@article{jurjonas_seekamp_2019, title={Balancing carbon dioxide: a case study of forest preservation, out-migration, and afforestation in the Pueblos Mancomunados of Oaxaca, Mexico}, volume={38}, ISSN={1054-9811 1540-756X}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10549811.2019.1602058}, DOI={10.1080/10549811.2019.1602058}, abstractNote={ABSTRACT Carbon-based payments for ecosystem services solely consider afforestation and reforestation to assess sequestration. However, political ecology researchers demonstrate that tropical forests are complex socioecological systems where humans and institutions play an integral role in shaping landscapes. The current framing overlooks the net effect of traditional subsistence agriculturalists leaving behind low emission lifestyles, despite the likelihood of a significant increase in per capita emissions over time. In this case study, we use the history of forest use in the Pueblos Mancomunados—a commonwealth of indigenous communities in Oaxaca, Mexico—to explore sequestration through a socioecological systems lens. As negative emissions programs consider afforestation, we triangulated semistructured interviews, an unsupervised GIS classification of land cover, and a review of carbon dioxide emissions to consider out-migration, abandonment, and lifestyle change. We find that communities are struggling to maintain livelihoods as migration to urban centers and the United States continues. Meanwhile, spatial analysis revealed 800 ha of afforestation. Our analysis of out-migration scenarios and per capita emissions changes identified a tipping point in which no net-sequestration would occur from afforestation due to the changing lifestyles of the migrants and recommend improved local development to avoid this form of “leakage” when assessing global carbon stocks.}, number={7}, journal={Journal of Sustainable Forestry}, publisher={Informa UK Limited}, author={Jurjonas, Matthew and Seekamp, Erin}, year={2019}, month={Apr}, pages={697–714} } @article{seekamp_jurjonas_bitsura-meszaros_2019, title={Influences on coastal tourism demand and substitution behaviors from climate change impacts and hazard recovery responses}, volume={27}, ISSN={0966-9582 1747-7646}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2019.1599005}, DOI={10.1080/09669582.2019.1599005}, abstractNote={Abstract Climate change impacts can negatively affect tourism demand and, subsequently, local economies by disrupting access and altering physical conditions, including those from adaptation and recovery efforts. Research is needed that helps destinations become more climate ready, including studies of decision factors that influence trip-taking behaviors. This paper presents findings from a discrete choice experiment to determine how physical and economic changes could affect visitation behaviors to a vulnerable coastal destination, the Outer Banks region of North Carolina, USA. We embedded our experiment within an on-site visitor survey to reveal thresholds of negative changes to coastal attributes that tourists are willing to tolerate, and also examined tourists’ willingness to substitute their future trips to the region. Transportation-related changes had the highest relative importance among the four selected attributes. The likelihood of three types of spatial substitution, spurred by not being able to access the destination, were consistently related to residency but less consistently related to place meanings, visitation history, and other demographic variables. Study results can inform climate change planning within coastal zones to minimize negative impacts to tourism demand, such as the need to develop creative revenue streams to maintain resilience in communities that rely on occupancy taxes.}, number={5}, journal={Journal of Sustainable Tourism}, publisher={Informa UK Limited}, author={Seekamp, Erin and Jurjonas, Matthew and Bitsura-Meszaros, Karly}, year={2019}, month={Apr}, pages={629–648} } @article{bhattachan_jurjonas_morris_taillie_smart_emanuel_seekamp_2019, title={Linking residential saltwater intrusion risk perceptions to physical exposure of climate change impacts in rural coastal communities of North Carolina}, volume={97}, ISSN={0921-030X 1573-0840}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03706-0}, DOI={10.1007/s11069-019-03706-0}, number={3}, journal={Natural Hazards}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Bhattachan, Abinash and Jurjonas, Matthew D. and Morris, Priscilla R. and Taillie, Paul J. and Smart, Lindsey S. and Emanuel, Ryan E. and Seekamp, Erin L.}, year={2019}, month={Jul}, pages={1277–1295} } @article{jurjonas_crossman_solomon_baez_2016, title={Potential links between certified organic coffee and deforestation in a protected area in Chiapas, Mexico}, volume={78}, journal={World Development}, author={Jurjonas, M. and Crossman, K. and Solomon, J. and Baez, W. L.}, year={2016}, pages={13–21} }