Works (21)

Updated: April 5th, 2024 04:14

2023 journal article

Denser forests across the USA experience more damage from insects and pathogens

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 13(1).

By: C. Asaro*, F. Koch* & K. Potter n

MeSH headings : Animals; Forests; Insecta; Records; Trees
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, ORCID, NC State University Libraries
Added: March 5, 2023

2022 article

Hotspots of pest-induced US urban tree death, 2020-2050

Hudgins, E. J., Koch, F. H., Ambrose, M. J., & Leung, B. (2022, March 13). JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY.

author keywords: economic impact; emerald ash borer; forest ecology; invasive insects; invasive species; scenario modelling; street trees
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: March 28, 2022

2021 journal article

Recent Immigrant Insect Fauna-Another Look at a Classic Analysis

JOURNAL OF INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT, 12(1).

By: Y. Takeuchi n, F. Koch* & S. Nelson n

Ed(s): J. Green

author keywords: invasive species; phytosanitary; immigrant fauna; invasive trend; trade
TL;DR: Although the diversity of alien species’ origins has increased through time, there has not been a corresponding change in the rate of introductions of species of phytosanitary importance, which is inconsistent with the original assumption of a positive nonlinear relationship with international trade imports. (via Semantic Scholar)
Sources: Web Of Science, ORCID, NC State University Libraries
Added: November 1, 2021

2013 journal article

A New Multicriteria Risk Mapping Approach Based on a Multiattribute Frontier Concept

RISK ANALYSIS, 33(9), 1694–1709.

By: D. Yemshanov*, F. Koch n, Y. Ben-Haim*, M. Downing*, F. Sapio* & M. Siltanen*

author keywords: pest risk mapping; multicriteria aggregation; robustness to uncertainty; Agrilus biguttatus; nondominant set; multiattribute efficient frontier
MeSH headings : Algorithms; Animals; Canada; Coleoptera; Environmental Monitoring / methods; Geographic Information Systems; Geography; Introduced Species; Models, Statistical; Risk Assessment / methods; Trees; Uncertainty; United States
TL;DR: Overall, aggregation based on a delineation of multiattribute efficient frontiers can be a useful tool to prioritize risks for anticipated invasive pests, which usually have an extremely poor prior knowledge base. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2012 journal article

A dominance-based approach to map risks of ecological invasions in the presence of severe uncertainty

DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS, 18(1), 33–46.

By: D. Yemshanov*, F. Koch n, D. Lyons*, M. Ducey* & K. Koehler*

author keywords: Agrilus planipennis; epistemic uncertainty; human-assisted spread; invasive species; pathway model; stochastic dominance
TL;DR: This work presents a model‐based approach to map risk of ecological invasions that combines two potentially conflicting goals: estimating the likelihood of a new organism being established at a given locale and quantifying the uncertainty of that prediction. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2012 journal article

Dispersal of Invasive Forest Insects via Recreational Firewood: A Quantitative Analysis

JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC ENTOMOLOGY, 105(2), 438–450.

By: F. Koch*, D. Yemshanov, R. Magarey* & W. Smith*

author keywords: biological invasion; firewood; invasive forest pest; human-mediated dispersal; long-distance dispersal
MeSH headings : Animal Migration; Animals; Camping; Insecta / physiology; Introduced Species; Models, Biological; Population Dynamics; Species Specificity; Travel; United States; Wood
TL;DR: The risk of forest insect spread with firewood and related dispersal parameters for application in geographically explicit invasion models is analyzed and found to be strongly leptokurtic (fat-tailed) and fairly well fit by the unbounded Johnson and lognormal distributions. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: August 6, 2018

2011 journal article

Potential establishment of alien-invasive forest insect species in the United States: where and how many?

BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS, 13(4), 969–985.

By: F. Koch n, D. Yemshanov*, M. Colunga-Garcia*, R. Magarey n & W. Smith*

author keywords: Alien-invasive species; Forest pests; Human-mediated dispersal; Commodity flow; Global trade; Establishment rates
TL;DR: This national-scale assessment provides a realistic depiction of human-assisted establishment potential in the US as well as functional inputs for quantitative models of invasion and support broad-scale biosecurity and management strategies. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: August 6, 2018

2011 journal article

Southern pine beetle regional outbreaks modeled on landscape, climate and infestation history

FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 261(3), 473–479.

By: A. Duehl*, F. Koch n & F. Hain n

author keywords: Classification and Regression Tree; Insect infestation; Logistic regression; Dendroctonus frontalis; Pinus taeda
TL;DR: This analysis suggested that there are predisposing and inciting factors at the large scale but the driving factors leading to individual infestations operate at smaller scales, and climatic variables are stronger indicators of outbreak likelihood than landscape structure and cover variables. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2010 journal article

Detection capacity, information gaps and the design of surveillance programs for invasive forest pests

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT, 91(12), 2535–2546.

By: D. Yemshanova, F. Koch n, Y. Ben-Haim* & W. Smith*

author keywords: Info-gap; Sirex noctilio; Robustness; Opportuneness; Invasion model; Spatial simulation; Pareto frontier; Multi-criteria ranking
MeSH headings : Animals; Introduced Species; Models, Statistical; Pinus / parasitology; Population Dynamics; Uncertainty; United States; Wasps
TL;DR: An alternative approach in which these outputs are combined via the Pareto ranking technique into a single priority map that outlines the survey regions with the best trade-offs between both surveillance strategies. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2010 journal article

Pest Risk Maps for Invasive Alien Species: A Roadmap for Improvement

BIOSCIENCE, 60(5), 349–362.

By: R. Venette*, D. Kriticos*, R. Magarey n, F. Koch n, R. Baker*, S. Worner*, N. Raboteaux*, D. McKenney* ...

author keywords: biological invasions; biosecurity; ecological niche models; climate change; pest risk assessment
TL;DR: The need for pest risk maps is described, a comparison of pest risk mapping methods is compared, and future research to improve such important decision-support tools is recommended. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Sources: Web Of Science, NC State University Libraries
Added: August 6, 2018

2010 conference paper

Predicting climate change extirpation risk for central and southern Appalachian forest tree species

Proceedings from the Conference on Ecology and Management of High-Elevation Forests of the Central and Southern Appalachian Mountains, 179–189.

By: K. Potter, W. Hargrove & F. Koch

Source: NC State University Libraries
Added: August 6, 2018

2010 journal article

Robustness of Risk Maps and Survey Networks to Knowledge Gaps About a New Invasive Pest

RISK ANALYSIS, 30(2), 261–276.

By: D. Yemshanov*, F. Koch n, Y. Ben-Haim* & W. Smith*

author keywords: Decision theory; info-gap; robustness to uncertainty; Sirex noctilio; survey network
MeSH headings : Animals; Communication; Data Collection; Humans; Hymenoptera; North America; Plague; Population Groups; Probability; Risk; Risk Assessment; Trees; Uncertainty
TL;DR: It is illustrated how the dependency between the extent of uncertainties and the degree of robustness of a risk map can be used to select a surveillance network design that is most robust to knowledge gaps about the pest. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
14. Life Below Water (OpenAlex)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2009 journal article

Evaluating Critical Uncertainty Thresholds in a Spatial Model of Forest Pest Invasion Risk

RISK ANALYSIS, 29(9), 1227–1241.

By: F. Koch n, D. Yemshanov*, D. McKenney* & W. Smith*

author keywords: Invasive species; parametric uncertainty; pest risk mapping; stochastic modeling; sensitivity analysis
MeSH headings : Animals; Risk Assessment; Stochastic Processes; Trees; Uncertainty; Wasps
TL;DR: A sensitivity analysis of the mapped risk estimates to variation in key model parameters for Sirex noctilio, a nonnative woodwasp recently detected in the United States and Canada, suggests that the maximum annual spread distance was by far the most sensitive parameter. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2009 journal article

Mapping Invasive Species Risks with Stochastic Models: A Cross-Border United States-Canada Application for Sirex noctilio Fabricius

RISK ANALYSIS, 29(6), 868–884.

By: D. Yemshanov*, F. Koch n, D. McKenney*, M. Downing* & F. Sapio*

author keywords: Binary entropy; global entry potential; host resource; marine imports; ports of entry; risk mapping; Sirex noctilio; stochastic model
MeSH headings : Animals; Canada; Hymenoptera; Risk Assessment; Stochastic Processes; United States
TL;DR: A stochastic simulation approach is presented to quantify S. noctilio risks and uncertainties in a single integrated product and should be appealing to decisionmakers, since it accounts for projected flows of commodities that may serve as conduits for pest entry. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
14. Life Below Water (OpenAlex)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2009 review

Towards an integrated approach to modelling the risks and impacts of invasive forest species

[Review of ]. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEWS, 17, 163–178.

UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2008 journal article

Invasive forest pest surveillance: survey development and reliability

CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH-REVUE CANADIENNE DE RECHERCHE FORESTIERE, 38(9), 2422–2433.

By: J. Coulston n, F. Koch, W. Smith n & F. Sapio n

TL;DR: Worldwide, a large number of potential pest species are introduced to locations outside their native ranges; under the best possible prevention scheme, some are likely to establish one or more loca... (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2008 journal article

Spatio-temporal analysis of Xyleborus glabratus (Coleoptera : Circulionidae : Scolytinae) invasion in eastern US forests

ENVIRONMENTAL ENTOMOLOGY, 37(2), 442–452.

By: F. Koch* & W. Smith*

author keywords: Xyleborus glabratus; ambrosia beetle; redbay; climate matching; cost-weighted distance
TL;DR: Key areas with high concentrations of redbay have yet to be invaded, but some are immediately threatened; climatic conditions may serve to constrain X. glabratus to the southeastern U.S. coastal region; and disruption of anthropogenic, long-distance dispersal could reduce the likelihood of this outcome. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
14. Life Below Water (OpenAlex)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2007 journal article

Forestry matters: Decline of oaks will impact wildlife in hardwood forests

JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT, 71(5), 1717–1728.

By: W. McShea*, W. Healy*, P. Devers, T. Fearer*, F. Koch n, D. Stauffer*, J. Waldon

author keywords: acorns; deer; fire; forest management; Forest Stewardship Council; foundation species; private forests; oak; Quercus
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2006 journal article

Comparing the potential effectiveness of conservation planning approaches in central North Carolina, USA

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION, 128(3), 358–368.

By: G. Hess n, F. Koch n, M. Rubino n, K. Eschelbach*, C. Drew n & J. Favreau n

author keywords: conservation planning; focal species; biological inventory data; reserve design; surrogate species; conservation targets
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, ORCID, NC State University Libraries
Added: August 6, 2018

2006 journal article

Landscape-scale prediction of hemlock woolly adelgid, Adelges tsugae (Homoptera : Adelgidae), infestation in the southern Appalachian Mountains

ENVIRONMENTAL ENTOMOLOGY, 35(5), 1313–1323.

By: F. Koch n, H. Cheshire n & H. Devine n

author keywords: hemlock woolly adelgid; southern Appalachians; dispersal; prediction; landscape connectivity
TL;DR: It is suggested that roads, major trails, and riparian corridors provide connectivity enabling long-distance dispersal of A. tsugae in the Great Smoky Mountains, allowing forest managers to better target control efforts. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science)
Source: Web Of Science
Added: August 6, 2018

2006 journal article

Recommendations for assessing the effectiveness of surrogate species approaches

BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION, 15(12), 3949–3969.

By: J. Favreau n, C. Drew n, G. Hess n, M. Rubino n, F. Koch n & K. Eschelbach*

author keywords: effectiveness; flagship species; focal species; indicator species; keystone species; surrogate species; umbrella species
TL;DR: Tests of the effectiveness of surrogate species planning are reviewed to see if research supports the development of generalized rules for determining when and where surrogate species are an effective conservation tool and how surrogate species should be selected such that the resulting conservation plan will effectively protect biodiversity or achieve other conservation goals. (via Semantic Scholar)
UN Sustainable Development Goal Categories
13. Climate Action (Web of Science)
15. Life on Land (Web of Science; OpenAlex)
Sources: Web Of Science, ORCID, NC State University Libraries
Added: August 6, 2018

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