposure to Trade Liberalization}, DOI={10.2139/ssrn.3649874}, journal={SSRN Electronic Journal}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Greenland, Andrew and Ion, Mihai and Lopresti, John and Schott, Peter}, year={2020} }
 @article{greenland_lopresti_mchenry_2016, title={Import Competition and Internal Migration}, DOI={10.2139/ssrn.2880515}, abstractNote={We examine the U.S. internal migration response to increased import competition following the granting of Permanent Normal Trade Relations to China in 2001. Using a variety of data sets and empirical approaches, we find that local labor markets most exposed to the policy change experienced a relative reduction in population growth over the following decade. The majority of the effect occurs at a lag of 7 to 10 years, and is most pronounced among young individuals and low education groups. Such population adjustments should influence the interpretation of evidence in the growing literature on the effects of import competition on local labor markets.}, journal={SSRN Electronic Journal}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Greenland, Andrew and Lopresti, John and McHenry, Peter}, year={2016} }
 @article{greenland_lopresti_2016, title={Import exposure and human capital adjustment: Evidence from the U.S.}, volume={100}, DOI={10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.02.002}, abstractNote={We exploit variation in exposure to Chinese import competition to identify the effect of trade-induced changes in labor market conditions on human capital accumulation in the U.S. from 1990 to 2007. We document large increases in U.S. high school graduation rates in the labor markets most affected by import competition. After controlling for established predictors of high school completion, demographic shifts, and coincident labor market changes unrelated to trade with China, we estimate that a movement from the 25th to the 75th percentile in Chinese import exposure led to an average increase in the graduation rate of 3.64 percentage points. Consistent with an environment in which students weigh increases in future earnings potential from further education against current labor market opportunities foregone, we find that growth in Chinese imports led to declines in wages for all educational groups, and reductions in employment for individuals without a high school degree both in absolute terms and relative to their more educated peers.}, journal={Journal of International Economics}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Greenland, Andrew and Lopresti, John}, year={2016}, month={May}, pages={50–60} }