@article{seekamp_fatoric_mccreary_2020, title={Historic preservation priorities for climate adaptation}, volume={191}, ISSN={["1873-524X"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2020.105180}, abstractNote={Cultural heritage-specific research is scarce within the climate change literature and climate change policy documents, challenging climate adaptation efforts to minimize adverse impacts on cultural heritage. Engaging and assessing diverse stakeholders' values and integrating those with evidence-based knowledge is critical for timely, effective and transparent preservation and climate adaptation of coastal cultural heritage. This study assessed technical experts' and community groups' opinions about the importance of value-based prioritization considerations to provide more immediate guidance adaptation planning and decision making. The findings from four separate elicitation surveys demonstrated substantial consistency in value-based climate adaptation prioritization preferences for one type of vulnerable cultural heritage: historic buildings in coastal zones in the United States. In particular, the samples of cultural heritage professionals and members of community groups consistently rated spatial importance, uniqueness, and scientific value of historic buildings as very important considerations for climate adaptation prioritization decision-making. Also, consistently evaluated but of relatively low importance were considerations related to the cost of preservation and adaptation treatments, including previous investments. Few statistically significant differences were found among our samples in their perceptions of importance. These findings provide initial guidance to cultural heritage managers, particularly those with scarce financial resources to allocate for adapting coastal historic buildings, and demonstrate the need for continued development of approaches that provide rapid assessment of coastal heritage stakeholders' adaptation priorities.}, journal={OCEAN & COASTAL MANAGEMENT}, author={Seekamp, Erin and Fatoric, Sandra and McCreary, Allie}, year={2020}, month={Jun} }
 @article{xiao_seekamp_van der burg_eaton_fatorić_mccreary_2019, title={Optimizing historic preservation under climate change: Decision support for cultural resource adaptation planning in national parks}, volume={83}, ISSN={0264-8377}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.02.011}, DOI={10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.02.011}, abstractNote={Climate change poses great challenges for cultural resource management, particularly in coastal areas. Cultural resources, such as historic buildings, in coastal areas are vulnerable to climate impacts including inundation, deterioration, and destruction from sea-level rise and storm-related flooding and erosion. However, research that assesses the trade-offs between actions for protecting vulnerable and valuable cultural resources under budgetary constraints is limited. This study focused on developing a decision support model for managing historic buildings at Cape Lookout National Seashore. We designed the Optimal Preservation Decision Support (OptiPres) model to: (a) identify optimal, annual adaptation actions for historic buildings across a 30-year planning horizon, (b) quantify trade-offs between different actions and the timing of adaptation actions under constrained budgets, and (c) estimate the effectiveness of budget allocations on the resource value of historic buildings. Our analysis of the model suggests that: (1) funding allocation thresholds may exist for national parks to maintain the historical significance and use potential of historic buildings under climate change, (2) the quantitative assessment of trade-offs among alternative adaptation actions provides generalizable guidance for decision makers about the dynamics of their managed system, and (3) the OptiPres model can identify cost-efficient approaches to allocate funding to maintain the historical value of buildings vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Therefore, the OptiPres model, while not designed as a prescriptive decision tool, allows managers to understand the consequences of proposed adaptation actions. The OptiPres model can guide park managers to make cost-effective climate adaptation decisions for historic buildings more transparently and robustly.}, journal={Land Use Policy}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Xiao, Xiao and Seekamp, Erin and van der Burg, Max Post and Eaton, Mitchell and Fatorić, Sandra and McCreary, Allie}, year={2019}, month={Apr}, pages={379–389} }
 @article{mccreary_seekamp_larson_smith_davenport_2019, title={Predictors of visitors’ climate-related coping behaviors in a nature-based tourism destination}, volume={26}, ISSN={2213-0780}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jort.2019.03.005}, DOI={10.1016/j.jort.2019.03.005}, abstractNote={Climate change affects the supply of nature-based tourism opportunities as well as the demand visitors place on those opportunities. Climate-induced changes in visitor demand, specifically climate-related coping behaviors (e.g., seeking safer recreation sites, changing trip timing, using weather forecasts to plan trips), are influenced by multiple factors such as season of visit, specific visitor attributes, and general climate change beliefs and concern. Understanding the relationships between visitor characteristics and coping behaviors within the context of a changing climate will help recreation managers and tourism providers anticipate shifts in demand and adapt strategically. In this study, we present results from a series of binary logistic regression models of summer and winter visitor survey data to examine climate-related coping behaviors within a regional nature-based tourism area (the North Shore region of Lake Superior in Minnesota). Findings reveal that winter recreationists, younger visitors, and visitors who are concerned about climate change, are most inclined to use behavioral coping in response to changing climate and environmental conditions. Specifically, we found that winter season recreationists are much more likely to report having experienced a past climate-related impact, and that weather information, alternative gear, and flexibility in timing their trips are important in overcoming these constraints. Further, younger visitors were more likely to use informational (weather forecast) coping, site substitution, and activity substitution to respond to climate-related impacts. This study expands upon climate-related recreation and tourism research by documenting how recreationists’ informational, spatial, and temporal coping behaviors vary across visitor characteristics. Further research is needed to determine if the behavioral coping preferences and patterns found in this study emerge across diverse contexts. However, our findings here can help managers begin to strategically plan and collaborate to maintain destination-level attractiveness to visitors despite changing environmental conditions. Management implications: Understanding how visitors respond to environmental changes is important in sustaining ‘weather-resistant’ visitor flows. In anticipation of on-site disruptions and future demand shifts, regional partnerships within nature-based destinations may mitigate reductions in visitor demand and accommodate shifting patterns in visitor flows. For example, recreation managers and tourism providers could identify and jointly market alternative recreation opportunities when conditions are not conducive to participating in desired activities, as well as develop a networked approach for communicating weather and site safety information.}, journal={Journal of Outdoor Recreation and Tourism}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={McCreary, Allie and Seekamp, Erin and Larson, Lincoln R. and Smith, Jordan W. and Davenport, Mae A.}, year={2019}, month={Jun}, pages={23–33} }
 @article{hestetune_mccreary_holmberg_wilson_seekamp_davenport_smith_2018, title={Research note: Climate change and the demand for summer tourism on Minnesota's North Shore}, volume={24}, ISSN={2213-0780}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jort.2018.10.003}, DOI={10.1016/j.jort.2018.10.003}, abstractNote={Very little outdoor recreation and tourism research uses scientifically-grounded climate change projections or weather data to predict future recreation demand using standard contingent behavior methods. The demand studies that have presented visitors with projected changes to climate and weather are limited to predicting visitation demand in a single season at a single destination. This research note reports a replication of a winter tourism demand model for the summer tourism season at the same nature-based tourism destination. A comparison of model findings between the two seasons allows us to determine if, and how, summer and winter tourism demand to a specific destination will be affected by climate change. While winter demand is driven by multiple dimensions of place meanings, summer travel is motivated solely by how the destination shapes individuals’ identities. This replication also considers an additional weather variable – daily high temperature on the day visitors completed the survey – to better understand the relationship between in situ weather conditions and recreationists’ intended travel behaviors. North Shore visitors’ future travel behavior, contingent upon warmer temperatures and altered environmental conditions, was not significantly different than past travel behavior. The projected conditions presented in the scenarios might not have been severe enough that respondents believed they would substantially impact recreational opportunities on the North Shore. The maximum daily high temperature on the day a respondent was surveyed was not significantly related to contingent travel behaviors. Recreation resource managers and those in the tourism industry are not likely to see substantial shifts in tourism demand to the region over the next 20 years.}, journal={Journal of Outdoor Recreation and Tourism}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Hestetune, Adam and McCreary, Allie and Holmberg, Kerry and Wilson, Bruce and Seekamp, Erin and Davenport, Mae A. and Smith, Jordan W.}, year={2018}, month={Dec}, pages={21–25} }
 @article{seekamp_mccreary_mayer_zack_charlebois_pasternak_2016, title={Exploring the efficacy of an aquatic invasive species prevention campaign among water recreationists}, volume={18}, ISSN={1387-3547 1573-1464}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10530-016-1117-2}, DOI={10.1007/s10530-016-1117-2}, number={6}, journal={Biological Invasions}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Seekamp, Erin and McCreary, Allie and Mayer, Jessica and Zack, Sarah and Charlebois, Patrice and Pasternak, Lainey}, year={2016}, month={Mar}, pages={1745–1758} }
 @article{bitsura-meszaros_mccreary_smith_seekamp_davenport_nieber_wilson_anderson_messer_kanazawa_2015, title={Examining tourism destination risk and community adaptive capacity along the north shore of Lake Superior}, volume={3}, journal={Michigan Journal of Sustainability}, author={Bitsura-Meszaros, K. and McCreary, A. and Smith, J. W. and Seekamp, E. and Davenport, M. A. and Nieber, J. and Wilson, B. and Anderson, D. H. and Messer, C. and Kanazawa, M.}, year={2015}, pages={111–119} }