Alun L Lloyd

Economic optimization of <i>Wolbachia</i>-infected <i>Aedes aegypti</i> release to prevent dengue

Hollingsworth, B. D., Cho, C., Vella, M., Roh, H., Sass, J., Lloyd, A. L., & Brown, Z. S. (2024, April 3). PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, Vol. 4.

Geographic disparities and predictors of COVID-19 vaccination in Missouri: a retrospective ecological study

FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH, 12.

How population control of pests is modulated by density dependence: The perspective of genetic biocontrol

Butler, C. D., & Lloyd, A. L. (2024, November 11).

Identifying highly connected sites for risk-based surveillance and control of cucurbit downy mildew in the eastern United States

PEERJ, 12.

Modeling county level COVID-19 transmission in the greater St. Louis area: Challenges of uncertainty and identifiability when fitting mechanistic models to time-varying processes

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES, 371.

The contribution of community transmission to the burden of hospital-associated pathogens: A systematic scoping review of epidemiological models

[Review of ]. ONE HEALTH, 20.

CRISPR/Cas9-based split homing gene drive targeting <i>doublesex for population suppression of the global fruit pest <i>Drosophila suzukii

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120(25).

Direct mosquito feedings on dengue-2 virus-infected people reveal dynamics of human infectiousness

PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES, 17(9).

Fusing an agent-based model of mosquito population dynamics with a statistical reconstruction of spatio-temporal abundance patterns

PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 19(4).

Inapparent infections shape the transmission heterogeneity of dengue

PNAS NEXUS, 2(3).

Leveraging eco-evolutionary models for gene drive risk assessment

[Review of ]. TRENDS IN GENETICS, 39(8), 609–623.

Modeling impact of vaccination on COVID-19 dynamics in St. Louis

JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS, 17(1).

Quantifying heterogeneities in arbovirus transmission: Description of the rationale and methodology for a prospective longitudinal study of dengue and Zika virus transmission in Iquitos, Peru (2014-2019)

PLOS ONE, 18(2).

A critical assessment of the detailed Aedes aegypti simulation model Skeeter Buster 2 using field experiments of indoor insecticidal control in Iquitos, Peru

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

A simple model for viral decay dynamics and the distribution of infected cell life spans in SHIV-infected infant rhesus macaques

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES, 356.

Extensions of mean-field approximations for environmentally-transmitted pathogen networks

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING, 20(2), 1637–1673.

Geographic disparities and determinants of COVID-19 incidence risk in the greater St. Louis Area, Missouri (United States)

PLOS ONE, 17(9).

Geographic disparities and predictors of COVID-19 hospitalization risks in the St. Louis Area, Missouri (USA)

BMC PUBLIC HEALTH, 22(1).

Modeling a Pandemic: Predicting the Future

Lloyd, A. (2022, June 22).

Models: What Are They and Should We Believe Them?

Lloyd, A. (2022, June 22).

A critical assessment of the detailed Aedes aegypti simulation model Skeeter Buster 2 using field experiments of indoor insecticidal control in Iquitos, Peru

Gunning, C. E., Morrison, A. C., Okamoto, K. W., Scott, T. W., Astete, H., Vasquez, G. M., … Lloyd, A. L. (2021, October 4). (Vol. 10). Vol. 10.

Bidirectional contact tracing could dramatically improve COVID-19 control

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 12(1).

Disease-driven reduction in human mobility influences human-mosquito contacts and dengue transmission dynamics

PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 17(1).

Mathematical modeling of genetic pest management through female-specific lethality: Is one locus better than two?

EVOLUTIONARY APPLICATIONS, 14(6), 1612–1622.

Population genomics of invasive rodents on islands: Genetic consequences of colonization and prospects for localized synthetic gene drive

EVOLUTIONARY APPLICATIONS, 14(5), 1421–1435.

Rapid evolution of knockdown resistance haplotypes in response to pyrethroid selection in Aedes aegypti

Baltzegar, J., Vella, M., Gunning, C., Vasquez, G., Astete, H., Stell, F., … Gould, F. (2021, July 9). EVOLUTIONARY APPLICATIONS, Vol. 7.

The feasibility of targeted test-trace-isolate for the control of SARS-CoV-2 variants

Bradshaw, W. J., Huggins, J. H., Lloyd, A. L., & Esvelt, K. M. (2021, January 13). (Vol. 1). Vol. 1.

After the honeymoon, the divorce: Unexpected outcomes of disease control measures against endemic infections

PLOS Computational Biology, 16(10), e1008292.

Bidirectional contact tracing dramatically improves COVID-19 control

Bradshaw, W. J., Alley, E. C., Huggins, J. H., Lloyd, A. L., & Esvelt, K. M. (2020, May 10). (Vol. 5). Vol. 5.

COVID-19 control across urban-rural gradients

Wells, K., Lurgi, M., Collins, B., Lucini, B., Kao, R. R., Lloyd, A. L., … Gravenor, M. B. (2020, September 9). (Vol. 9). Vol. 9.

Disease control across urban–rural gradients

Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 17(173), 20200775.

Efficacy and Spatial Extent of Yard-Scale Control of Aedes (Stegomyia) albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) Using Barrier Sprays and Larval Habitat Management

J. Med. Entomol., 57, 1104–1110.

Embracing Dynamic Models for Gene Drive Management

Golnar, A. J., Ruell, E., Lloyd, A. L., & Pepin, K. M. (2021, March). TRENDS IN BIOTECHNOLOGY, Vol. 39, pp. 211–214.

Gene Drive Dynamics in Natural Populations: The Importance of Density Dependence, Space, and Sex

ANNUAL REVIEW OF ECOLOGY, EVOLUTION, AND SYSTEMATICS, VOL 51, 2020, Vol. 51, pp. 505–531.

Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies

Optimizing the deployment of ultra-low volume and targeted indoor residual spraying for dengue outbreak response

PLOS Computational Biology, 16(4), e1007743.

After the honeymoon, the divorce: unexpected outcomes of disease control measures against endemic infections

Hollingsworth, B., Okamoto, K. W., & Lloyd, A. L. (2019, April 19). (Vol. 4). Vol. 4.

Locally Fixed Alleles: A method to localize gene drive to island populations

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 9.

Optimizing the deployment of ultra-low volume and indoor residual spraying for dengue outbreak response

Cavany, S. M., España, G., Lloyd, A. L., Waller, L. A., Kitron, U., Astete, H., … Perkins, T. A. (2019, October 2).

Pest management by genetic addiction

Gould, F., Dhole, S., & Lloyd, A. L. (2019, March 26). PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, Vol. 116, pp. 5849–5851.

Rodent gene drives for conservation: opportunities and data needs

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 286(1914), 20191606.

Tethered homing gene drives: A new design for spatially restricted population replacement and suppression

EVOLUTIONARY APPLICATIONS, 12(8), 1688–1702.

The basic reproductive number for disease systems with multiple coupled heterogeneities

Mathematical Biosciences, 220004.

An approach to periodic, time-varying parameter estimation using nonlinear filtering

Inverse Problems, 34(10), 105005.

Contributions from the silent majority dominate dengue virus transmission

PLOS Pathogens, 14(5), e1006965.

Contributions from the silent majority dominate dengue virus transmission

PLOS Pathogens, 14(5), e1006965.

Efficacy of Aedes aegypti control by indoor Ultra Low Volume (ULV) insecticide spraying in Iquitos, Peru

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 12(4), e0006378.

Efficacy of Aedes aegypti control by indoor Ultra Low Volume (ULV) insecticide spraying in Iquitos, Peru

PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 12(4), e0006378.

Adaptive filtering for hidden node detection and tracking in networks

Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 27(7), 073106.

Adaptive filtering for hidden node detection and tracking in networks

Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 27(7), 073106.

Evaluating strategies for reversing CRISPR-Cas9 gene drives

Scientific Reports, 7(1).

Evaluating strategies for reversing CRISPR-Cas9 gene drives

Vella, M. R., Gunning, C. E., Lloyd, A. L., & Gould, F. (2017, May 30). Scientific Reports, Vol. 7, p. 11038.

Hybrid modeling and prediction of dynamical systems

PLOS Computational Biology, 13(7), e1005655.

Invasion and migration of spatially self-limiting gene drives: A comparative analysis

Evolutionary Applications, 11(5), 794–808.

Plasmodium knowlesi invasion following spread by infected mosquitoes, macaques and humans

Parasitology, 145(1), 101–110.

Comparison of two detailed models of Aedes aegypti population dynamics

Ecosphere, 7(10), e01515.

Computational model of the fathead minnow hypothalamic–pituitary–gonadal axis: Incorporating protein synthesis in improving predictability of responses to endocrine active chemicals

Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology Part C: Toxicology & Pharmacology, 183-184, 36–45.

Coupled Heterogeneities and Their Impact on Parasite Transmission and Control

Trends in Parasitology, 32(5), 356–367.

Coupled heterogeneities and their impact on parasite transmission and control

Trends in Parasitology, 32(5), 356–367.

Dynamical behavior of an epidemiological model with a demographic Allee effect

Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 133, 311–325.

Integrating Transgenic Vector Manipulation with Clinical Interventions to Manage Vector-Borne Diseases

PLOS Computational Biology, 12(3), e1004695.

On the Seasonal Occurrence and Abundance of the Zika Virus Vector Mosquito Aedes Aegypti in the Contiguous United States

PLoS Currents.

Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

Science, 347(6227), aaa4339.

A global assembly of adult female mosquito mark-release-recapture data to inform the control of mosquito-borne pathogens

Parasites & Vectors, 7(1), 276.

A global assembly of adult female mosquito mark-release-recapture data to inform the control of mosquito-borne pathogens

Parasit Vectors, 7(1), 276.

Antipathogen genes and the replacement of disease-vectoring mosquito populations: a model-based evaluation

Evolutionary Applications, 7(10), 1238–1251.

Feasible Introgression of an Anti-pathogen Transgene into an Urban Mosquito Population without Using Gene-Drive

PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES, 8(7).

Five challenges for stochastic epidemic models involving global transmission

EPIDEMICS, 10, 54–57.

Nine challenges for deterministic epidemic models

Epidemics, 10, 49–53.

Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control

Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 108(4), 185–197.

Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control

Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 108(4), 185–197.

Seven challenges for model-driven data collection in experimental and observational studies

Epidemics, 10, 78–82.

Seven challenges for modelling indirect transmission: Vector-borne diseases, macroparasites and neglected tropical diseases

Epidemics, 10, 16–20.

Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(26), E2694–E2702.

Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(26), E2694–E2702.

Weak Convergence of a Seasonally Forced Stochastic Epidemic Model

ArXiv Preprint ArXiv:1412.0964.

A Reduce and Replace Strategy for Suppressing Vector-Borne Diseases: Insights from a Deterministic Model

PLOS ONE, 8(9).

A Reduce and Replace Strategy for Suppressing Vector-Borne Diseases: Insights from a Stochastic, Spatial Model

PLOS ONE, 8(12).

A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010

[Review of ]. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE, 10(81).

Developing Predictive Approaches to Characterize Adaptive Responses of the Reproductive Endocrine Axis to Aromatase Inhibition: II. Computational Modeling

TOXICOLOGICAL SCIENCES, 133(2), 234–247.