@article{stemkovski_pearse_griffin_pardee_gibbs_griswold_neff_oram_rightmyer_sheffield_et al._2020, title={Bee phenology is predicted by climatic variation and functional traits}, volume={23}, ISSN={1461-023X 1461-0248}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ele.13583}, DOI={10.1111/ele.13583}, abstractNote={Climate change is shifting the environmental cues that determine the phenology of interacting species. Plant-pollinator systems may be susceptible to temporal mismatch if bees and flowering plants differ in their phenological responses to warming temperatures. While the cues that trigger flowering are well-understood, little is known about what determines bee phenology. Using generalised additive models, we analyzed time-series data representing 67 bee species collected over 9 years in the Colorado Rocky Mountains to perform the first community-wide quantification of the drivers of bee phenology. Bee emergence was sensitive to climatic variation, advancing with earlier snowmelt timing, whereas later phenophases were best explained by functional traits including overwintering stage and nest location. Comparison of these findings to a long-term flower study showed that bee phenology is less sensitive than flower phenology to climatic variation, indicating potential for reduced synchrony of flowers and pollinators under climate change.}, number={11}, journal={Ecology Letters}, publisher={Wiley}, author={Stemkovski, Michael and Pearse, William D. and Griffin, Sean R. and Pardee, Gabriella L. and Gibbs, Jason and Griswold, Terry and Neff, John L. and Oram, Ryan and Rightmyer, Molly G. and Sheffield, Cory S. and et al.}, editor={Coulson, TimEditor}, year={2020}, month={Aug}, pages={1589–1598} }
 @article{stemkovski_baraldi_flores_banks_2016, title={Validation of a mathematical model for green algae (Raphidocelis Subcapitata) growth and implications for a coupled dynamical system with Daphnia magna}, volume={6}, number={5}, journal={Applied Sciences-Basel}, author={Stemkovski, M. and Baraldi, R. and Flores, K. B. and Banks, H. T.}, year={2016} }
 @article{adoteye_banks_cross_eytcheson_flores_leblanc_nguyen_ross_smith_stemkovski_et al._2015, title={Statistical validation of structured population models for Daphnia magna}, volume={266}, ISSN={0025-5564}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2015.06.003}, DOI={10.1016/j.mbs.2015.06.003}, abstractNote={In this study we use statistical validation techniques to verify density-dependent mechanisms hypothesized for populations of Daphnia magna. We develop structured population models that exemplify specific mechanisms and use multi-scale experimental data in order to test their importance. We show that fecundity and survival rates are affected by both time-varying density-independent factors, such as age, and density-dependent factors, such as competition. We perform uncertainty analysis and show that our parameters are estimated with a high degree of confidence. Furthermore, we perform a sensitivity analysis to understand how changes in fecundity and survival rates affect population size and age-structure.}, journal={Mathematical Biosciences}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Adoteye, Kaska and Banks, H.T. and Cross, Karissa and Eytcheson, Stephanie and Flores, Kevin B. and LeBlanc, Gerald A. and Nguyen, Timothy and Ross, Chelsea and Smith, Emmaline and Stemkovski, Michael and et al.}, year={2015}, month={Aug}, pages={73–84} }