Erik Thomas Rosenstrom

Works (10)

Updated: April 25th, 2025 19:11

2024 article

COVSIM: A stochastic agent-based COVID-19 SIMulation model for North Carolina

Rosenstrom, E. T., Ivy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., & Swann, J. L. (2024, February 23). Epidemics, Vol. 46.

By: E. Rosenstrom n , J. Ivy n, M. Mayorga n  & J. Swann n 

author keywords: COVID-19 scenario modeling hub; Stochastic agent-based simulation; Health equity; Local public health decision making; Infectious disease modeling
MeSH headings : Humans; COVID-19 / epidemiology; North Carolina / epidemiology; Computer Simulation; Quarantine; Pharmaceutical Preparations
topics (OpenAlex): COVID-19 epidemiological studies; Data-Driven Disease Surveillance; Health disparities and outcomes
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
11. Sustainable Cities and Communities (OpenAlex)
Sources: ORCID, Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: March 1, 2024

2024 article

Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub

Jung, S.-mok, Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Carcelén, E. C., … Lessler, J. (2024, April 17). PLoS Medicine, Vol. 21.

By: S. Jung *, S. Loo *, E. Howerton *, L. Contamin *, C. Smith *, E. Carcelén*, K. Yan *, S. Bents * ...

Contributors: S. Jung *, S. Loo *, E. Howerton *, L. Contamin *, C. Smith *, E. Carcelén*, K. Yan *, S. Bents * ...

MeSH headings : Humans; COVID-19 Vaccines / immunology; COVID-19 / prevention & control; COVID-19 / epidemiology; COVID-19 / immunology; United States / epidemiology; Aged; Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data; SARS-CoV-2 / immunology; Vaccination; Middle Aged; Adult; Adolescent; Young Adult; Child; Aged, 80 and over; Male
topics (OpenAlex): COVID-19 epidemiological studies; SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research; Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries, ORCID
Added: April 29, 2024

2024 article

Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design

Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Howerton, E., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Rosenstrom, E., … Viboud, C. (2024, May 24). Epidemics, Vol. 47.

By: M. Runge *, K. Shea *, E. Howerton *, K. Yan *, H. Hochheiser *, E. Rosenstrom n , W. Probert *, R. Borchering * ...

author keywords: Scenario modeling; Design of experiments; Sensitivity analysis; Value of information; Multi -model projections
MeSH headings : Humans; COVID-19 / epidemiology; COVID-19 / prevention & control; COVID-19 / transmission; Decision Support Techniques; Forecasting; SARS-CoV-2; Communicable Diseases / epidemiology; Pandemics / prevention & control; Decision Making; Research Design
topics (OpenAlex): COVID-19 epidemiological studies; Influenza Virus Research Studies; Climate change impacts on agriculture
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: July 1, 2024

2023 article

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Mullany, L. C., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Bents, S., … Lessler, J. (2023, November 20). Nature Communications, Vol. 14.

By: E. Howerton *, L. Contamin *, L. Mullany *, M. Qin *, N. Reich *, S. Bents *, R. Borchering *, S. Jung * ...

MeSH headings : Humans; COVID-19 / epidemiology; Pandemics / prevention & control; SARS-CoV-2; Uncertainty
topics (OpenAlex): COVID-19 epidemiological studies; Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis; Agricultural risk and resilience
TL;DR: Scenarios remained close to reality for 22 weeks on average before the arrival of unanticipated SARS-CoV-2 variants invalidated key assumptions, and an ensemble of participating models that preserved variation between models was consistently more reliable than any single model in periods of valid scenario assumptions, while projection interval coverage was near target levels. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: February 26, 2024

2023 article

Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design

Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Howerton, E., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Rosenstrom, E., … Viboud, C. (2023, October 12).

By: M. Runge *, K. Shea *, E. Howerton *, K. Yan *, H. Hochheiser *, E. Rosenstrom n , W. Probert *, R. Borchering * ...

topics (OpenAlex): COVID-19 epidemiological studies; Influenza Virus Research Studies; Climate change impacts on agriculture
TL;DR: A framework for scenario design in epidemiology is proposed, identifying six different fundamental purposes for scenario designs (decision making, sensitivity analysis, value of information, situational awareness, horizon scanning, and forecasting) and how those purposes guide the structure of scenarios. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being (OpenAlex)
Source: ORCID
Added: February 1, 2024

2022 article

Could Earlier Availability of Boosters and Pediatric Vaccines Have Reduced Impact of COVID-19?

Rosenstrom, E. T., Ivy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., & Swann, J. L. (2022, December 11). 2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC).

By: E. Rosenstrom n , J. Ivy n, M. Mayorga n  & J. Swann n 

topics (OpenAlex): SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research; Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy; COVID-19 epidemiological studies
TL;DR: The results of the simulation model suggest that the timing of childhood vaccination and booster efforts could have resulted in a reduced disease burden and that prioritizing childhood vaccinations would most effectively reduce disease spread. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
2. Zero Hunger (OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: September 5, 2023

2022 article

Optimizing the First Response to Sepsis: An Electronic Health Record-Based Markov Decision Process Model

Rosenstrom, E., Meshkinfam, S., Ivy, J. S., Goodarzi, S. H., Capan, M., Huddleston, J., & Romero-Brufau, S. (2022, July 22). Decision Analysis, Vol. 7.

By: E. Rosenstrom n , S. Meshkinfam  n, J. Ivy n, S. Goodarzi n, M. Capan*, J. Huddleston *, S. Romero-Brufau *

author keywords: clinical decision support; sepsis treatment; electronic health records; continuous-time Markov decision process; optimal stopping problem
topics (OpenAlex): Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment; Machine Learning in Healthcare; Healthcare Operations and Scheduling Optimization
TL;DR: A continuous-time Markov decision process (MDP) optimal stopping model is developed that identifies the optimal first intervention action (anti-infective, fluid, or wait) and an easily interpretable initial treatment heuristic that considers a patient’s organ dysfunction, location, and septic shock status is defined. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries, ORCID
Added: August 8, 2022

2022 article

Vaccinating children against COVID-19 is crucial to protect schools and communities

Rosenstrom, E. T., Mele, J., Ivy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., Patel, M. D., Lich, K. H., … Swann, J. L. (2022, June 8). (S. Galea, Ed.). PNAS Nexus.

By: E. Rosenstrom n , J. Mele  n, J. Ivy  n, M. Mayorga  n, M. Patel *, K. Lich *, P. Delamater *, R. Smith *, J. Swann  n

Ed(s): S. Galea

topics (OpenAlex): COVID-19 epidemiological studies; Infection Control and Ventilation; Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
TL;DR: A stochastic, agent-based simulation of North Carolina to test 24 health policy scenarios suggests that high vaccination uptake among both children and adults is necessary to mitigate the increase in infections from mask removal in schools and workplaces. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Source: ORCID
Added: June 10, 2022

2021 article

Association of Simulated COVID-19 Vaccination and Nonpharmaceutical Interventions With Infections, Hospitalizations, and Mortality

Patel, M. D., Rosenstrom, E., Ivy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., Keskinocak, P., Boyce, R. M., … Swann, J. L. (2021, June 1). JAMA Network Open, Vol. 6.

By: M. Patel *, E. Rosenstrom n , J. Ivy n, M. Mayorga n , P. Keskinocak *, R. Boyce *, K. Lich *, R. Smith * ...

MeSH headings : Adult; COVID-19 / epidemiology; COVID-19 / prevention & control; COVID-19 / transmission; COVID-19 Vaccines / pharmacology; Communicable Disease Control / methods; Communicable Disease Control / organization & administration; Communicable Disease Control / statistics & numerical data; Computer Simulation; Disease Transmission, Infectious / prevention & control; Female; Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data; Humans; Male; Mass Vaccination / organization & administration; Mass Vaccination / statistics & numerical data; Mortality; North Carolina / epidemiology; Risk Assessment / methods; Risk Assessment / statistics & numerical data; SARS-CoV-2; Treatment Outcome; Vaccination Coverage / organization & administration; Vaccination Coverage / statistics & numerical data
topics (OpenAlex): SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research; Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy; COVID-19 epidemiological studies
TL;DR: Findings highlight the need for high COVID-19 vaccine coverage and continued adherence to NPIs before safely resuming many prepandemic activities. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goals Color Wheel
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
3. Good Health and Well-being (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: June 10, 2021

2021 article

Mask Interventions in K12 Schools Can Also Reduce Community Transmission in Fall 2021

Mele, J., Rosenstrom, E., Ivy, J., Mayorga, M., Patel, M. D., & Swann, J. (2021, September 15). (Vol. 9). Vol. 9.

By: J. Mele  n, E. Rosenstrom n , J. Ivy  n, M. Mayorga  n, M. Patel * & J. Swann n 

topics (OpenAlex): Infection Control and Ventilation; COVID-19 and healthcare impacts; COVID-19 epidemiological studies
TL;DR: It is shown that given the current vaccination rates within the community, the best option for children and the general population is to employ consistent high-quality masking, and use social distancing where possible. (via Semantic Scholar)
Source: ORCID
Added: September 16, 2021

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