@article{yu_lu_yang_ghosh_2022, title={A multiplicative structural nested mean model for zero-inflated outcomes}, volume={8}, ISSN={["1464-3510"]}, DOI={10.1093/biomet/asac050}, abstractNote={Zero-inflated nonnegative outcomes are common in many applications. In this work, motivated by freemium mobile game data, we propose a class of multiplicative structural nested mean models for zero-inflated nonnegative outcomes which flexibly describes the joint effect of a sequence of treatments in the presence of time-varying confounders. The proposed estimator solves a doubly robust estimating equation, where the nuisance functions, namely the propensity score and conditional outcome means given confounders, are estimated parametrically or nonparametrically. To improve the accuracy, we leverage the characteristic of zero-inflated outcomes by estimating the conditional means in two parts, that is, separately modelling the probability of having positive outcomes given confounders, and the mean outcome conditional on its being positive and given the confounders. We show that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal as either the sample size or the follow-up time goes to infinity. Moreover, the typical sandwich formula can be used to estimate the variance of treatment effect estimators consistently, without accounting for the variation due to estimating nuisance functions. Simulation studies and an application to a freemium mobile game dataset are presented to demonstrate the empirical performance of the proposed method and support our theoretical findings.}, journal={BIOMETRIKA}, author={Yu, Miao and Lu, Wenbin and Yang, Shu and Ghosh, Pulak}, year={2022}, month={Aug} } @article{yu_lu_song_2021, title={Online Testing of Subgroup Treatment Effects Based on Value Difference}, ISSN={["1550-4786"]}, DOI={10.1109/ICDM51629.2021.00189}, abstractNote={Online A/B testing plays a critical role in the high-tech industry to guide product development and accelerate innovation. It performs a null hypothesis statistical test to determine which variant is better. However, a typical A/B test presents two problems: (i) a fixed-horizon framework inflates the false-positive errors under continuous monitoring; (ii) the homogeneous effects assumption fails to identify a subgroup with a beneficial treatment effect. In this paper, we propose a sequential test for sub group t reatment effects based on val ue difference, named SUBTLE, to address these two problems simultaneously. The SUBTLE allows the experimenters to “peek” at the results during the experiment without harming the statistical guarantees. It assumes heterogeneous treatment effects and aims to test if some subgroup of the population will benefit from the investigative treatment. If the testing result indicates the existence of such a subgroup, a subgroup will be identified using a readily available estimated optimal treatment rule. We examine the empirical performance of our proposed test on both simulations and a real dataset. The results show that the SUBTLE has high detection power with controlled type I error at any time, is more robust to noise covariates, and can achieve early stopping compared with the corresponding fixed-horizon test.}, journal={2021 21ST IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA MINING (ICDM 2021)}, author={Yu, Miao and Lu, Wenbin and Song, Rui}, year={2021}, pages={1463–1468} } @article{jiao_yu_holten_lindsey_bocian_2017, title={Characterization of Hydroporphyrins Covalently Attached to Si(100)}, volume={21}, ISSN={["1099-1409"]}, DOI={10.1142/s1088424617500547}, abstractNote={Attachment of synthetic analogs of natural tetrapyrroles to electroactive surfaces enables physicochemical interrogation and may provide material for use in catalysis, diagnostics, and energy conversion. Six synthetic zinc chlorins and one free base bacteriochlorin, tailored analogs of chlorophyll and bacteriochlorophyll, respectively, have been attached to Si(100) via a high-temperature (400°C) baking method. The hydroporphyrins bear diverse functional groups that enable surface attachment (vinyl, acetyl, triisopropylsilylethynyl, pentafluorophenyl, and hydroxymethylphenyl) and a geminal dimethyl group in each reduced ring for stabilization toward adventitious dehydrogenation. The films were examined by cyclic voltammetry, FTIR spectroscopy, X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, and ellipsometry. Monofunctionalized and difunctionalized hydroporphyrins gave monolayer and multilayer films, respectively, indicating robustness of the hydroporphyrin molecules, but in each case the film was more heterogeneous than observed with comparable porphyrins. The data suggest that some amount of unattached molecules remain intercalated with surface-attached molecules. Additional molecular designs will need to be examined to develop a deep understanding of the structure-activity relationship for formation of homogeneous monolayers and multilayers of synthetic hydroporphyrins.}, number={7-8}, journal={JOURNAL OF PORPHYRINS AND PHTHALOCYANINES}, author={Jiao, Jieying and Yu, Miao and Holten, Dewey and Lindsey, Jonathan S. and Bocian, David F.}, year={2017}, pages={453–464} }