@article{burkholder_kinder_allen_2023, title={Watershed Development and Eutrophying Potable Source-Water Reservoirs in a Warming Temperate/Subtropical Region}, volume={15}, ISSN={["2073-4441"]}, DOI={10.3390/w15224007}, abstractNote={Reservoirs are increasingly valuable worldwide as potable source waters, yet in many geographic regions, their limnology and trophic status are poorly known. We characterized 14 drinking water reservoirs and their watersheds across the warming temperate/subtropical southeastern USA. Selected reservoirs had at least three years of accessible summer water quality data during 2010–2020, including Secchi depth, nutrients, and algal biomass as chlorophyll a, and depth profiles for temperature and dissolved oxygen. Most watersheds, including lands within a 10-km radius of the reservoirs, had sustained substantial urbanization and/or intensive industrialized animal production, in some cases including the discharge of partially treated human sewage or livestock slaughterhouse wastes near or into the reservoirs. Five reservoirs were assessed as mesotrophic; the others were eutrophic. Most were stratified, but ephemeral near-surface thermoclines were common, and many were too shallow (median depth 5.0 m) to maintain uniform temperatures in the relatively warm hypolimnia. Bottom-water hypoxia/anoxia occurred throughout the summers but, surprisingly, in 8 of 14 reservoirs hypoxia commonly extended to surface waters. In the Southeast as in many regions, drinking water reservoirs are poorly protected and degrading as livestock production and/or urban development increasingly characterize their watersheds. The eutrophication trajectory of these valuable resources should be used as an indicator of ecosystem health and water quality in developing more protective management and policy actions.}, number={22}, journal={WATER}, author={Burkholder, JoAnn M. and Kinder, Carol A. and Allen, Elle H.}, year={2023}, month={Nov} }
 @article{burkholder_kinder_dickey_reed_arellano_james_mackenzie_allen_lindor_mathis_et al._2022, title={Classic indicators and diel dissolved oxygen versus trend analysis in assessing eutrophication of potable-water reservoirs}, volume={3}, ISSN={["1939-5582"]}, DOI={10.1002/eap.2541}, abstractNote={Abstract}, journal={ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS}, author={Burkholder, JoAnn M. and Kinder, Carol A. and Dickey, David A. and Reed, Robert E. and Arellano, Consuelo and James, Jennifer L. and Mackenzie, Linda M. and Allen, Elle H. and Lindor, Nicole L. and Mathis, Joshua G. and et al.}, year={2022}, month={Mar} }
 @article{reed_dickey_burkholder_kinder_brownie_2008, title={Water level variations in the Neuse and Pamlico Estuaries, North Carolina due to local and remote forcing}, volume={76}, ISSN={["1096-0015"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.ecss.2007.05.049}, abstractNote={Water level time series records from the Neuse and Pamlico River Estuaries were statistically compared to local and distant wind field data, water level records within the Pamlico Sound and also coastal ocean sites to determine the relative contribution of each time series to water levels in the Neuse and Pamlico Estuaries. The objectives of this study were to examine these time series data using various statistical methods (i.e. autoregressive, empirical orthogonal function analysis (EOF), exploratory data analysis (EDA)) to determine short- and long-time-scale variability, and to develop predictive statistical models that can be used to estimate past water level fluctuations in both the Neuse Estuary (NE) and Pamlico Estuary (PE). Short- and long-time-scale similarities were observed in all time series of estuarine, Pamlico Sound and subtidal coastal ocean water level and wind component data, due to events (nor'easters, fronts and tropical systems) and seasonality. Empirical orthogonal function analyses revealed a strong coastal ocean and wind field contribution to water level in the NE and PE. Approximately 95% of the variation was captured in the first two EOF components for water level data from the NE, sound and coastal ocean, and 70% for the PE, sound and coastal ocean. Spectral density plots revealed strong diurnal signals in both wind and water level data, and a strong cross correlation and coherency between the NE water level and the North/South wind component. There was good agreement between data and predictions using autoregressive statistical models for the NE (R2 = 0.92) and PE (R2 = 0.76). These methods also revealed significant autoregressive lags for the NE (days 1 and 3) and for the PE (days 1, 2 and 3). Significant departures from predictions are attributed to local meteorological and hydrological events. The autoregressive techniques showed significant predictive improvement over ordinary least squares methods. The results are considered within the context of providing long time-scale hindcast data for the two estuaries, and the importance of these data for multidisciplinary researchers and managers.}, number={2}, journal={ESTUARINE COASTAL AND SHELF SCIENCE}, author={Reed, Robert E. and Dickey, David A. and Burkholder, Joann M. and Kinder, Carol A. and Brownie, Cavell}, year={2008}, month={Jan}, pages={431–446} }
 @article{touchette_burkholder_allen_alexander_kinder_brownie_james_britton_2007, title={Eutrophication and cyanobacteria blooms in run-of-river impoundments in North Carolina, USA}, volume={23}, ISSN={["1040-2381"]}, DOI={10.1080/07438140709353921}, abstractNote={Abstract We compared monthly data taken during the dry summer growing season of 2002 in 11 potable water supply reservoirs (19–85 years old based on year filled) within the North Carolina Piedmont, including measures of watershed land use, watershed area, reservoir morphometry (depth, surface area, volume), suspended solids (SS), nutrient concentrations (total nitrogen, TN; total Kjeldahl nitrogen, TKN; nitrate + nitrite, NO3− + NO2−; total phosphorus, TP; total organic carbon), phytoplankton chlorophyll a (chla) concentrations, cyanobacteria assemblages, and microcystin concentrations from monthly data taken during the dry summer 2002 growing season. The reservoirs were considered collectively or as two subgroups by age as “mod.” (moderate age, 19–40 years post-fill, n = 5) and “old” (74–85 yr post-fill, n = 6). The run-of-river impoundments were meso-/eutrophic and turbid (means 25–125 μg TP/L, 410–1,800 μg TN/L, 3–70 μg chla/L and 5.7–41.9 mg SS/L). Under drought conditions in these turbid systems, there was a positive relationship between chla and both TN and TP, supported by correlation analyses and hierarchical ANOVA models. The models also indicated significant positive relationships between TN and TP, and between SS and both TP and TN. Agricultural land use was positively correlated with TKN for the reservoirs considered collectively, and with TN, TKN, TP, and chla in mod. reservoirs. In models considering the reservoirs by age group, TN:TP ratios were significantly lower and NO3− + NO2− was significantly higher in old reservoirs, and these relationships were stronger when reservoir age was used as a linear predictor. Cyanobacteria assemblages in the two reservoir age groups generally were comparable in abundance and species composition, and comprised 60–95% (up to 1.9 × 106 cells/mL) of the total phytoplankton cell number. Potentially toxic taxa were dominated by Cylindrospermopsis raciborskii and C. philippinensis. Although known microcystin producers were low in abundance, microcystin (< 0.8 μg/L) was detected in most samples. TP and chla were significant predictors of total cyanobacterial abundance. The data suggest that at present these turbid, meso-/eutrophic reservoirs have moderate cyanobacteria abundance and low cyanotoxin (microcystin) levels over the summer growing season, even in low-precipitation seasons that favor cyanobacteria. Accelerated eutrophication from further watershed development is expected to promote increased cyanobacterial abundance and adversely affect the value of these reservoirs as potable water supplies.}, number={2}, journal={LAKE AND RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT}, author={Touchette, Brant W. and Burkholder, Joann M. and Allen, Elie H. and Alexander, Jessica L. and Kinder, Carol A. and Brownie, Cavell and James, Jennifer and Britton, Clay H.}, year={2007}, month={Jun}, pages={179–192} }
 @misc{burkholder_g. m._g._a._h. a._d. w._m. w._m. j._p. v._e. h._et al._2007, title={Phytoplankton and bacterial assemblages in ballast water of US military ships as a function of port of origin, voyage time, and ocean exchange practices}, volume={6}, number={4}, journal={Harmful Algae}, author={Burkholder, J. M. and G. M., Melia and G., Cohen and A., Bowers and H. A., Oldach and D. W., Parrow and M. W., Sullivan and M. J., Zimba and P. V., Allen and E. H., Kinder and et al.}, year={2007}, pages={486–518} }
 @misc{burkholder_dickey_kinder_reed_mallin_mciver_cahoon_melia_brownie_smith_et al._2006, title={Comprehensive trend analysis of nutrients and related variables in a large eutrophic estuary: A decadal study of anthropogenic and climatic influences}, volume={51}, ISSN={["1939-5590"]}, DOI={10.4319/lo.2006.51.1_part_2.0463}, abstractNote={We used a decadal data set, with weekly to biweekly sampling in April—October and monthly sampling in November—March, to characterize climatic (hurricane‐level storms, a sustained 3‐yr drought) and anthropogenic influences on N and P concentrations and loadings to a large eutrophic, poorly flushed estuary, the Neuse Estuary of the Albemarle—Pamlico Estuarine System. Mass volume transport data were obtained with cross‐estuary transect flow measurements taken near the entrance to the estuary. Although trends were minimally influenced by hurricanes, analyses were significantly affected by the sustained drought near the end of the study. As examples, decreasing trends in total N (TN), total P (TP), and bottom‐water dissolved oxygen concentrations, and in TN loadings were significant considering all data, but these trends were not significant when the sustained drought was excluded from analysis. In addition, the trend in TN loading was especially sensitive to the initial sampling period. NH4+ concentrations dramatically increased (overall by ~500%) as a persistent trend regardless of attempts to control for climatic events. An increasing trend in NH4+ also was documented in an adjacent, rapidly flushed Coastal Plain estuary, the Cape Fear. The NH4+ data suggest a regional‐scale effect of high inputs from inadequately controlled, increasing nonpoint sources. The fragility of TN loading trends, the striking increase in NH4+ concentrations, and the lack of management emphasis on controlling nonpoint sources such as “new” industrialized swine production collectively do not support recent reports of achievement of a 30% reduction in TN loading to the Neuse. Nonpoint sources remain a critical target for reduction to alleviate the negative effects of cultural eutrophication in this system, as in many estuaries throughout the world.}, number={1}, journal={LIMNOLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY}, author={Burkholder, JoAnn M. and Dickey, David A. and Kinder, Carol A. and Reed, Robert E. and Mallin, Michael A. and McIver, Matthew R. and Cahoon, Lawrence B. and Melia, Greg and Brownie, Cavell and Smith, Joy and et al.}, year={2006}, month={Jan}, pages={463–487} }
 @article{burkholder_eggleston_glasgow_brownie_reed_janowitz_posey_melia_kinder_corbett_et al._2004, title={Comparative impacts of two major hurricane seasons on the Neuse River and western Pamlico Sound ecosystems}, volume={101}, ISSN={["0027-8424"]}, DOI={10.1073/pnas.0306842101}, abstractNote={Ecosystem-level impacts of two hurricane seasons were compared several years after the storms in the largest lagoonal estuary in the U.S., the Albemarle–Pamlico Estuarine System. A segmented linear regression flow model was developed to compare mass-water transport and nutrient loadings to a major artery, the Neuse River Estuary (NRE), and to estimate mean annual versus storm-related volume delivery to the NRE and Pamlico Sound. Significantly less water volume was delivered by Hurricane Fran (1996), but massive fish kills occurred in association with severe dissolved oxygen deficits and high contaminant loadings (total nitrogen, total phosphorus, suspended solids, and fecal bacteria). The high water volume of the second hurricane season (Hurricanes Dennis, Floyd, and Irene in 1999) delivered generally comparable but more dilute contaminant loads, and no major fish kills were reported. There were no discernable long-term adverse impacts on water quality. Populations of undesirable organisms, such as toxic dinoflagellates, were displaced down-estuary to habitats less conducive for growth. The response of fisheries was species-dependent: there was no apparent impact of the hurricanes on commercial landings of bivalve molluscs or shrimp. In contrast, interacting effects of hurricane floodwaters in 1999 and intensive fishing pressure led to striking reductions in blue crabs. Overall, the data support the premise that, in shallow estuaries frequently disturbed by hurricanes, there can be relatively rapid recovery in water quality and biota, and benefit from the scouring activity of these storms.}, number={25}, journal={PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA}, author={Burkholder, J and Eggleston, D and Glasgow, H and Brownie, C and Reed, R and Janowitz, G and Posey, M and Melia, G and Kinder, C and Corbett, R and et al.}, year={2004}, month={Jun}, pages={9291–9296} }