Sankarasubramanian Arumugam

Assessing inter-annual variability in nitrogen sourcing and retention through hybrid Bayesian watershed modeling

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2.

Climatic and Landscape Controls on Long‐Term Baseflow

Water Resources Research, 57(6).

Dams and Climate Interact to Alter River Flow Regimes Across the United States

Earth's Future, 9(4).

Performance Comparison of Equivalent Reservoir and Multireservoir Models in Forecasting Hydropower Potential for Linking Water and Power Systems

Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 147(4), 04021005.

Tropical cyclones contribution to seasonal precipitation and streamflow using station based data in Southeastern and Southcentral United States

Geophysical Research Letters.

A framework for ecological flow allocation in multiple reservoir operation

Chalise, D., Arumugam, S., Mahinthakumar, G., Ranjithan, R. S., Eaton, M., & Vidal, A. R. (2020, December 15). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

A performance‐based multi‐model combination approach to reduce uncertainty in seasonal temperature change projections

International Journal of Climatology, 41(S1).

America's Water: Multiscale Forecasting and Innovation in Infrastructure Design & Management Instruments is critical for Climate Adaptation

Lall, U., Arumugam, S., Cioffi, F., Devineni, N., Doss-Gollin, J., Kwon, H., & Rajagopalan, B. (2020, December 15). America's Water: Multiscale Forecasting and Innovation in Infrastructure Design & Management Instruments is critical for Climate Adaptation. Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

COREGS: An optimization framework to analyze water and power systems together under a changing climate

Ford, L. C., Queiroz, A., DeCarolis, J., & Arumugam, S. (2020, December 15). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

Changing Seasonality of Annual Maximum Floods over the Conterminous US

Basu, B., Bhowmik, R. D., & Arumugam, S. (2020, November 24).

Climate and Water Management: Opportunities and Challenges” by the Government of India (Invited talk)

Arumugam, S. (2020, October). Presented at the Government of India, Vaibhav Summit.

Developing the hydrological dependency structure between streamgage and reservoir networks

Scientific Data, 7(1), 319.

GRAPS: Generalized Multi-Reservoir Analyses using probabilistic streamflow forecasts

Environmental Modelling & Software, 133, 104802.

HESS Opinions: Beyond the long-term water balance: evolving Budyko's supply–demand framework for the Anthropocene towards a global synthesis of land-surface fluxes under natural and human-altered watersheds

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24(4), 1975–1984.

Synthesis of Irrigation Water Use in the United States: Spatiotemporal Patterns

JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT, 146(7).

Technical Note: Evaluation of the skill in monthly-to-seasonal soil moisture forecasting based on SMAP satellite observations over the southeastern US

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24(3), 1073–1079.

The Roles of Climate Forcing and Its Variability on Streamflow at Daily, Monthly, Annual, and Long‐Term Scales

Water Resources Research, 56(7).

The Roles of Climate Variability on Runoff at Daily, Monthly, Annual, and Long-term Scales

Yao, L., Libera, D., Kheimi, M. M. A., Arumugam, S., & Wang, D. (2020, January 29). (Vol. 1). Vol. 1.

The Urban Flooding Open Knowledge Network: Delivering Flood Information to AnyOne, AnyTime AnyWhere

Merwade, V., Yeghiazarian, L., Arumugam, S., Cai, X., Shepherd, A., Johnson, M., & Riasi, M. S. (2020, December 15). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

Understanding the food-energy-water nexus through hydroeconomic modeling under near-term climate change and regional development portfolios

Kumar, H., Arumugam, S., & Zhu, T. (2020, December 15). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

Water Security under changing climate: Stressors, Opportunities and Challenges

Arumugam, S. (2020, October). Presented at the University of Colorado, Boulder.

A Geo-processing Tool for co-locating the dependency of critical infrastructure with hydrologic information network

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Challenges in Understanding Continental Scale Groundwater Variability, Change and Appropriation

Presented at the National Academies Workshop on Groundwater Recharge and Flow: Approaches and Challenges for Monitoring and Modeling Using Remotely Sensed Data, Washington, DC.

Climate-Water-Energy Nexus: An Integrated Modeling Framework to Analyze Water and Power Systems Under a Changing Climate

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Complete spatial model calibration

The Annals of Applied Statistics, 13(2), 746–766.

How Regional Evapotranspiration Fluxes are altered due to Urbanization?

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

How does flow alteration propagate across a large, highly-regulated basin? Dam attributes, network context, and implications for biodiversity

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Human and climate variables explain spatio-temporal patterns of streamflow variation across the United States

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Improving monthly streamflow forecasts through assimilation of observed streamflow for rainfall-dominated basins across the CONUS

Journal of Hydrology, 575, 704–715.

Limitations of univariate linear bias correction in yielding cross‐correlation between monthly precipitation and temperature

International Journal of Climatology, 39(11), 4479–4496.

Repurposing an energy system optimization model for seasonal power generation planning

Energy, 181, 1321–1330.

Revising Flood-Frequency Curves under Climate Change in the United States

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Sustainable Urban Systems: Managing the Urban Multiplex and its Hydrologic Challenges

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Sustainable Water Management in the Lower Colorado Basin: Influence of Climate and Regulatory Context on the Ability to Meet Human and Environmental Water Needs

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

The Roles of Climate Variability on Runoff at Daily, Monthly, Inter-annual, and Mean Annual Scales

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

The Utility of Gauge-measured Streamflow Records in Improving Month-ahead Streamflow Forecasts through Variational Data Assimilation

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

The role of climate on crop yield per unit area across the contiguous United States

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

The role of cross-correlation between precipitation and temperature in basin-scale simulations of hydrologic variables

Journal of Hydrology, 570, 304–314.

Understanding Drivers of Subseasonal to Seasonal Streamflow Variability over Contiguous United States

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Using an Integrated Groundwater and Surface Water Model for Understanding the Effects of Climate Change Scenarios on the Food-Energy-Water Nexus

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

What defines a flood? Building shared understanding across differing attributes and definitions of flooding

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

A Conceptual Approach using the Limits Concept for Extending Budyko's Framework for Natural Watersheds and Human-Altered Landscapes

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

A non-parametric bootstrapping framework embedded in a toolkit for assessing water quality model performance

Environmental Modelling & Software, 107, 25–33.

Application of Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecast in multipurpose multi-reservoir system for water and energy management

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

Assessing the restoration time of surface water and groundwater systems under groundwater pumping

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 32(9), 2741–2759.

Characterizing and predicting Yelp users' behavior

Highlighting the Importance of Big Data Management and Analysis for Various Applications, 27, 17–35.

Climate-Water-Energy Nexus: Opportunities and Challenge

Arumugam, S. (2018, October). Presented at the CoPE workshop, Atlanta, Georgia.

Climate-Water-Energy Nexus: Uncertainty Reduction in Climate Forecasts Using Multimodel Combination and their Relevance to Water and Energy Management

Presented at the World Council for Energy and Climate, Shanghai.

Climate-Water-Energy Nexus: Uncertainty Reduction in Climate Forecasts using Multimodel Combination and their relevance to Water and Energy Management

(2018, June 19). Presented at the Indian Institute of Science.

Conjunctive management of surface water and groundwater resources under drought conditions using a fully coupled hydrological model

Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 144(9).

Effects of dam purpose and degree of regulation on flow regime alteration over the continental United States

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

Evaluating the Controls of the Long-Term Water Balance through a Conceptual Hydrological Model Representing Saturation Excess and Infiltration Excess Runoff Generations

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

Global assessment of evapotranspiration impacted by anthropogenic land cover changes

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

Modeling the Irrigation Withdrawals Over the Coterminous US Using a Hierarchical Modeling Approach

Water Resources Research, 54(6), 3769–3787.

Monthly hydroclimatology of the continental United States

Advances in Water Resources, 114, 180–195.

Multivariate bias corrections of mechanistic water quality model predictions

Journal of Hydrology, 564, 529–541.

Role of Pacific SSTs in improving reconstructed streamflow over the coterminous US

Scientific Reports, 8(1).

Seasonal Ensemble Forecast Post-processing

In Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting (pp. 1–27).

Synthesis of public water supply use in the United States and China: Spatio-temporal patterns and socio-economic controls

(2018, May). Presented at the Tsinghua University, Beijing.

Synthesis on National Water Use: Spatial Patterns and Socio-economic Controls, State of America’s Water: Present and Future

Arumugam, S. (2018, April). Presented at the University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio.

Synthesis on National Water Use: Spatial Patterns and Socio-economic Controls, State of America’s Water: Present and Future

Arumugam, S. (2018, January). Presented at the NOAA Science Seminar Series.

The Role of Spatial Variability of Climate Variables on the Long-Term Water Balance Using a Semi-distributed (SWAT) Mechanistic Model

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

Understanding the cumulative effects of dams on regional streamflow dynamics

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

WSC - Category 3: Collaborative Research: Water Sustainability under Near-term Climate Change: A Cross-Regional Analysis Incorporating Socio-Ecological Feedbacks and Adaptations

[National Science Foundation].

Water

In D. R. Reidmiller, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, K. L. M. Lewis, T. K. Maycock, & B. C. Stewart (Eds.), Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: The Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II.

Water: Fourth U.S. National Climate Assessment (NCA4) Volume 2, Chapter 3

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC.

A Hybrid Approach Towards Streamflow Reconstruction Using Tree-ring Chronologies and Ssts over the United States

Patskoski, J. S., Mukhopadhyaya, S., & Arumugam, S. (2017, May 21). Presented at the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (EWRI), Sacramento, CA.

Climate Informed Uncertainty Analyzes for Integrated Water Resources Sustainability

[Technical Report]. National Science Foundation.

Data Assimilation using observed streamflow and remotely-sensed soil moisture for improving sub-seasonal-to-seasonal forecasting

Mazrooei, A., Arumugam, S., Lakshmi, V., & Wood, A. (2017, December 11). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, New Orleans, LA.

Decomposition of Sources of Errors in Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting over the US Sunbelt

Arumugam, S. (2017, July). Presented at the University Council for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado.

Equivalent Reservoir Modeling for Multipurpose and Multi-reservoir Systems over the Southern United States

Mukhopadhyaya, S., Quieroz, A., & Arumugam, S. (2017, May 21). Presented at the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (EWRI), Sacramento, CA.

Impact of Correlation Between Precipitation and Temperature on Hydrologic Simulations

Seo, S. B., Bhowmik, R. D., Mahinthakumar, G., & Arumugam, S. (2017, May 21). Presented at the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (EWRI), Sacramento, CA.

Integrated Drought Monitoring and Forecasts for Decision Making in Water and Agricultural Sectors over the Southeastern US under Changing Climate

Arumugam, S., Mazrooei, A., & Cumbie-Ward, R. (2017, December 11). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, New Orleans, LA.

Multivariate Bias Correction Procedures for Improving Water Quality Predictions from the SWAT Model

Libera, D., & Arumugam, S. (2017, December 11). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, New Orleans, LA.

Multivariate Downscaling Approach Preserving Cross Correlations across Climate Variables for Projecting Hydrologic Fluxes

Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(8), 2187–2205.

Patterns and drivers of fish extirpations in rivers of the American Southwest and Southeast

Global Change Biology, 24(3), 1175–1185.

Reducing Model Structural Uncertainty in Climate Model Projections—A Rank-Based Model Combination Approach

Journal of Climate, 30(24), 10139–10154.

Reducing uncertainty in stochastic streamflow generation and reservoir sizing by combining observed, reconstructed and projected streamflow

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 32(4), 1065–1083.

Sub-seasonal-to-seasonal Reservoir Inflow Forecast using Bayesian Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model

Mukhopadhyaya, S., & Arumugam, S. (2017, December 11). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, New Orleans, LA.

Synthesis of public water supply use in the United States: Spatio‐temporal patterns and socio‐economic controls

Earth's Future, 5(7), 771–788.

Uncertainty Reduction in Climate Forecasts using Multimodel Combination and their Relevance to Water and Energy Management

Arumugam, S. (2017, March). Presented at the University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC.

Utilizing Climate Information for Improving Water, Energy, & Ecological Management

Arumugam, S. (2017, April). Utilizing Climate Information for Improving Water, Energy, & Ecological Management. Presented at the Southeast Climate Science Center, Raleigh, NC.

Utilizing Enkf Data Assimilation in Improving ‘abcd’ Lumped Water Balance Model Performance

Mazrooei, A., & Arumugan, S. (2017, May 21). Presented at the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (EWRI), Sacramento, CA.

Utilizing Probabilistic Downscaling Methods to Develop Streamflow Forecasts from Climate Forecasts

Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(11), 2959–2972.

Climate Variability and its Impacts over the Southeast

Arumugam, S. (2016, February). Presented at the Columbia University, New York.

Developing Categorical Streamflow Forecasts from Climate Forecasts Using Probabilistic Downscaling Methods

Mazrooei, A., & Arumugam, S. (2016, May 22). Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (EWRI), West Palm Beach, FL.

Flood forecasting a global perspective foreword

Flood Forecasting: A Global Perspective, XVII-.

Identification of dominant source of errors in developing streamflow and groundwater projections under near-term climate change

Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(13), 7652–7672.

Importance of Preserving Cross-correlation in developing Statistically Downscaled Climate Forcings

Bhowmik, R. D., & Arumugam, S. (2016, May 22). Presented at the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (EWRI), West Palm Beach, FL.

Multivariate Bias Correction Procedures for Improving Water Quality Predictions using Mechanistic Models

Libera, D., & Arumugam, S. (2016, May 22). Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (EWRI), West Palm Beach, FL.

Predictive Classical and Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling for Yearly Irrigation Water Withdrawal over the Coterminous USA

Das, P., & Arumugam, S. (2016, May 22). Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (EWRI), West Palm Beach, FL.

Role of multimodel combination and data assimilation in improving streamflow prediction over multiple time scales

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 30(8), 2255–2269.

Synthesis of US Public Water Supply: Spatio-temporal Patterns and Socio-Economic Controls

Arumugam, S., Ruhi, A., Sabo, J., Sinha, T., Seo, S. B., & Bhowmik, R. D. (2016, December 12). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Understanding the Effects of Groundwater Pumping on Streamflow: Human-Feedback Analysis on Downstream Impacts and Relevance to Reservoir Management

Seo, S. B., Mahinthakumar, G., Arumugam, S., & Kumar, M. (2016, May 22). Presented at the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (EWRI), West Palm Beach, Florida.

Utilizing Climate Forecasts for Improving Water and Power Systems Coordination

Arumugam, S., Quieroz, A., Patskoski, J., Mahinthakumar, G., & DeCarolis, J. (2016, December 12). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Water and ecological sustainability under near-term climate change

Arumugam, S. (2016, March). Presented at the Water Sustainability and Climate (WSC) PI meeting, National Science Foundation.

A framework for incorporating ecological releases in single reservoir operation

Advances in Water Resources, 78, 9–21.

Climate-Water-Energy Nexus: Opportunities and Challenges

Arumugam, S. (2015, March 23). Presented at the Private Sector Partnership Forum: Climate Services and Decision Support Tools for the Energy Sector, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva.

Decomposition of sources of errors in seasonal streamflow forecasting over the U.S. Sunbelt

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120(23).

Experimental Reservoir Storage Forecasts Utilizing Climate-Information Based Streamflow Forecasts

[Technical Report]. Raleigh, NC: NC Water Resources Research Institute.

Impacts of Near-Term Climate Change and Population Growth on Within-Year Reservoir Systems

Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 141(6), 04014078.

Improved reservoir sizing utilizing observed and reconstructed streamflows within a Bayesian combination framework

Water Resources Research, 51(7), 5677–5697.

Leonardo da Vinci: Contribution of the renaissance artist towards water management

Arumugam, S. (2015, October). Presented at the North Carolina Museum of Arts, Raleigh, NC.

Reconstructed streamflow using SST and tree-ring chronologies over the southeastern United States

Journal of Hydrology, 527, 761–775.

Synthesis on National Water Use: Spatial Patterns and Controls

Arumugam, S. (2015, October). Presented at the Tufts University, Medford, MA.

Synthesis on National Water Use: Spatial Patterns and Socio-economic Controls, State of America’s Water: Present and Future

Arumugam, S. (2015, May). Presented at the CUAHSI- Columbia Water Center Cyber seminar series.

The role of hydroclimate and water use on freshwater sustainability over the Coterminous US

Arumugam, S., Ruhi, A., Sabo, J., Sinha, T., Seo, S. B., & Bhowmik, R. D. (2015, December 14). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Understanding the low-frequency variability in hydroclimatic attributes over the southeastern US

Journal of Hydrology, 521, 170–181.

An Agent-Based Modeling Approach to Simulate the Dynamics of Water Supply and Water Demand

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2014. Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2014.

Climate risk management for water in semi–arid regions

Earth Perspectives, 1(1), 12.

Decomposition of sources of errors in monthly to seasonal streamflow forecasts in a rainfall-runoff regime

Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15(6), 2470–2483.

Global sea surface temperature forecasts using an improved multimodel approach

Journal of Climate, 27(10), 3505–3515.

Implications of Water Use and Hydroclimatic Anomalies on the Freshwater Sustainability across the US Sunbelt

Arumugam, S. (2014, December 15). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Improved Water and Energy Management Utilizing Seasonal to Interannual Hydroclimatic Forecasts

Arumugam, S., & Lall, U. (2014, December 15). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Improved regional water management utilizing climate forecasts: An interbasin transfer model with a risk management framework

Water Resources Research, 50(8), 6810–6827.

Improving Forecasts for Water Management

Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 95(1), 3–3.

Reducing the uncertainty in projecting future streamflow using paleo and instrumental records along with near-term climate change projections

Patskoski, J., & Arumugam, S. (2014, June). Presented at the Tufts University, Medford, MA.

Systematic uncertainty reduction strategies for developing streamflow forecasts utilizing multiple climate models and hydrologic models

Water Resources Research, 50(2), 1288–1307.

The Utility of CMIP5 Climate Change Projections in Estimating Hydrologic Impacts in the Conterminous US

Sinha, T., & Arumugam, S. (2014, June 18). Presented at the UCOWR-NIWR-CUAHSI International Conference, Tufts University, Medford, MA.

The role of retrospective weather forecasts in developing daily forecasts of nutrient loadings over the southeast US

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18(8), 2885–2898.

Water and ecological sustainability under near-term climate change

Arumugam, S. (2014, January 28). Presented at the Water Sustainability and Climate (WSC) PI meeting, National Institute of Food and Agriculture.

improving groundwater predictions utilizing seasonal precipitation forecasts from general circulation models forced with sea surface temperature forecasts

Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 19(1), 87–98.

A Complex Adaptive System Approach Assessing the Dynamics of Population Growth, Land Use, and Climate Change for Urban Water Resources Management

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2013. Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2013.

A Quantitative Framework for Assessing the Effects of Climate and Land-use Change on Streamflow

Ranjithan, R. S., Touma, D., Brill, E. D., & Sankarasubramanian, A. (2013, May 19). Presented at the World Environmental & Water Resources (EWRI) Conference, Cincinnati, Ohio.

Climate, Water and Energy Management in the Greater Horn of Africa

Arumugam, S. (2013, March). Presented at the Workshop on Water and Climate Change in Africa, Duke University, Durham, NC.

Climate-informed Uncertainty Analyses for Water and Energy Management

Arumugam, S. (2013, February). Presented at the Nicholas School of Environmental Policy, Duke University, Durham, NC.

Decomposition of Sources of Errors in developing Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts over the Sunbelt

Mazoorei, A., Sinha, T., & Arumugam, S. (2013, July 28). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference, Seasonal to Interannual Hydroclimatic Forecasts and Water Management, Portland, OR.

Experimental Inflow and Storage Forecasts for the State of NC

Sinha, T., Mazoorei, A., Arumugam, S., & Boyles, R. (2013, July). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference, Seasonal to Interannual Hydroclimatic Forecasts and Water Management, Portland, OR.

Impacts of Climate Change and Variability on Water Resources in the Southeastern USA

In K. Ingram, K. Dow, L. Carter, J. Anderson, & E. K. Sommer (Eds.), Climate of the southeast United States : variability, change, impacts, and vulnerability. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Improved Water Resources Sustainability utilizing Multi Time-scale Streamflow Forecasts

[Technical Report]. National Science Foundation.

Integration of climate and weather information for improving 15-day-ahead accumulated precipitation forecasts

Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14(1), 186–202.

Multivariate Downscaling of Decadal Climate Change Projections over the Sunbelt

Bhowmik, R., Arumugam, S., & Patskoski, J. (2013, July 28). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference, Seasonal to Interannual Hydroclimatic Forecasts and Water Management, Portland, OR.

Near-term Climate Change Impacts on Surface water and groundwater interactions over the Sunbelt

Seo, S. B., Sinha, T., Mahinthakumar, G., & Arumugam, S. (2013, July 28). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference, Seasonal to Interannual Hydroclimatic Forecasts and Water Management, Portland, OR.

Near-term Climate Change and Water Management over the Sunbelt

Arumugam, S. (2013, March 11). Presented at the Water Sustainability and Climate (WSC) PI meeting, National Science Foundation.

Role of climate forecasts and initial conditions in developing streamflow and soil moisture forecasts in a rainfall-runoff regime

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 721–733.

The role of multimodel climate forecasts in improving water and energy management over the Tana River Basin, Kenya

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 52(11), 2460–2475.

The use of broken power-laws to describe the distributions of daily flow above the mean annual flow across the conterminous U.S.

Journal of Hydrology, 505, 35–46.

Uncertainty in Surface Water Availability over North Carolina under climate and land use changes

[Technical Report]. NC Water Resources Research Institute.

Climate Forecasts and Water Management

Sankarasubramanian, A., & Lall, U. (2012, July). AGU Hydrology Section Newsletter.

Climate Information based Urban Water Supply and Energy Management in the Greater Horn of Africa

[Technical Report]. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Decomposition of Sources of Errors in Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts in a Rainfall-Runoff Dominated Basin

Sinha, T., & Arumugam, S. (2012, December 3). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Estimating Required Reservoir Storage from Synthetically Generated Streamflow through a Hierarchical Bayesian Framework Combining Observed and Paleo Streamflow

Patskoski, J., & Arumugam, S. (2012, December 3). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Floods and Changing Climate: Seasonal Forecasts and Reconstruction

In A. H. El-Shaarawl & W. W. Piegorsch (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Environmetrics (2nd ed.).

Impacts of Climate Change and Variability on Water Resources in the Southeastern US

In Southeastern Regional Technical Report to the National Climate Change Assessment. Island Press.

Interannual hydroclimatic variability and its influence on winter nutrient loadings over the Southeast United States

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16(7), 2285–2298.

Low-Dimensional Models of Annual Streamflow Using Tree Ring Data and Nino 3.4 Forecasts

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2012. Presented at the World Environmental And Water Resources Congress 2012.

Probabilistic Water Quality Trading conditional on seasonal nutrient forecasts

Arumugam, S. (2012, June). Presented at the University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.

Reducing hydrologic model uncertainty in monthly streamflow predictions using multimodel combination

Water Resources Research, 48.

Role of Climate Variability in Modulating Surface Water and Groundwater Interaction over the Southeastern US

Arumugam, S. (2012, March 16). Presented at the NOAA in the Carolinas Conference, Charleston, SC.

Role of climate variability in modulating the surface water and groundwater interaction over the southeast United States

Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 17(9), 1001–1010.

Seasonality of monthly runoff over the continental United States: Causality and relations to mean annual and mean monthly distributions of moisture and energy

Journal of Hydrology, 468, 139–150.

Uncertainty Reduction in Climate Forecasts using Multimodel Combination and their Relevance to Water Management

Arumugam, S. (2012, April). Presented at the Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park.

Uncertainty Reduction in Climate Forecasts using Multimodel Combination and their Relevance to Water Management

Arumugam, S. (2012, August). Presented at the CSIRO (Land and Water), Melbourne, Australia.

Climate Forecasts and Water Management: Opportunities and Challenges

Arumugam, S. (2011, April 1). Presented at the CUAHSI National Cyberseminar Series.

Improving Groundwater Predictions using Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts

Almanaseer, N., Arumugam, S., & Bales, J. (2011, December 5). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Logistic regression analysis to estimate contaminant sources in water distribution systems

Journal of Hydroinformatics, 13(3), 545–557.

Low-frequency oscillation in annual precipitation and streamflow over Southeastern United States

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Predicting Streamflow in the Southeastern United States using Climate and Tree Ring Data

Patskoski, J., & Arumugam, S. (2011, December 5). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Role of initial conditions and climate variability on seasonal streamflow forecasting in the southeastern US

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts for the Hydrologic Unit Code (HUC-8) Basins in North Carolina utilizing Multimodel Climate Forecasts

[Research Report]. NC-Water Resources Research Institute.

Systematic uncertainty reduction in streamflow forecasts development: Importance of Input and Hydrologic Model Uncertainty

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Uncertainty Reduction in Streamflow Predictions over Multiple Time Scales

Arumugam, S. (2011, August). Presented at the Hydrological Sciences Branch, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD.

Utility of Climate Forecasts in promoting optimal inter-basin transfer in the North Carolina Triangle Area

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Utility of Multimodel Climate Forecasts in Improving Reservoir Management

Arumugam, S. (2011, August 5). Presented at the Cooperative Institute of Climate and Satellites, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC.

Vulnerability of Coastal Watersheds to Climate Change and Variability

[Technical Report]. NC Sea Grant and NC Water Resources Research Institute.

Climate, Streamflow, and Nutrients Variability Over the Southeastern United States

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010. Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010.

Climate-Groundwater-Surface Water Interrelationships Over the South Eastern US

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010. Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010.

Climatology of Monthly Runoff: Causality and Relations to Seasonality in Precipitation and Temperature

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010. Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010.

Improved categorical winter precipitation forecasts through multimodel combinations of coupled GCMs

Geophysical Research Letters, 37.

Improving the prediction of winter precipitation and temperature over the continental United States: Role of the ENSO state in developing multimodel combinations

Monthly Weather Review, 138(6), 2447–2468.

Interannual to Decadal Variability in Hydroclimatic Data: Analyses and Implications to Water Management

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Probabilistic Water quality trading model conditioned on season-ahead nutrient load forecasts

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Role of Climate Variability in Modulating Surface Water and Groundwater Interaction over the Southeast United States

Almanaseer, N., Arumugam, S., & Bales, J. (2010, December 12). Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Seamless Integration of Weather and Climate Information in Developing Operational Streamflow Forecasts

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010. Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010.

The Role of Multimodel Combination and Data assimilation in Improving Streamflow Prediction

Presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Utility of Climate Forecasts in Promoting Inter-Basin Transfer in the North Carolina Triangle Area

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010. Presented at the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2010.

Utilizing Three-Month ahead Multimodel Streamflow Forecasts for Improving the Management Of Falls Lake

[Research Report]. NC-Water Resources Research Institute.

Climate-informed Uncertainty Analyses for Integrated River Basin Management

Arumugam, S. (2009, July 19). Presented at the US-Korea Conference, Raleigh, NC.

Contaminant source identification in water distribution networks under conditions of demand uncertainty

Environmental Forensics, 10(3), 253–263.

Improved drought management of Falls Lake Reservoir: Role of multimodel streamflow forecasts in setting up restrictions

Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 135(3), 188–197.

Improved water allocation utilizing probabilistic climate forecasts: Short-term water contracts in a risk management framework

Water Resources Research, 45(11).

Role of Climate Variability and Change in Improving River Basin Management

Arumugam, S. (2009, December). Presented at the Indian Institute of Technology, Madras, Chennai, India.

The role of monthly updated climate forecasts in improving intraseasonal water allocation

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 48(7), 1464–1482.

The use of seasonal climate forecasts within a shared reservoir system: The case of Angat reservoir, the Philippines

In F. Ludwig, P. Kabat, H. van Schaik, & M. van der Valk (Eds.), Climate Change Adaptation in the Water Sector. London: Earthscan.

river flood forecasting using complementary muskingum rating equations

Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 14(7), 745–751.

Improved Drought Management of Falls Lake Reservoir: Role of Multimodel Streamflow Forecasts in Setting up Restrictions

Devineni, N., & Arumugam, S. (2008, October). Presented at the North Carolina Water Resources Research Institute Annual Conference, Raleigh, NC.

Improving Hydrological Predictions through better representation of Model Uncertainty

Li, W., & Arumugam, S. (2008, October). Presented at the North Carolina Water Resources Research Institute Annual Conference, Raleigh, NC.

Multimodel ensembles of streamflow forecasts: Role of predictor state in developing optimal combinations

Water Resources Research, 44(9).

Role of Climate Forecasts in Meeting NC Future Water Supply Challenges

Arumugam, S. (2008, January). Presented at the North Carolina Society of Engineers.

Role of Streamflow Seasonality in Influencing Water Quality Variability in the Southeastern US

Oh, J., & Arumugam, S. (2008, October). Presented at the North Carolina Water Resources Research Institute Annual Conference, Raleigh, NC.