@article{cho_brown_gross_tregeagle_2024, title={Developing practical measures of the price of pesticide resistance: A flexible computational framework with global sensitivity analysis}, volume={3}, ISSN={2769-2485 2769-2485}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.107}, DOI={10.1002/jaa2.107}, abstractNote={AbstractPesticide resistance poses an increasing challenge for agricultural sustainability. Pesticide susceptibility is a depletable biological resource, but resistance management rarely quantifies marginal, forward‐looking economic costs to users of depletion. To facilitate the development of such costs, we use a generic stochastic bioeconomic model of resistance evolution in a crop pest population, stochastic dynamic programming, and global sensitivity analysis to analyze the “marginal user costs” of resistance. The most impactful parameters are population density dependence and pesticide prices. The least impactful is the fitness cost of resistance, which is noteworthy because of prior emphasis on this parameter in the resistance management literature.}, number={1}, journal={Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association}, publisher={Wiley}, author={Cho, Chanheung and Brown, Zachary and Gross, Kevin and Tregeagle, Daniel}, year={2024}, month={Feb}, pages={212–227} }
@article{hollingsworth_cho_vella_roh_sass_lloyd_brown_2024, title={Economic optimization of Wolbachia-infected Aedes aegypti release to prevent dengue}, volume={4}, ISSN={["1526-4998"]}, DOI={10.1002/ps.8086}, abstractNote={Abstract BACKGROUND Dengue virus, primarily transmitted by the Aedes aegypti mosquito, is a major public health concern affecting ≈3.83 billion people worldwide. Recent releases of Wolbachia ‐transinfected Ae. aegypti in several cities worldwide have shown that it can reduce dengue transmission. However, these releases are costly, and, to date, no framework has been proposed for determining economically optimal release strategies that account for both costs associated with disease risk and releases. RESULTS We present a flexible stochastic dynamic programming framework for determining optimal release schedules for Wolbachia ‐transinfected mosquitoes that balances the cost of dengue infection with the costs of rearing and releasing transinfected mosquitoes. Using an ordinary differential equation model of Wolbachia and dengue in a hypothetical city loosely describing areas at risk of new dengue epidemics, we determined that an all‐or‐nothing release strategy that quickly brings Wolbachia to fixation is often the optimal solution. Based on this, we examined the optimal facility size, finding that it was inelastic with respect to the mosquito population size, with a 100% increase in population size resulting in a 50–67% increase in optimal facility size. Furthermore, we found that these results are robust to mosquito life‐history parameters and are mostly determined by the mosquito population size and the fitness costs associated with Wolbachia . CONCLUSIONS These results reinforce that Wolbachia ‐transinfected mosquitoes can reduce the cost of dengue epidemics. Furthermore, they emphasize the importance of determining the size of the target population and fitness costs associated with Wolbachia before releases occur. © 2024 The Authors. Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.}, journal={PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE}, author={Hollingsworth, Brandon D. and Cho, Chanheung and Vella, Michael and Roh, Hyeongyul and Sass, Julian and Lloyd, Alun L. and Brown, Zachary S.}, year={2024}, month={Apr} }
@article{alsdorf_reisig_brown_ferraro_rejesus_2024, title={Enhancing non-Bt corn refuge based on corn grower and seed dealer surveys}, volume={15}, ISSN={["2155-7470"]}, url={https://doi.org/10.1093/jipm/pmae027}, DOI={10.1093/jipm/pmae027}, abstractNote={Abstract To delay Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) resistance, southern US corn growers are required to plant 20% of their total corn acres to non-Bt hybrids. However, most do not, possibly due to negative perceptions or the lack of availability of non-Bt hybrids. We surveyed 174 corn growers and 32 corn seed dealers in eastern North Carolina, an area that historically has planted little non-Bt corn. Our questions focused on planting behavior and hybrid choice, barriers to planting non-Bt corn, and preferences and challenges for non-Bt corn sales. Only 32% of growers surveyed planted the mandated non-Bt refuge acres. Growers from counties with smaller crop operations and in counties where growers had less graduate education planted less non-Bt seed. Grower perceptions of yield differences between Bt and non-Bt hybrids were ambiguous, but only a few had limited availability or knowledge of non-Bt seed options. Seed dealers were familiar with non-Bt corn hybrids in their portfolio, but not as familiar with non-Bt refuge requirements. Furthermore, dealers indicated obstacles in providing diverse herbicide packages and seed treatments for non-Bt hybrids. We highlight the need for enhanced communication and education initiatives. Strengthening educational outreach to clarify refuge requirements and addressing perceived yield disparities between Bt and non-Bt hybrids could also increase planting of non-Bt refuge. Finally, incentivizing seed dealers to offer and promote non-Bt seed options, coupled with diverse herbicide packages, might increase refuge planting. Our surveys underscore the complexity surrounding grower behaviors, seed dealer dynamics, and the importance of educational efforts and incentives to non-Bt refuge.}, number={1}, journal={JOURNAL OF INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT}, author={Alsdorf, Alexis and Reisig, Dominic and Brown, Zach and Ferraro, Greg and Rejesus, Roderick}, editor={Wright, RobertEditor}, year={2024}, month={Aug} }
@article{jones_brown_2023, title={Food for thought: Assessing the consumer welfare impacts of deploying irreversible, landscape-scale biotechnologies}, volume={121}, ISSN={["1873-5657"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.foodpol.2023.102529}, abstractNote={Genetically engineered insects have gained attention as regionally deployed pest control technologies, with substantial applications in agriculture for combatting intractable crop pests and diseases. One potential tool is a 'gene drive', using CRISPR-based gene editing. In gene drive, preferentially inherited, engineered traits are spread throughout a geographic area to reduce pest populations or inhibit disease transmission, while also potentially reducing pesticide use and crop prices. But the self-perpetuating nature of gene drives presents a consequence, in that consumers could eventually be limited to only host crops grown in the presence of these genetically engineered insects. In this study, we analyze potential consumer welfare impacts of these technologies using discrete choice experiment data from a representative sample of U.S. adults, examining preferences regarding gene drive use to control spotted wing drosophila in blueberries and Asian citrus psyllid in orange juice (OJ) production. We find smaller average discounts for gene drives versus increased conventional pesticide use or genetically modified crops. Only 27% and 25% of blueberry and OJ consumers, respectively, are estimated to derive disutility from gene drives. However, gene drive disutility for these consumers is so large that elimination of non-drive options from their choice sets results in negative (blueberries) or neutral (OJ) effects to aggregate consumer welfare when weighed against gains to other consumers from reduced prices. Positive welfare effects are recovered by retaining availability of non-gene-drive products. We argue that this type of analysis will be increasingly important as landscape-level biotechnologies are deployed to address challenges to agricultural sustainability.}, journal={FOOD POLICY}, author={Jones, Michael S. and Brown, Zachary S.}, year={2023}, month={Nov} }
@article{nelson_parton_brown_2022, title={Biofuels policy and innovation impacts: Evidence from biofuels and agricultural patent indicators}, volume={162}, ISSN={["1873-6777"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112767}, abstractNote={In the early 2000s, governments implemented policies stimulating the use of ethanol and biodiesel to reduce carbon emissions and encourage domestic energy production. Blend mandates requiring gasoline or diesel to contain a minimum percentage of these biofuels were a favored policy instrument. Theoretical work by Clancy and Moschini (2017) concluded that, if innovation were stimulated by mandates, then the socially optimal mandate would be higher than if innovation were not possible. We test the impact of blend mandates and other biofuels policies on innovation using measures of patenting activity that correspond with research effort and research output. Our analysis shows that ethanol blend mandates significantly increased both R&D effort and quality-weighted innovation output in biofuels technologies while reducing the R&D inputs to plant technologies. This suggests that biofuels innovation increased in response to the policies, with firms substituting some R&D effort away from plant technologies research. Despite decreased R&D effort, output of plant innovation held steady as effort shifted to biofuels, supporting the presence of a spillover effect between biofuels innovation and plant innovation. We find that biodiesel blend mandates did not significantly impact R&D efforts in either plant or biofuels technologies. Furthermore, policies other than blend mandates had varying effects, ranging from limited increases in R&D activity to significant decreases in innovation. JEL Codes: O31, O38, Q16, Q48, Q55. • Ethanol blend mandates influenced patenting in biofuels and plant categories. • Other biofuels policies did not consistently affect patenting in those technologies. • Research on biofuels may benefit research in biotechnology.}, journal={ENERGY POLICY}, author={Nelson, Kelly P. and Parton, Lee C. and Brown, Zachary S.}, year={2022}, month={Mar} }
@article{brown_2022, title={Distributional policy impacts, WTP-WTA disparities, and the Kaldor-Hicks tests in benefit-cost analysis}, volume={113}, ISSN={["1096-0449"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.jeem.2022.102654}, abstractNote={I examine how inequality in the distribution of income and a quasi-fixed good (e.g. environmental quality) can affect the disparity between aggregate willingness to accept (WTA) and willingness to pay (WTP) for policies that induce joint, nonmarginal and heterogeneous changes to income and the quasi-fixed good. These disparities can generate divergent conclusions from benefit-cost analysis (BCA). With Cobb-Douglas preferences, I show that greater inequality in policy impacts to the quasi-fixed good generally increases the range of conflicting conclusions from BCA using the Kaldor criterion (compensating variation) versus the Hicks criterion (equivalent variation). In two examples, I show that for any set of impacts to the quasi-fixed good there exists a degree of inequality in which the Kaldor-Hicks tests disagree. This disagreement arises because, with inequality, seemingly marginal policy changes can become nonmarginal when concentrated among marginalized or privileged groups, which can widen the gap between aggregate WTP and WTA. With CES preferences, when the goods are complements, WTA may be infinite, and when they are substitutes, budget constraints attenuate WTP: Both effects push the Kaldor-Hicks tests in opposing directions. I conclude that greater inequality increases the relevance of questioning whether to elicit WTP or WTA in nonmarket valuation for BCA.}, journal={JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT}, author={Brown, Zachary Steven}, year={2022}, month={May} }
@article{a glimpse into real-world kitchens: improving our understanding of cookstove usage through in-field photo-observations and improved cooking event detection (cooked) analytics_2021, DOI={10.60692/280z3-vht70}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2021}, month={Jan} }
@article{a glimpse into real-world kitchens: improving our understanding of cookstove usage through in-field photo-observations and improved cooking event detection (cooked) analytics_2021, DOI={10.60692/9833n-g5e12}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2021}, month={Jan} }
@article{coffey_mesenbring_dalaba_agao_alirigia_begay_moro_oduro_brown_dickinson_et al._2021, title={A glimpse into real-world kitchens: Improving our understanding of cookstove usage through in-field photo-observations and improved cooking event detection (CookED) analytics}, volume={6}, ISSN={2352-7285}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.deveng.2021.100065}, DOI={10.1016/j.deveng.2021.100065}, abstractNote={The combustion of solid fuels in residential cookstoves is a global health and climate issue, and expanded use of improved cookstoves could have significant benefits locally and globally. Evaluating impacts of improved cookstove programs requires more accurately measuring stove use patterns. This work builds on and improves existing stove use monitoring methods. First, we introduce and describe a novel, in-field photo-observation sampling method designed to capture near-continuous, real-world, ground-truth stove usage information. These measurements are used to validate predictions made by electronic stove use monitors (SUMs). Second, we present Cooking Event Detector (CookED), a SUM algorithm that translates stove-temperature measurements into classifications of cooking or not-cooking. The predictive performance of the new algorithm is evaluated using results from the photo-observations and compared to existing algorithms. CookED demonstrates considerable improvement over some methods for all five types of improved and traditional stoves monitored in the study. Overall minute-level predictive accuracy of CookED ranges from 95.6% to 98.4%, depending on the stove type, while Matthews correlation coefficients range from 72.8% to 88.3%. Comparisons between predicted and observed average cooking event durations show high correlation (Pearson's r = 0.85). These methods can be applied in a wide variety of applications, including research studies linking behavior, technology, exposure, and human and environmental health, as well as operational programs that aim to scale up improved cookstove adoption and quantify benefits.}, journal={Development Engineering}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Coffey, Evan R. and Mesenbring, Elise C. and Dalaba, Maxwell and Agao, Desmond and Alirigia, Rex and Begay, Taylor and Moro, Ali and Oduro, Abraham and Brown, Zachary and Dickinson, Katherine L. and et al.}, year={2021}, pages={100065} }
@misc{jorgensen_folke_henriksson_malmros_troell_zorzet_aktipis_brown_carriere_downes_et al._2020, title={Coevolutionary Governance of Antibiotic and Pesticide Resistance}, volume={35}, ISSN={["1872-8383"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.tree.2020.01.011}, abstractNote={Human cultures coevolve with human environments through ecoevolutionary dynamics.Increasing biocide resistance is a result of human–environment coevolution (HEC).Coevolutionary governance (CG) is informed by and proactively shapes HEC.Three CG priorities are identified with the aim of limiting biocide resistance. Development of new biocides has dominated human responses to evolution of antibiotic and pesticide resistance. Increasing and uniform biocide use, the spread of resistance genes, and the lack of new classes of compounds indicate the importance of navigating toward more sustainable coevolutionary dynamics between human culture and species that evolve resistance. To inform this challenge, we introduce the concept of coevolutionary governance and propose three priorities for its implementation: (i) new norms and mental models for lowering use, (ii) diversifying practices to reduce directional selection, and (iii) investment in collective action institutions to govern connectivity. We highlight the availability of solutions that facilitate broader sustainable development, which for antibiotic resistance include improved sanitation and hygiene, strong health systems, and decreased meat consumption. Development of new biocides has dominated human responses to evolution of antibiotic and pesticide resistance. Increasing and uniform biocide use, the spread of resistance genes, and the lack of new classes of compounds indicate the importance of navigating toward more sustainable coevolutionary dynamics between human culture and species that evolve resistance. To inform this challenge, we introduce the concept of coevolutionary governance and propose three priorities for its implementation: (i) new norms and mental models for lowering use, (ii) diversifying practices to reduce directional selection, and (iii) investment in collective action institutions to govern connectivity. We highlight the availability of solutions that facilitate broader sustainable development, which for antibiotic resistance include improved sanitation and hygiene, strong health systems, and decreased meat consumption. Humans' role as the strongest evolutionary force on Earth [1.Palumbi S.R. Humans as the world's greatest evolutionary force.Science. 2001; 293: 1786-1790Crossref PubMed Scopus (906) Google Scholar] results in widespread ecoevolutionary environmental change [2.Hendry A.P. Eco-evolutionary Dynamics. Princeton University Press, 2016Crossref Google Scholar], a defining feature of the Anthropocene biosphere [3.Williams M. et al.The Anthropocene biosphere.Anthr. Rev. 2015; 2: 196-219Google Scholar] with large implications for policy and governance [4.Søgaard Jørgensen P. et al.Evolution in the Anthropocene: informing governance and policy.Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 2019; 50: 527-546Crossref Scopus (19) Google Scholar,5.Carroll S.P. et al.Applying evolutionary biology to address global challenges.Science. 2014; 346: 1245993Crossref PubMed Scopus (170) Google Scholar]. Genetic evolution is now shaped by human actions, ranging from the level of the gene to that of the biosphere [1.Palumbi S.R. Humans as the world's greatest evolutionary force.Science. 2001; 293: 1786-1790Crossref PubMed Scopus (906) Google Scholar,4.Søgaard Jørgensen P. et al.Evolution in the Anthropocene: informing governance and policy.Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. 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The term 'coevolution' was originally applied to studies of interdependent Darwinian evolution of pairs, groups, or communities of species [4.Søgaard Jørgensen P. et al.Evolution in the Anthropocene: informing governance and policy.Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 2019; 50: 527-546Crossref Scopus (19) Google Scholar,12.Ehrlich P.R. Raven P.H. Butterflies and plants: a study in coevolution.Evolution (N. Y). 1964; 18: 586Crossref Google Scholar,13.Vermeij G.J. The evolutionary interaction among species: selection, escalation, and coevolution.Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 1994; 25: 219-236Crossref Scopus (275) Google Scholar], but with the advent of theory for cultural evolution, the use of the term has been expanded to studies of how culture and genes coevolve within a species [8.Creanza N. et al.Cultural evolutionary theory: How culture evolves and why it matters.Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2017; 114: 7782-7789Crossref PubMed Scopus (145) Google Scholar,14.Feldman M.W. Laland K.N. Gene-culture coevolutionary theory.Trends Ecol. Evol. 1996; 11: 453-457Abstract Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (244) Google Scholar,15.Laland K.N. et al.The extended evolutionary synthesis: its structure, assumptions and predictions.Proc. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 2015; 28220151019Crossref PubMed Scopus (559) Google Scholar] (Figure 1). More recent advances in the study of ecoevolutionary dynamics [2.Hendry A.P. Eco-evolutionary Dynamics. Princeton University Press, 2016Crossref Google Scholar] and theories of nongenetic evolutionary change [15.Laland K.N. et al.The extended evolutionary synthesis: its structure, assumptions and predictions.Proc. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 2015; 28220151019Crossref PubMed Scopus (559) Google Scholar] emphasise the utility of recasting human–environment coevolution in terms of two sets of interacting multilevel ecoevolutionary dynamics (Figure 1, Text S1 in the supplemental information online). The trajectory of human–environment coevolution is not predetermined but is path-dependent and can proceed along several trajectories, depending on how and whether it is governed by humans. However, coevolution is poorly integrated into current governance theories for studying how societies, at all levels, steer themselves toward desirable ends. To provide a venue for such integration, we introduce the concept of 'coevolutionary governance,' which is the explicit governance of human–environment coevolution [4.Søgaard Jørgensen P. et al.Evolution in the Anthropocene: informing governance and policy.Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 2019; 50: 527-546Crossref Scopus (19) Google Scholar]. Coevolutionary governance is related to but distinct from adaptive [16.Folke C. et al.Adaptive governance of social-ecological systems.Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. 2005; 30: 441-473Crossref Scopus (3325) Google Scholar] and other forms of anticipatory governance [17.Boyd E. et al.Anticipatory governance for social-ecological resilience.Ambio. 2015; 44: 149-161Crossref Scopus (108) Google Scholar] in that it recognises to a larger extent, anticipates, and explicitly analyses these interdependent ecoevolutionary dynamics in its attempt to guide human societies toward identified goals [4.Søgaard Jørgensen P. et al.Evolution in the Anthropocene: informing governance and policy.Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 2019; 50: 527-546Crossref Scopus (19) Google Scholar]. We highlight the value and insights of coevolutionary governance through two classical examples of human–environment coevolution: that of human antibiotic and pesticide use and the evolution of resistance to these compounds. In this paper, we refer to these compounds collectively as 'biocides.' Modern health systems and production of food, fuel, and fibre are reliant on biocides for controlling unwanted microorganisms, arthropods, and plants with which human societies have coevolved [5.Carroll S.P. et al.Applying evolutionary biology to address global challenges.Science. 2014; 346: 1245993Crossref PubMed Scopus (170) Google Scholar,10.Folke C. et al.Social-ecological resilience and biosphere-based sustainability science.Ecol. Soc. 2016; 21: 41Crossref Scopus (491) Google Scholar]. However, biocide resistance is an increasing risk, with multiple resistance to antibiotics, insecticides, and herbicides on the rise [5.Carroll S.P. et al.Applying evolutionary biology to address global challenges.Science. 2014; 346: 1245993Crossref PubMed Scopus (170) Google Scholar,18.Review on AMR Tackling drug-resistant infections globally - final report and recommendations.https://amr-review.org/sites/default/files/160518_Final%20paper_with%20cover.pdfDate: 2016Google Scholar]. Antibiotic resistance is associated with hundreds of thousands of deaths per year [19.Laxminarayan R. et al.Access to effective antimicrobials: a worldwide challenge.Lancet. 2016; 387: 168-175Abstract Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (667) Google Scholar], and insecticide and herbicide resistance is a potential threat to food, fuel, and fibre security that also entails economic losses for farmers and health risks from exposure to increasing pesticide use [5.Carroll S.P. et al.Applying evolutionary biology to address global challenges.Science. 2014; 346: 1245993Crossref PubMed Scopus (170) Google Scholar,20.National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Committee on Genetically Engineered Crops Genetically Engineered Crops: Experiences and Prospects. The Natonal Academies Press, 2016Google Scholar,21.Carrière Y. et al.Governing evolution: a socioecological comparison of resistance management for insecticidal transgenic Bt crops among four countries.Ambio. 2020; 49: 1-16Crossref PubMed Scopus (41) Google Scholar]. Not only are levels of resistance to a much wider array of compounds now much higher, but for both antibiotics and pesticides, there are declining prospects for developing more conventional compounds in the next decades [22.Living with Resistance project Antibiotic and pesticide susceptibility and the Anthropocene operating space.Nat. Sustain. 2018; 1: 632-641Crossref Scopus (55) Google Scholar]. Simultaneously, the next decade will be critical for meeting a set of interconnected global environmental and societal challenges captured in part by the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs; https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdgs) put forth by the United Nations [5.Carroll S.P. et al.Applying evolutionary biology to address global challenges.Science. 2014; 346: 1245993Crossref PubMed Scopus (170) Google Scholar]. Rising resistance levels are evolutionary consequences of widespread practices employed to control pests and pathogens [1.Palumbi S.R. Humans as the world's greatest evolutionary force.Science. 2001; 293: 1786-1790Crossref PubMed Scopus (906) Google Scholar,5.Carroll S.P. et al.Applying evolutionary biology to address global challenges.Science. 2014; 346: 1245993Crossref PubMed Scopus (170) Google Scholar,8.Creanza N. et al.Cultural evolutionary theory: How culture evolves and why it matters.Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2017; 114: 7782-7789Crossref PubMed Scopus (145) Google Scholar,22.Living with Resistance project Antibiotic and pesticide susceptibility and the Anthropocene operating space.Nat. Sustain. 2018; 1: 632-641Crossref Scopus (55) Google Scholar] (Figure 1), and resistance is therefore unlikely to be solved through quick fixes. Rather, it represents the dual challenge of governing coevolution between human culture and species targeted for control with strategies that cofacilitate broader goals of sustainable development [5.Carroll S.P. et al.Applying evolutionary biology to address global challenges.Science. 2014; 346: 1245993Crossref PubMed Scopus (170) Google Scholar,8.Creanza N. et al.Cultural evolutionary theory: How culture evolves and why it matters.Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2017; 114: 7782-7789Crossref PubMed Scopus (145) Google Scholar,10.Folke C. et al.Social-ecological resilience and biosphere-based sustainability science.Ecol. Soc. 2016; 21: 41Crossref Scopus (491) Google Scholar,23.Jørgensen P.S. et al.Use antimicrobials wisely.Nature. 2016; 537: 159-161Crossref PubMed Scopus (36) Google Scholar]. After reviewing the emerging global dynamics of biocide use and resistance, we identify priorities for coevolutionary governance of biocide resistance and then focus on the challenges of promoting them in the context of the SDGs. We believe that coevolutionary governance has the potential to help promote successful transformations to sustainability in the Anthropocene biosphere by, for example, stimulating the evolution of norms and technology for sustainability. The global dynamics of resistance evolution can be characterised by the scale, intensity, and composition of biocide use, as well as the spatial extent of resistance gene exchange. Over the past 30 years, antibiotics, insecticides, and herbicides have undergone major changes in these four aspects and present both unique and shared governance challenges (Figure 2). For all three biocides, scale of use – indicating global selection for resistance – has increased markedly since monitoring began (Figure 2A,D,G). Only conventional insecticide use has started to decline as transgenic crops producing the insecticidal Bacillus thuringiensis proteins (Bt crops) replace conventional insecticides and as integrated pest management (IPM) is implemented [20.National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Committee on Genetically Engineered Crops Genetically Engineered Crops: Experiences and Prospects. The Natonal Academies Press, 2016Google Scholar,24.Birch A.N.E. et al.How agro-ecological research helps to address food security issues under new IPM and pesticide reduction policies for global crop production systems.J. Exp. Bot. 2011; 62: 3251-3261Crossref PubMed Scopus (145) Google Scholar]. Global trends in biocide use intensity imply changes in local selection for resistance and are highly divergent between the three types of biocides. Human antibiotic use (monitored mainly via pharmaceutical sales) has increased by 36% since 2000 [25.Klein E.Y. et al.Global increase and geographic convergence in antibiotic consumption between 2000 and 2015.Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2018; 115: E3463-E3470Crossref PubMed Scopus (1400) Google Scholar] (Figure 2B). Although similar global scale monitoring is lacking in important high-use environments such as communities and hospitals as well as animal farming, available regional data show that antibiotic use for animals varies widely among countries [26.Van Boeckel T.P. et al.Reducing antimicrobial use in food animals.Science. 2017; 357: 1350-1352Crossref PubMed Scopus (290) Google Scholar]. Conventional insecticide sales per agricultural area have dropped more than 10% over the past 5 years and are now below levels from the 1990s (Figure 2H). In contrast, herbicide sales per area have increased by 70% (Figure 2E). These diverging trends are in part explained by adoption of transgenic crops: Insecticidal Bt crops helped reduce use of conventional insecticides [20.National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Committee on Genetically Engineered Crops Genetically Engineered Crops: Experiences and Prospects. The Natonal Academies Press, 2016Google Scholar], whereas glyphosate-resistant crops encouraged a 15-fold increase in the use of glyphosate, driving the herbicide trend [27.Benbrook C.M. Trends in glyphosate herbicide use in the United States and globally.Environ. Sci. Eur. 2016; 283Crossref PubMed Scopus (945) Google Scholar] (Figure 2D,F,I). Biocide use can become uniform through widespread adoption of successful compounds, but the large area across which selection occurs also makes such biocides vulnerable to resistance. The adoption of transgenic crops has homogenised selection pressures through increasing uniformity of pesticide use and of pest management in general. Today transgenic crops make up more than 30% (glyphosate-resistant crops) and 15% (Bt crops) of the planted area of certain crops, such as corn, cotton, and soybean, worldwide (Figure 2F,I) and more than 90% in some of the largest-producing countries [28.International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA) Global Status of Commercialized Biotech/GM Crops: 2016. ISAAA, 2016Google Scholar]. Similarly, as low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) have seen economic growth, their use of antibiotics has increased dramatically, leading to a global convergence in antibiotic use [25.Klein E.Y. et al.Global increase and geographic convergence in antibiotic consumption between 2000 and 2015.Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2018; 115: E3463-E3470Crossref PubMed Scopus (1400) Google Scholar]. Resistance can spread rapidly in highly connected systems. Historical efforts to govern antibiotic resistance have, for good reasons, largely focused on managing local and regional use and less on governing international spread. However, intercontinental spread of antibiotic resistance is increasingly well documented for some of the most worrying resistance genes in gram-negative pathogens, which are reported as endemic in a growing set of countries (Figure 2C) [22.Living with Resistance project Antibiotic and pesticide susceptibility and the Anthropocene operating space.Nat. Sustain. 2018; 1: 632-641Crossref Scopus (55) Google Scholar]. Although there are still few reports of intercontinental spread of insecticide and herbicide resistance, common exchange of plant and insect pests among continents similarly imperils pesticide susceptibility (see [22.Living with Resistance project Antibiotic and pesticide susceptibility and the Anthropocene operating space.Nat. Sustain. 2018; 1: 632-641Crossref Scopus (55) Google Scholar] for examples). Priorities for governing coevolution can be derived from analysing the structure of selection and connectivity in human–environment systems. Here we focus on the overarching challenge of shifting away from the escalating coevolutionary dynamics of alternating increases in biocide use and biocide resistance. We propose three priorities for shifting cultural evolution toward achieving that goal (Figure 1B). The first is to promote cultural evolution of mental models and social norms that reduce unnecessary biocide use. The second is to diversify practices to reduce directional selection on the basis of systematic evaluation of new technology as well as principles underlying past practices. The third priority is promoting collective action to govern connectivity from the local to the global scale, which will help reduce the spread of resistance. A range of case studies illustrate the implementation of these priorities for biocide resistance in the context of production systems and health systems (Figure S1 in the supplemental information online). Mental models and social norms play an important role in determining which solutions are applied to a problem [29.Fehr E. Fischbacher U. Social norms and human cooperation.Trends Cogn. Sci. 2004; 8: 185-190Abstract Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (861) Google Scholar,30.Nyborg K. et al.Social norms as solutions.Science. 2016; 354: 42-43Crossref PubMed Scopus (341) Google Scholar] and can become engrained as part of emergent world views or ideologies [31.Dentzman K. Jussaume R. The ideology of U.S. agriculture: how are integrated management approaches envisioned?.Soc. Nat. Resour. 2017; 30: 1311-1327Crossref Scopus (11) Google Scholar]. Norms are embedded in cultural and historical contexts, underpin legal systems of action, can evolve with changing conditions, and may arise around novel opportunities such as those afforded by new technologies. The multigenerational state shifts in practice brought about by industrially produced biocides and transgenic crops can make agricultural communities and broader society more likely to assume that new pesticide technologies will continue to replace current ones, should widespread resistance become a problem [32.Dentzman K. et al.Techno-optimism as a barrier to overcoming herbicide resistance: comparing farmer perceptions of the future potential of herbicides.J. Rural. Stud. 2016; 48: 22-32Crossref Scopus (33) Google Scholar]. The importance of this change in perception is supported by modelling showing that the time horizon of farmers is important for how likely they are to implement resistance management strategies [33.Frisvold G.B. et al.Positive and normative modeling for Palmer amaranth control and herbicide resistance management.Pest Manag. Sci. 2017; 73: 1110-1120Crossref PubMed Scopus (7) Google Scholar,34.Norsworthy J.K. et al.Reducing the risks of herbicide resistance: best management practices and recommendations.Weed Sci. 2012; 60: 31-62Crossref Scopus (684) Google Scholar]. To shift these evolving perspectives, initiatives to lower excess antibiotic prescribing illustrate that social norm feedback, including from authorities and peers, can substantially reduce antibiotic prescribing at low cost and on a national scale [35.Hallsworth M. et al.Provision of social norm feedback to high prescribers of antibiotics in general practice: a pragmatic national randomised controlled trial.Lancet. 2016; 387: 1743-1752Abstract Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (243) Google Scholar,36.Mölstad S. et al.Lessons learnt during 20 years of the Swedish strategic programme against antibiotic resistance.Bull. World Health Organ. 2017; 95: 764Crossref PubMed Scopus (95) Google Scholar]. Evaluating opportunities for integration of new as well as old technologies and practices is a priority for meeting the challenge of systematic diversification. Although focus is often on new technological opportunities, the advances of modern medicine and agriculture can sometimes lead us to forget the practices of the past that, in combination with new technological capabilities and scientific insights, can help build critical resilience [10.Folke C. et al.Social-ecological resilience and biosphere-based sustainability science.Ecol. Soc. 2016; 21: 41Crossref Scopus (491) Google Scholar]. Signs of systematic prioritisation of diversity are emerging. The diversity provided by some experienced-based practices in agriculture was adopted under the name of IPM in the middle of the 20th century (Figure S1A in the supplemental information online). IPM can help reduce pesticide use (Figure S1A1 in the supplemental information online) and is often mandated in industrialised agriculture to reduce resistance as well as pesticide health risks [24.Birch A.N.E. et al.How agro-ecological research helps to address food security issues under new IPM and pesticide reduction policies for global crop production systems.J. Exp. Bot. 2011; 62: 3251-3261Crossref PubMed Scopus (145) Google Scholar] (Figure S1A5 in the supplemental information online). Especially for transgenic Bt crops but also for other insecticides, the old tradition of planting refuges where insecticides are not used has been key to slowing resistance evolution [21.Carrière Y. et al.Governing evolution: a socioecological comparison of resistance management for insecticidal transgenic Bt crops among four countries.Ambio. 2020; 49: 1-16Crossref PubMed Scopus (41) Google Scholar]. Likewise, in human health, recent events associated with antibiotic use have necessitated re-evaluating established practices. For example, the origin of the important antimalarial drug artemisinin in Chinese traditional medicine demonstrates the value of historical uses for expanding the repertoire of current medicines [37.Klayman D.L. Qinghaosu (artemisinin): an antimalarial drug from China.Science. 1985; 228: 1049-1055Crossref PubMed Scopus (2040) Google Scholar]. More broadly, our rapidly developing knowledge and technological expertise give reason for reconsidering opportunities for mastering practices beyond pharmacotherapy, practices that once were considered unsafe and undesirable. A rapidly shifting perspective in Western medicine is in the understanding of the multiple and complex roles of microorganisms in human–microbe interactions and the risk that antibiotics disrupt these symbioses [38.Søgaard Jørgensen P. et al.Changing antibiotic resistance: sustainability transformation to a pro-microbial planet.Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 2017; 25: 66-76Crossref Scopus (16) Google Scholar]. Microorganisms are increasingly recognised as a contribution rather than principally as a threat to human health. Resistant coinfections of virulent new strains of Clostridioides difficile (formerly Clostridium difficile) in patients previously treated with antibiotics infect 450,000 and are involved in 30,000 deaths in the USA annually [39.Lessa F.C. et al.Burden of Clostridium difficile infection in the United States.N. Engl. J. Med. 2015; 372: 825-834Crossref PubMed Scopus (1696) Google Scholar]. These infections can be treated with faecal transplants that restore the gut microbiome to a healthy state (Figure S2 in the supplemental information online). Decisions about whether to use a pesticide or administer an antibiotic tend to be taken in consultation with crop consultants and fellow farmers or with doctors and family, respectively. There is increasing evidence that trust, participation, coordination, and regulation are important for effective resistance management. For instance, high levels of competition can undermine trust between doctors and patients and lead to antibiotic overprescribing in areas of the USA with high densities of health care providers [40.Klein E.Y. et al.Influence of provider and urgent care density across different socioeconomic strata on outpatient antibiotic prescribing in the USA.J. Antimicrob. Chemother. 2015; 70: 1580-1587Crossref PubMed Scopus (27) Google Scholar] (Figure S1B1 in the supplemental information online). Building trust through engagement and local monitoring may help overcome perceived barriers of collective action in the adoption of IPM (Figure S1A1–A4 in the supplemental information online). At the regional or national level, taxing particularly harmful pesticides can help lower their use and encourage IPM (Figure S1A5 in the supplemental information online). Similarly, the regulation and monitoring of non-Bt refuge requirements in the USA and Australia have been important for these countries' relative success compared with countries such as Brazil and India, where resistance has evolved rapidly [21.Carrière Y. et al.Governing evolution: a socioecological comparison of resistance management for insecticidal transgenic Bt crops among four countries.Ambio. 2020; 49: 1-16Crossref PubMed Scopus (41) Google Scholar]. The potential international significance of such decisions is illustrated by the recently documented intercontinental transfer of insect pests that could be carrying insecticide resistance genes [22.Living with Resistance project Antibiotic and pesticide susceptibility and the Anthropocene operating space.Nat. Sustain. 2018; 1: 632-641Crossref Scopus (55) Google Scholar]. As the global spread of resistance increasingly undermines national efforts, the need is growing for new types of international institutions (i.e., accepted formal or informal practices) [23.Jørgensen P.S. et al.Use antimicrobials wisely.Nature. 2016; 537: 159-161Crossref PubMed Scopus (36) Google Scholar]. In a time of consolidated seed production, there remain opportunities for such institutions to govern global dynamics by eliminating perverse incentives. For example, use of single-toxin and multitoxin Bt crops that share common toxins facilitates the evolution of resistance to multitoxins. Incentives for rapidly withdrawing single-toxin crops when multitoxin crops become available will help limit resistance [41.Tabashnik B.E. Carrière Y. Surge in insect resistance to transgenic crops and prospects for sustainability.Nat. Biotechnol. 2017; 35: 926-935Crossref PubMed Scopus (333) Google Scholar]. In the absence of international legally binding instruments that regulate biocide use and harmonised surveillance, targeted interventions are of high importance. Following the international spread of plasmid-borne colistin resistance, likely from China, a diverse array of organisations engaged with the Chinese government to lobby for restricting use of colistin as a growth promoter [42.Walsh T.R. Wu Y. China bans colistin as a feed additive for animals.Lancet Infect. Dis. 2016; 16: 1102-1103Abstract Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (164) Google Scholar]. However, for successful reduction of antibiotic use and resistance, governments need to implement their national action plans fol}, number={6}, journal={TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION}, author={Jorgensen, Peter Sogaard and Folke, Carl and Henriksson, Patrik J. G. and Malmros, Karin and Troell, Max and Zorzet, Anna and Aktipis, Athena and Brown, Zachary and Carriere, Yves and Downes, Sharon and et al.}, year={2020}, month={Jun}, pages={484–494} }
@article{carriere_brown_aglasan_dutilleul_carroll_head_tabashnik_jorgensen_carroll_2020, title={Crop rotation mitigates impacts of corn rootworm resistance to transgenic Bt corn}, volume={117}, ISSN={["0027-8424"]}, DOI={10.1073/pnas.2003604117}, abstractNote={Significance
The western corn rootworm, a major insect pest in the Midwestern United States, has evolved resistance to genetically engineered corn that produces insecticidal proteins derived from the bacterium
Bacillus thuringiensis
(Bt). To evaluate tactics for reducing the damage caused by resistant rootworms, we analyzed field data for 2011 to 2016 from Illinois, Iowa, and Minnesota. The frequency of corn fields with severe rootworm damage was reduced by rotating corn with other crops and by not planting the same type of Bt corn year after year in the same field. These results support the EPA’s recommendations to decrease the negative impacts of rootworm resistance to Bt corn by rotating corn with other crops and diversifying the type of Bt corn planted.
}, number={31}, journal={PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA}, author={Carriere, Yves and Brown, Zachary and Aglasan, Serkan and Dutilleul, Pierre and Carroll, Matthew and Head, Graham and Tabashnik, Bruce E. and Jorgensen, Peter Sogaard and Carroll, Scott P.}, year={2020}, month={Aug}, pages={18385–18392} }
@article{brown_connor_rejesus_yorobe_2021, title={Landscape-level feedbacks in the demand for transgenic pesticidal corn in the Philippines}, volume={180}, ISSN={["1873-6106"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106883}, abstractNote={We introduce a novel econometric approach to estimate economic pest control feedbacks within agroecological systems, using discrete choice endogenous sorting models. We apply this approach to deployment of transgenic Bt maize in the Philippines. We show with basic theory how areawide pest suppression from largescale Bt maize deployment attenuates farmers' demand for this technology. Econometric results support this hypothesis and imply long-run demand for the Bt trait is price-inelastic, contrasting with price-elastic demand estimated from a model without feedback. Investigating whether this feedback truly derives from areawide pest suppression, we analyze farmers' pest infestation expectations and find expected damages are significantly reduced by higher areawide Bt deployment. We discuss implications of these findings and other potential applications of the econometric approach to study coupled biological and economic systems.}, journal={ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS}, author={Brown, Zachary S. and Connor, Lawson and Rejesus, Roderick M. and Yorobe, Jose M., Jr.}, year={2021}, month={Feb} }
@article{jones_delborne_elsensohn_mitchell_brown_2019, title={Does the U.S. public support using gene drives in agriculture? And what do they want to know?}, volume={5}, ISSN={2375-2548}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aau8462}, DOI={10.1126/sciadv.aau8462}, abstractNote={With gene drives for agricultural pest control on the horizon, a survey suggests the public is receptive but concerned about risk.}, number={9}, journal={Science Advances}, publisher={American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)}, author={Jones, Michael S. and Delborne, Jason A. and Elsensohn, Johanna and Mitchell, Paul D. and Brown, Zachary S.}, year={2019}, month={Sep}, pages={eaau8462} }
@inbook{brown_jones_mumford_2019, title={Economic principles and concepts in area-wide genetic pest management.}, ISBN={9781786393678}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1079/9781786393678.0096}, DOI={10.1079/9781786393678.0096}, abstractNote={Abstract
The objective of the article was to explore the key economic principles for the inclusion of genetically engineered insects within integrated pest management (IPM) programmes, discussing proposed examples with agriculture and health applications.}, booktitle={The economics of integrated pest management of insects}, publisher={CABI}, author={Brown, Z. S. and Jones, M. S. and Mumford, J.}, year={2019}, pages={96–121} }
@article{carrière_brown_downes_gujar_epstein_omoto_storer_mota-sanchez_søgaard jørgensen_carroll_2019, title={Governing evolution: A socioecological comparison of resistance management for insecticidal transgenic Bt crops among four countries}, volume={49}, ISSN={0044-7447 1654-7209}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01167-0}, DOI={10.1007/s13280-019-01167-0}, abstractNote={Cooperative management of pest susceptibility to transgenic Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) crops is pursued worldwide in a variety of forms and to varying degrees of success depending on context. We examine this context using a comparative socioecological analysis of resistance management in Australia, Brazil, India, and the United States. We find that a shared understanding of resistance risks among government regulators, growers, and other actors is critical for effective governance. Furthermore, monitoring of grower compliance with resistance management requirements, surveillance of resistance, and mechanisms to support rapid implementation of remedial actions are essential to achieve desirable outcomes. Mandated resistance management measures, strong coordination between actors, and direct linkages between the group that appraises resistance risks and growers also appear to enhance prospects for effective governance. Our analysis highlights factors that could improve current governance systems and inform other initiatives to conserve susceptibility as a contribution to the cause of public good.}, number={1}, journal={Ambio}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Carrière, Yves and Brown, Zachary S. and Downes, Sharon J. and Gujar, Govind and Epstein, Graham and Omoto, Celso and Storer, Nicholas P. and Mota-Sanchez, David and Søgaard Jørgensen, Peter and Carroll, Scott P.}, year={2019}, month={Mar}, pages={1–16} }
@article{brown_carter_gould_2018, title={An Introduction to the Proceedings of the Environmental Release of Engineered Pests: Building an International Governance Framework}, volume={12}, ISSN={1753-6561}, url={https://bmcproc.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12919-018-0105-1}, DOI={10.1186/s12919-018-0105-1}, abstractNote={In October 2016, a two-day meeting of 65 academic, government and industry professionals was held at North Carolina State University for early-stage discussions about the international governance of gene drives: potentially powerful new technologies that can be used for the control of pests, invasive species and disease vectors. Presenters at the meeting prepared seven manuscripts elaborating on the ideas raised. This BMC Proceedings issue presents the collection of these peer-reviewed manuscripts.}, number={Suppl 8}, journal={BMC Proc}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Brown, Z.S. and Carter, L. and Gould, F.}, year={2018}, pages={10} }
@misc{jorgensen_aktipis_brown_carriere_downes_dunn_epstein_frisvold_hawthorne_grohn_et al._2018, title={Antibiotic and pesticide susceptibility and the Anthropocene operating space}, volume={1}, ISSN={["2398-9629"]}, DOI={10.1038/s41893-018-0164-3}, number={11}, journal={NATURE SUSTAINABILITY}, publisher={Springer Nature America, Inc}, author={Jorgensen, Peter Sogaard and Aktipis, Athena and Brown, Zachary and Carriere, Yves and Downes, Sharon and Dunn, Robert R. and Epstein, Graham and Frisvold, George B. and Hawthorne, David and Grohn, Yrjo T. and et al.}, year={2018}, month={Nov}, pages={632–641} }
@book{epa scientific advisory panel 2018 meeting report on resistance to lepidopteran pests to bacillus thuringiensis (bt) plant incorporated protectants (pips) in the united states_2018, url={https://www.regulations.gov/document?D=EPA-HQ-OPP-2017-0617-0078}, number={Federal Docket ID EPA-HQ-OPP-2017-0617}, year={2018} }
@article{miteva_brown_2018, title={Impact of land tenure insecurity on investment: Evidence from northern Uganda}, volume={6}, number={1}, journal={The Ghanaian Journal of Economics}, author={Miteva, D. and Brown, Z.S.}, year={2018}, pages={21–42} }
@article{dalaba_alirigia_mesenbring_coffey_brown_hannigan_wiedinmyer_oduro_dickinson_2018, title={Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG) Supply and Demand for Cooking in Northern Ghana}, volume={15}, ISSN={["1612-9210"]}, url={https://doi.org/10.1007/s10393-018-1351-4}, DOI={10.1007/s10393-018-1351-4}, abstractNote={Like many other countries, Ghana relies on biomass (mainly wood and charcoal) for most of its cooking needs. A national action plan aims to expand liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) access to 50% of the country's population by 2020. While the country's southern urban areas have made progress toward this goal, LPG use for cooking remains low in the north. The aim of this cross-sectional study was to characterize the current state of the LPG market in this area and examine opportunities and barriers to scale up LPG adoption. We interviewed 16 LPG suppliers (stove, cylinder, and fuel vendors) as well as 592 households in the Kassena-Nankana Districts (KND) of Ghana. We find large rural-urban differences in LPG uptake: less than 10% of rural households own LPG stoves compared with over half of urban households. Awareness of LPG is high across the region, but accessibility of fuel supply is highly limited, with just one refilling station located in the KND. Affordability is perceived as the main barrier to LPG adoption, and acceptability is also limited by widespread concerns about the safety of cooking with LPG. Transitioning to a cylinder recirculation model, and providing more targeted subsidies and credit options, should be explored to expand access to cleaner cooking in this region.}, number={4}, journal={EcoHealth}, publisher={Springer Nature}, author={Dalaba, M. and Alirigia, R. and Mesenbring, E. and Coffey, E. and Brown, Z.S. and Hannigan, M. and Wiedinmyer, C. and Oduro, A. and Dickinson, K.L.}, year={2018}, month={Dec}, pages={716–728} }
@article{liquified petroleum gas (lpg) supply and demand for cooking in northern ghana_2018, DOI={10.60692/86ja2-qfa40}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2018}, month={Aug} }
@article{liquified petroleum gas (lpg) supply and demand for cooking in northern ghana_2018, DOI={10.60692/pbref-hqk74}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2018}, month={Aug} }
@article{dickinson_dalaba_brown_alirigia_coffey_mesenbring_achazanaga_agao_ali_kanyomse_et al._2018, title={Prices, peers, and perceptions (P3): study protocol for improved biomass cookstove project in northern Ghana}, volume={18}, ISSN={["1471-2458"]}, DOI={10.1186/s12889-018-6116-z}, abstractNote={Despite their potential health and social benefits, adoption and use of improved cookstoves has been low throughout much of the world. Explanations for low adoption rates of these technologies include prices that are not affordable for the target populations, limited opportunities for households to learn about cookstoves through peers, and perceptions that these technologies are not appropriate for local cooking needs. The P3 project employs a novel experimental design to explore each of these factors and their interactive effects on cookstove demand, adoption, use and exposure outcomes. The P3 study is being conducted in the Kassena-Nankana Districts of Northern Ghana. Leveraging an earlier improved cookstove study that was conducted in this area, the central design of the P3 biomass stove experiment involves offering stoves at randomly varying prices to peers and non-peers of households that had previously received stoves for free. Using household surveys, electronic stove use monitors, and low-cost, portable monitoring equipment, we measure how prices and peers' experience affect perceptions of stove quality, the decision to purchase a stove, use of improved and traditional stoves over time, and personal exposure to air pollutants from the stoves. The challenges that public health and development communities have faced in spreading adoption of potentially welfare-enhancing technologies, like improved cookstoves, have highlighted the need for interdisciplinary, multisectoral approaches. The design of the P3 project draws on economic theory, public health practice, engineering, and environmental sciences, to more fully grasp the drivers and barriers to expanding access to and uptake of cleaner stoves. Our partnership between academic institutions, in the US and Ghana, and a local environmental non-governmental organization creates unique opportunities to disseminate and scale up lessons learned. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03617952 7/31/18 (Retrospectively Registered).}, number={1}, journal={BMC PUBLIC HEALTH}, publisher={Springer Nature America, Inc}, author={Dickinson, Katherine L. and Dalaba, Maxwell and Brown, Zachary S. and Alirigia, Rex and Coffey, Evan R. and Mesenbring, Elise and Achazanaga, Manies and Agao, Desmond and Ali, Moro and Kanyomse, Ernest and et al.}, year={2018}, month={Oct} }
@article{prices, peers, and perceptions (p3): study protocol for improved biomass cookstove project in northern ghana_2018, DOI={10.60692/rzvxg-yvx98}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2018}, month={Oct} }
@article{prices, peers, and perceptions (p3): study protocol for improved biomass cookstove project in northern ghana_2018, DOI={10.60692/zmhjp-90589}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2018}, month={Oct} }
@article{brown_2018, title={Voluntary programs to encourage compliance with refuge regulations for pesticide resistance management: evidence from a quasi-experiment}, volume={100}, url={https://cenrep.ncsu.edu/publications/wp17-015/}, DOI={10.1093/ajae/aay004}, abstractNote={AbstractEconomists often treat pesticide resistance as a common‐pool resource problem. While pecuniary economic incentives are the standard prescription for open‐access market failures arising from such resources, non‐pecuniary behavioral approaches (e.g., “nudges”) are also effective in some cases. Yet non‐pecuniary instruments have not previously been evaluated for managing pesticide resistance. I empirically evaluate the performance of such an intervention to manage pest resistance to genetically engineered Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) corn. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency permits sale of Bt seed conditional on seed producers compelling customers to plant mandated levels of non‐Bt refuge to delay the evolution of Bt resistance. Because of compliance challenges, the Bt seed producer Monsanto piloted a social marketing program to promote refuge in 17 North Carolina counties in 2013–2014. Using 2013–2016 sales data, I use difference‐in‐differences, fractional regression, discrete changes‐in‐changes, and matched differences econometric models to identify the average treatment effect of the program on refuge planting. Results suggest that if it had covered all corn growers in North Carolina, the intervention would have led the average grower to plant between 2.6% (preferred estimate) and 5.8% more refuge in 2014 compared to the counterfactual. The program increased by at least 12% the average probability of planting any refuge in 2014. I find little evidence that effects of the program persisted in subsequent years after cessation, nor that the program increased compliance with mandated refuge thresholds. Informed by behavioral economics research on other environmental and resource policies, I discuss the implications of these findings for pesticide resistance management.}, number={3}, journal={American Journal of Agricultural Economics}, publisher={Oxford University Press (OUP)}, author={Brown, Z.S.}, year={2018}, pages={844–867} }
@article{gould_brown_kuzma_2018, title={Wicked evolution: Can we address the sociobiological dilemma of pesticide resistance?}, volume={360}, ISSN={0036-8075 1095-9203}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aar3780}, DOI={10.1126/science.aar3780}, abstractNote={Resistance to insecticides and herbicides has cost billions of U.S. dollars in the agricultural sector and could result in millions of lives lost to insect-vectored diseases. We mostly continue to use pesticides as if resistance is a temporary issue that will be addressed by commercialization of new pesticides with novel modes of action. However, current evidence suggests that insect and weed evolution may outstrip our ability to replace outmoded chemicals and other control mechanisms. To avoid this outcome, we must address the mix of ecological, genetic, economic, and sociopolitical factors that prevent implementation of sustainable pest management practices. We offer an ambitious proposition.}, number={6390}, journal={Science}, publisher={American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)}, author={Gould, Fred and Brown, Zachary S. and Kuzma, Jennifer}, year={2018}, month={May}, pages={728–732} }
@article{kuzma_gould_brown_collins_delborne_frow_esvelt_guston_leitschuh_oye_et al._2018, title={A roadmap for gene drives: using institutional analysis and development to frame research needs and governance in a systems context}, volume={5}, ISSN={2329-9460 2329-9037}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23299460.2017.1410344}, DOI={10.1080/23299460.2017.1410344}, abstractNote={ABSTRACTThe deployment of gene drives is emerging as an alternative for protecting endangered species, controlling agricultural pests, and reducing vector-borne diseases. This paper reports on a workshop held in February 2016 to explore the complex intersection of political, economic, ethical, and ecological risk issues associated with gene drives. Workshop participants were encouraged to use systems thinking and mapping to describe the connections among social, policy, economic, and ecological variables as they intersect within governance systems. In this paper, we analyze the workshop transcripts and maps using the Institutional Analysis and Development (IAD) framework to categorize variables associated with gene drive governance and account for the complexities of socio-ecological systems. We discuss how the IAD framework can be used in the future to test hypotheses about how features of governance systems might lead to certain outcomes and inform the design of research programs, public engagement, and...}, number={S1}, journal={Journal of Responsible Innovation}, publisher={Taylor & Francis}, author={Kuzma, J. and Gould, F. and Brown, Z. and Collins, J. and Delborne, J. and Frow, E. and Esvelt, K. and Guston, D. and Leitschuh, C. and Oye, K. and et al.}, year={2018}, pages={S13–S39} }
@article{mitchell_brown_mcroberts_2017, title={Economic issues to consider for gene drives}, volume={5}, ISSN={2329-9460 2329-9037}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23299460.2017.1407914}, DOI={10.1080/23299460.2017.1407914}, abstractNote={ABSTRACTWe examine four economic issues regarding gene drive applications made possible by gene editing technologies. First, whether gene drives are self-sustaining or self-limiting will largely determine which types of organizations have incentives to develop and deploy gene drives and greatly influence their governance and regulation. Social factors will also play key roles, particularly public perceptions, with these perceptions co-determined with regulation and governance. Second, gene drive applications will generate unintended negative social impacts that will partially offset benefits. Third, economic surplus, the traditional measure of economic benefits, incompletely captures the welfare impacts of gene drive applications. Fourth, gene drives imply dynamic nonlinearities that make identifying economic equilibria and general policy recommendations challenging. The potentially substantial benefits, coupled with the technical, social, and economic uncertainties surrounding gene drives, suggest that a...}, number={sup1}, journal={Journal of Responsible Innovation}, publisher={Informa UK Limited}, author={Mitchell, Paul D. and Brown, Zachary and McRoberts, Neil}, year={2017}, month={Dec}, pages={S180–S202} }
@article{brown_kramer_2017, title={Preference Heterogeneity in the Structural Estimation of Efficient Pigovian Incentives for Insecticide Spraying to Reduce Malaria}, volume={70}, ISSN={0924-6460 1573-1502}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10640-017-0115-x}, DOI={10.1007/s10640-017-0115-x}, number={1}, journal={Environmental and Resource Economics}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Brown, Zachary S. and Kramer, Randall A.}, year={2017}, month={Jan}, pages={169–190} }
@article{miteva_kramer_brown_smith_2017, title={SPATIAL PATTERNS OF MARKET PARTICIPATION AND RESOURCE EXTRACTION: FUELWOOD COLLECTION IN NORTHERN UGANDA}, volume={99}, ISSN={["1467-8276"]}, DOI={10.1093/ajae/aax027}, abstractNote={AbstractWhile distance to markets is a key determinant of market participation for households that are dependent on natural resources, the distance to the resource stock is also essential. Thus, a household's location with respect to markets and the resource stock determines household market participation and associated resource degradation. Applying a discrete‐choice framework for fuelwood collection in a developing country, we characterize the spatial pattern of market participation regimes and forest use. All else being equal, autarkic households are closest to the forest and furthest from the market, buyer households are closest to the market and furthest from the forest, and seller households are at intermediate distances. Empirical tests based on survey data from northern Uganda support the predictions from our theoretical model. Our findings have important implications for understanding the spatial patterns of forest degradation and determining the control group when designing impact evaluations of the effectiveness of development and conservation interventions.}, number={4}, journal={AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS}, publisher={Oxford University Press (OUP)}, author={Miteva, Daniela A. and Kramer, Randall A. and Brown, Zachary S. and Smith, Martin D.}, year={2017}, month={Jul}, pages={1008–1026} }
@article{brown_2017, title={The Economics, Regulation and International Implications of Gene Drives in Agriculture}, volume={Quarter 2}, url={http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/submitted-articles/economic-regulatory-and-international-implications-of-gene-drives-in-agriculture}, journal={Choices}, author={Brown, Z.S.}, year={2017} }
@article{brown_kramer_ocan_oryema_2016, title={Household perceptions and subjective valuations of indoor residual spraying programmes to control malaria in northern Uganda}, volume={5}, ISSN={["2049-9957"]}, DOI={10.1186/s40249-016-0190-1}, abstractNote={Insecticide-based tools remain critical for controlling vector-borne diseases in Uganda. Securing public support from targeted populations for such tools is an important component in sustaining their long-run effectiveness. Yet little quantitative evidence is available on the perceived benefits and costs of vector control programmes among targeted households.A survey was administered to a clustered random sample of 612 households in Gulu and Oyam districts of northern Uganda during a period of very high malaria transmission and following a pilot indoor residual spray (IRS) programme. A discrete choice experiment was conducted within the survey, in which respondents indicated their preferences for different IRS programmes relative to money compensation in a series of experimentally controlled, hypothetical choice sets. The data were analysed using conditional logit regression models to estimate respondents' willingness to accept (WTA) some amount of money compensation in lieu of foregone malaria risk reductions. Latent class models were used to analyse whether respondent characteristics predicted WTA.Average WTA is estimated at $8.94 annually for a 10 % reduction in malaria risk, and additional co-benefits of IRS were estimated to be worth on average $54-$56 (depending on insecticide type) per round of IRS. Significant heterogeneity is observed: Four in five household heads in northern Uganda have high valuations for IRS programmes, while the remaining 20 % experience costly side effects of IRS (valued at between $2 and $3 per round). Statistically significant predictors of belonging to the high-value group include respondent gender, mean age of household members, participation in previous IRS, basic knowledge of mosquito reproduction, and the number of mosquito nets owned. Proxies for household income and wealth are not found to be statistically significant predictors of WTA.This study suggests that the majority of people in areas of high malaria transmission like northern Uganda place a high value on vector control programmes using IRS. However, there is significant heterogeneity in terms of the perceived side effects (positive and negative). This has implications for sustaining public support for these programmes in the long-term.}, number={1}, journal={INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF POVERTY}, publisher={Springer Nature}, author={Brown, Zachary S. and Kramer, Randall A. and Ocan, David and Oryema, Christine}, year={2016}, month={Oct} }
@article{household perceptions and subjective valuations of indoor residual spraying programmes to control malaria in northern uganda_2016, DOI={10.60692/4a20e-awx75}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2016}, month={Oct} }
@article{household perceptions and subjective valuations of indoor residual spraying programmes to control malaria in northern uganda_2016, DOI={10.60692/qph91-kvv03}, journal={OpenAlex}, year={2016}, month={Oct} }
@article{brown_oueslati_silva_2016, title={Links between urban structure and life satisfaction in a cross-section of OECD metro areas}, volume={129}, ISSN={["1873-6106"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.05.004}, abstractNote={Contemporary urban planning is often oriented towards encouraging compact cities and the prevention of sprawl. But relatively little empirical work has quantitatively examined how land-use fragmentation, population density and compactness determine individual wellbeing. We analyse the relationship between these aspects of urban structure and life satisfaction in 33 cities distributed across five OECD countries. We create a unique dataset merging a household survey on environmental attitudes and behaviours in these countries with geospatial data on a number of indicators related to urban structure. In support of standard urban economic theory, we find a life satisfaction trade-off in terms of households' home sizes and distances to the urban core. A novel finding from the analysis is that the degree of local land-use fragmentation around households' residence is associated strongly and negatively with life satisfaction. We also find suggestive evidence that city centralization (the relative proportion of the population living in the core) decreases life satisfaction on average for individuals residing both within and outside the core.}, journal={ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Brown, Zachary S. and Oueslati, Walid and Silva, Jerome}, year={2016}, month={Sep}, pages={112–121} }
@article{kim_brown_anderson_mutero_miranda_wiener_kramer_2017, title={The Value of Information in Decision-Analytic Modeling for Malaria Vector Control in East Africa}, volume={37}, ISSN={["1539-6924"]}, DOI={10.1111/risa.12606}, abstractNote={Decision analysis tools and mathematical modeling are increasingly emphasized in malaria control programs worldwide to improve resource allocation and address ongoing challenges with sustainability. However, such tools require substantial scientific evidence, which is costly to acquire. The value of information (VOI) has been proposed as a metric for gauging the value of reduced model uncertainty. We apply this concept to an evidenced‐based Malaria Decision Analysis Support Tool (MDAST) designed for application in East Africa. In developing MDAST, substantial gaps in the scientific evidence base were identified regarding insecticide resistance in malaria vector control and the effectiveness of alternative mosquito control approaches, including larviciding. We identify four entomological parameters in the model (two for insecticide resistance and two for larviciding) that involve high levels of uncertainty and to which outputs in MDAST are sensitive. We estimate and compare a VOI for combinations of these parameters in evaluating three policy alternatives relative to a status quo policy. We find having perfect information on the uncertain parameters could improve program net benefits by up to 5–21%, with the highest VOI associated with jointly eliminating uncertainty about reproductive speed of malaria‐transmitting mosquitoes and initial efficacy of larviciding at reducing the emergence of new adult mosquitoes. Future research on parameter uncertainty in decision analysis of malaria control policy should investigate the VOI with respect to other aspects of malaria transmission (such as antimalarial resistance), the costs of reducing uncertainty in these parameters, and the extent to which imperfect information about these parameters can improve payoffs.}, number={2}, journal={RISK ANALYSIS}, publisher={Wiley}, author={Kim, Dohyeong and Brown, Zachary and Anderson, Richard and Mutero, Clifford and Miranda, Marie Lynn and Wiener, Jonathan and Kramer, Randall}, year={2017}, month={Feb}, pages={231–244} }
@inbook{trasande_brown_2015, place={Maidenhead, UK}, title={Addressing environmental risks for child health}, url={https://books.google.com/books?id=COrSCgAAQBAJ&lpg=PA169&ots=CAuZbBcuiL&lr&pg=PA169#v=onepage&q&f=false}, booktitle={Promoting health, preventing disease: the economic case}, publisher={World Health Organization, Open University Press}, author={Trasande, L. and Brown, Z.S.}, editor={McDaid, D. and Sassi, F. and Merkur, S.Editors}, year={2015} }
@book{brown_alvarez_johnstone_2015, series={OECD Environment Working Papers}, title={Tender instruments: programme participation and impact in australian conservation tenders, grants and volunteer organisations}, url={https://ideas.repec.org/p/oec/envaaa/85-en.html}, DOI={10.1787/5js4k0t30hvc-en}, abstractNote={A striking variety of policy instruments are used in Victoria, Australia to achieve conservation objectives. These include highly active voluntary programmes, a variety of conservation grants, and a reverse auction for the provision of ecosystem services, known as EcoTender. An open question regarding such payments for ecosystem services (i.e. grants and tenders) is whether they achieve ‘additionality.’ That is, do they lead to conservation above the status quo? Critics of these instruments allege that the majority of funds for such programmes are merely paying individuals for conservation work they are already doing. A related concern is that monetary incentives for conservation may skew landowners’ motives more towards monetary concerns, and erode nature conservation values. The practical implication of this ‘moral crowding out’ is that, if funding is ever suspended for conservation grants or EcoTenders, then conservation may decline below its original, pre-programme level. To investigate both of these concerns, a telephone survey was conducted with 266 farmers in Victoria. Analysis of the data suggests that there is a strong correlation between stated levels of own-property conservation effort and activity in local volunteer groups, as well as having received a conservation grant or tender. However, this does not address the additionality question, because landowners already engaged in such efforts may be more likely to be awarded grants or tenders. This presents an endogeneity problem. While panel data are ultimately necessary to answer this question definitively, application of instrumental variables methods provides some insight. The methods imply that grants and tenders may achieve ‘additionality’ only when they reach those otherwise uninvolved with conservation programmes, in particular those not volunteering. This suggests that conservation tenders can improve their cost-effectiveness by increasing participation among those not already volunteering in other conservation programmes. Meanwhile, there is fairly strong evidence in the data for the potential for moral-crowding-out; tender or grant receipt appears to shift stated motivations towards more monetary concerns. However, the practical implications of this finding – that is, whether this erosion of attitudes translates in blunted conservation efforts – remain unknown. Des instruments d’une etonnante diversite sont utilises dans l’Etat de Victoria, en Australie, pour atteindre les objectifs de protection de l’environnement. Il existe ainsi des programmes volontaires tres actifs, tout un eventail de subventions et un systeme d’encheres inversees applique a la fourniture de services ecosystemiques, appele EcoTender. Toutefois, une question se pose au sujet de ces mecanismes (subventions et appels d’offres) : repondent-ils au critere d’« additionnalite » ? Autrement dit, la protection qu’ils assurent est-elle superieure a celle qui existe dans le statu quo ? D’apres leurs detracteurs, les fonds verses en application de ces instruments ne font que retribuer, dans leur majeure partie, des activites de protection de l’environnement que leurs beneficiaires exercent deja. De meme, on peut craindre que les incitations pecuniaires ne faussent les motivations des proprietaires fonciers et que les mobiles financiers ne prennent le pas sur la portee morale de la sauvegarde de la nature. Concretement, cette « eviction de la motivation morale » a pour effet que, si le financement des subventions ou d’EcoTender est interrompu a un moment ou un autre, la protection risque de descendre en dessous du niveau ou elle s’etablissait avant le recours a ces instruments. Pour evaluer le bien-fonde de ce scepticisme, une enquete telephonique a ete menee aupres de 266 agriculteurs du Victoria. L’analyse des donnees indique qu’il existe une forte correlation entre, d’une part, le niveau qu’un proprietaire attribue aux activites de protection qu’il mene sur sa propriete meme et, d’autre part, ses activites benevoles dans les associations locales et le fait qu’il ait beneficie d’une subvention ou ait remporte un appel d’offres. Neanmoins, cela ne repond pas a la question de l’additionnalite, dans la mesure ou les proprietaires fonciers qui protegent deja le milieu sont peut-etre plus susceptibles de recevoir des subventions ou de gagner un appel d’offres. Nous rencontrons ici un probleme d’endogeneite. Des donnees de panel sont en derniere analyse necessaires pour trancher la question, mais le recours a la methode des variables instrumentales apporte un eclairage. Dans ce cas, on suppose que les subventions et les appels d’offres ne remplissent le critere d’additionnalite que s’ils beneficient a ceux qui ne participent pas a des programmes de protection de l’environnement dans un autre cadre, en particulier a ceux qui ne font pas de benevolat. Il en ressort que les appels d’offres ecologiques peuvent presenter un meilleur rapport cout-efficacite si des candidats n’etant pas deja benevoles dans des programmes de protection de l’environnement sont plus nombreux a y participer. Cependant, les donnees semblent attester assez nettement qu’il existe un risque d’eviction de la motivation morale : se voir attribuer un marche ou une subvention fait pencher les motivations declarees du cote de l’interet pecuniaire. Les consequences concretes de cette observation (les activites spontanees de protection, sur le terrain, s’en trouvent-t-elles diminuees ?) restent toutefois inconnues.}, number={85858585}, journal={OECD Environment Working Papers}, institution={OECD Publishing}, author={Brown, Z.S. and Alvarez, B. and Johnstone, N.}, year={2015}, collection={OECD Environment Working Papers} }
@article{brown_johnstone_2014, title={Better the devil you throw: Experience and support for pay-as-you-throw waste charges}, volume={38}, ISSN={["1873-6416"]}, DOI={10.1016/j.envsci.2013.11.007}, abstractNote={Environmental taxes have long been proposed as an efficient means of improving the fiscal solvency of governments, while at the same time correcting for environmental externalities. However, public support for environmental taxes is often low, making the implementation of these instruments politically challenging in some settings. Scholars have explored the reasons for this broad, negative attitude towards environmental taxes, especially since these taxes are by design supposed to be welfare-improving. But previous empirical analysis on this topic is sparse and limited in context. Here, we empirically analyze support for environmental taxes across four countries, using a household survey on environmental attitudes, behaviour and policy exposure conducted by OECD during 2011. The environmental tax we focus on is pay-as-you-throw (PAYT) charges for mixed waste collection. Looking at expressed levels of support for PAYT charges, we find that people who are exposed to such systems tend to be significantly more supportive of them. This indicates that ex ante public resistance to such schemes is likely to dissipate following their introduction, a pattern which is supported by other, anecdotal reports and by lab experiments with generic Pigouvian taxes which we summarize in the literature review.}, journal={ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Brown, Zachary S. and Johnstone, Nick}, year={2014}, month={Apr}, pages={132–142} }
@book{brown_2014, series={OECD Environment Working Papers}, title={Greening Household Behaviour: Cross-Domain comparisons in environmental attitudes and behaviours using spatial effects}, url={https://ideas.repec.org/p/oec/envaaa/68-en.html}, DOI={10.1787/5jxrclsj8z7b-en}, abstractNote={Discussions of the importance of public attitudes in shaping policy often lack clear evidence on causal relations between stated attitudes and observed behaviours. The 2011 OECD Survey of over 12,000 households allows analysing households’ environmental attitudes and behaviours in five different domains (electricity, food, transport, waste and water). Using econometric analysis, we investigate the relationship between stated environmental attitudes and indicators of civic engagement, such as voting in local elections, charity membership and membership in environmental organisations... La reflexion sur le role des attitudes du public dans l’elaboration des politiques manque souvent d’elements probants au sujet du lien de causalite existant entre les attitudes declarees et les comportements observes. L’enquete realisee par l’OCDE en 2011 aupres de plus de 12 000 menages permet d’analyser leurs attitudes et comportements environnementaux dans cinq domaines distincts (electricite, alimentation, transports, dechets et eau). Sur la base d’une analyse econometrique, on etudie ce qui lie les attitudes environnementales declarees a differentes formes d’engagement civique, telles que voter aux elections locales, s’impliquer au sein d’une oeuvre caritative et etre membre d’une association de defense de l’environnement.}, number={68686868}, journal={OECD Environment Working Papers}, institution={OECD Publishing}, author={Brown, Z.S.}, year={2014}, collection={OECD Environment Working Papers} }
@book{serret_brown_2014, series={OECD Environment Working Papers}, title={Greening Household Behaviour: Overview of Results from Econometric Analysis and Policy Implications}, url={https://ideas.repec.org/p/oec/envaaa/79-en.html#more}, DOI={10.1787/5jxrcllt1kq5-en}, abstractNote={The second round of the OECD Survey on Environmental Policy for Individual Behaviour Change (EPIC) was implemented in 2011. A publication providing an overview of the survey data from over 12 000 households in eleven countries (Australia, Canada, Chile, France, Israel, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland) is available.1 Follow-up econometric analyses were conducted in each of the thematic areas covered (energy, food, transport, waste and water), as well as on cross-domain comparisons in environmental attitudes and behaviours.2 This report presents a synthesis of main results from econometric analysis using the data from the 2011 EPIC survey, as well as policy implications. La deuxieme edition de l'enquete de l'OCDE sur la politique de l'environnement et le comportement individuel (EPIC) a ete realisee en 2011. Une publication offrant une premiere vue d’ensemble des donnees recueillies aupres de plus de 12 000 menages dans onze pays (Australie, Canada, Chili, Coree, Espagne, France, Israel, Japon, Pays-Bas, Suede et Suisse) est disponible.3 Des analyses econometriques complementaires ont ensuite ete effectuees dans chacun des domaines thematiques consideres (energie, alimentation, transports, dechets et eau). Les attitudes et les comportements vis-a-vis de l’environnement ont par ailleurs fait l’objet de comparaisons transversales.4 Ce rapport presente une synthese des principaux resultats des analyses econometriques realisees a partir des donnees de l'enquete de 2011 ainsi que les implications pour les politiques publiques.}, number={79797979}, journal={OECD Environment Working Papers}, institution={OECD Publishing}, author={Serret, Y. and Brown, Z.S.}, year={2014}, collection={OECD Environment Working Papers} }
@book{brown_2013, title={Background information on the assessment of alternatives to DDT}, url={http://chm.pops.int/TheConvention/POPsReviewCommittee/Meetings/POPRC7/POPRC7Documents/tabid/2267/ctl/Download/mid/7443/Default.aspx?id=23&ObjID=12892}, note={UNEP/POPS/POPRC.7/INF/19}, number={UNEP/POPS/POPRC.7/INF/19}, institution={Stockholm Convention Secretariat}, author={Brown, Z.S.}, year={2013} }
@book{brown_johnstone_serret-itzicsohn_economic co-operation_2013, title={Greening household behaviour: overview from the 2011 survey}, ISBN={978-92-64-18082-6 978-92-64-18137-3}, note={OCLC: 851255257}, author={Brown, Zachary and Johnstone, Nick and Serret-Itzicsohn, Yse and Economic Co-operation, Organisation}, year={2013} }
@article{brown_dickinson_kramer_2013, title={Insecticide resistance and malaria vector control: The importance of fitness cost mechanisms in determining economically optimal control trajectories}, volume={106}, url={http://jee.oxfordjournals.org/content/106/1/366.abstract}, DOI={10.1603/ec11365}, abstractNote={ABSTRACT The evolutionary dynamics of insecticide resistance in harmful arthropods has economic implications, not only for the control of agricultural pests (as has been well studied), but also for the control of disease vectors, such as malaria-transmitting Anopheles mosquitoes. Previous economic work on insecticide resistance illustrates the policy relevance of knowing whether insecticide resistance mutations involve fitness costs. Using a theoretical model, this article investigates economically optimal strategies for controlling malaria-transmitting mosquitoes when there is the potential for mosquitoes to evolve resistance to insecticides. Consistent with previous literature, we find that fitness costs are a key element in the computation of economically optimal resistance management strategies. Additionally, our models indicate that different biological mechanisms underlying these fitness costs (e.g., increased adult mortality and/or decreased fecundity) can significantly alter economically optimal resistance management strategies.}, number={1}, journal={Journal of Economic Entomology}, publisher={Oxford University Press (OUP)}, author={Brown, Z.S. and Dickinson, K. and Kramer, R.A.}, year={2013}, pages={366–374} }
@book{silva_brown_2013, series={OECD Statistics Working Papers}, title={More than the Sum of their Parts: Valuing Environmental Quality by Combining Life Satisfaction Surveys and GIS Data}, url={http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/economics/more-than-the-sum-of-their-parts-valuing-environmental-quality-by-combining-life-satisfaction-surveys-and-gis-data_5k4840hfpwkb-en}, DOI={10.1787/5k4840hfpwkb-en}, abstractNote={While environmental economics studies using stated life satisfaction data have been gaining attention, much of this body of work remains exploratory. In this study we contribute to this emerging body of research by combining OECD survey data from four European countries on life satisfaction and perceptions of environmental quality with independent (i.e. mechanical) measurements of air quality and urbanity, from the European Environment Agency, to provide a broad picture of the environmental determinants of life satisfaction, and monetary valuation of air quality improvements. We also estimate that the value of a 1% reduction in air pollution (measured as mean annual PM10 concentrations) is worth the same on average as a 0.71% increase in per capita income. We find that environments which respondents perceive as noisy and lacking in access to green space have a significantly detrimental impact on life satisfaction. However, controlling for these negative factors (air, noise, and lack of green space), we also find a large positive residual impact of urban environments on life satisfaction. The use of independent, GIS-based measures of urbanity (proportion of urban surface area around households), as opposed to survey-based stated perceptions of urbanity, increases the precision of estimated air quality impacts on life satisfaction. Taken as a whole, our analysis highlights the need for conducting LS-based environmental assessment and valuation exercises using a broad array of independent data sources, in order both to obtain unbiased regression estimates and to facilitate interpretation of these estimates. Alors que les etudes sur l’economie de l’environnement qui font appel a des donnees sur la satisfaction declaree a l’egard de l’existence suscitent un interet grandissant, ces travaux conservent pour beaucoup d’entre eux un caractere exploratoire. Dans cette etude, nous apportons une contribution a ce domaine de recherche emergent en combinant des donnees issues d’enquetes menees par l’OCDE dans quatre pays europeens sur la satisfaction a l’egard de la vie et la qualite percue de l’environnement, avec des mesures independantes (mecaniques) de la qualite de l’air et du caractere urbain provenant de l’Agence europeenne pour l’environnement, dans le but de dresser un tableau general des determinants environnementaux de la satisfaction a l’egard de la vie et de produire une evaluation monetaire des ameliorations de la qualite de l’air. Nous estimons egalement qu’une reduction de 1 % de la pollution de l’air (mesuree comme la concentration annuelle moyenne de PM10) a la meme valeur en moyenne qu’une hausse de 0.71 % du revenu par habitant. Nous constatons que les milieux percus par les repondants comme bruyants et manquant de possibilites d’acces a des espaces verts ont un effet negatif sensible sur la satisfaction a l’egard de la vie. Cependant, si nous neutralisons l’effet de ces facteurs negatifs (air, bruit et manque d’especes verts), nous observons aussi un fort impact residuel positif des milieux urbains sur la satisfaction a l’egard de la vie. Le fait de recourir a des systemes d’information geographique pour obtenir des mesures independantes du caractere urbain (en l’occurrence, la proportion de surfaces urbanisees autour du foyer), au lieu de s’en remettre aux appreciations sur ce point des repondants aux enquetes, permet des estimations plus precises de l’impact de la qualite de l’air sur la satisfaction a l’egard de la vie. Dans l’ensemble, notre analyse met en lumiere la necessite de faire appel a un large eventail de sources de donnees independantes pour conduire des evaluations environnementales fondees sur la satisfaction a l’egard de la vie, afin d’obtenir des estimations par regression sans biais et de faciliter l’interpretation de ces estimations.}, number={2013/012013/012013/012013/01}, journal={OECD Statistics Working Papers}, institution={OECD Publishing}, author={Silva, J. and Brown, Z.S.}, year={2013}, collection={OECD Statistics Working Papers} }
@article{brown_johnstone_haščič_vong_barascud_2013, title={Testing the effect of defaults on the thermostat settings of OECD employees}, volume={39}, url={http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988313000753}, DOI={10.1016/j.eneco.2013.04.011}, abstractNote={We describe a randomized controlled experiment in which the default settings on office thermostats in an OECD office building were manipulated during the winter heating season, and employees' chosen thermostat setting observed over a 6-week period. Using difference-in-differences, panel, and censored regression models (to control for maximum allowable thermostat settings), we find that a 1 °C decrease in the default caused a reduction in the chosen setting by 0.38 °C, on average. Sixty-five percent of this effect could be attributed to office occupant behavior (p-value = 0.044). The difference-in-differences models show that small decreases in the default (1°) led to a greater reduction in chosen settings than large decreases (2°). We also find that office occupants who were more apt to adjust their thermostats prior to the intervention were less susceptible to the default. We conclude that this kind of intervention can increase building-level energy efficiency, and discuss potential explanations and broader policy implications of our findings.}, journal={Energy Economics}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Brown, Z.S. and Johnstone, N. and Haščič, I. and Vong, L. and Barascud, F.}, year={2013}, pages={128–134} }
@book{brown_2018, title={Resistance in Lepidopteran Pests to Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) Plant Incorporated Protectants in the United States}, DOI={10.1007/978-94-007-2156-2_10}, number={Federal Docket ID EPA-HQ-OPP-2017-0617Federal Docket ID EPA-HQ-OPP-2017-0617}, author={Brown, Z.S.}, year={2018}, month={Jul} }
@article{bellemare_brown_2010, title={On the (Mis)Use of Wealth as a Proxy for Risk Aversion}, volume={92}, url={http://ajae.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2010/01/20/ajae.aap006.short}, DOI={10.1093/ajae/aap006}, abstractNote={AbstractTests of risk sharing in the contracting literature often rely on wealth as a proxy for risk aversion. The intuition behind these tests is that since contract choice is monotonic in the coefficients of risk aversion, which are themselves assumed monotonic in wealth, the effect of a change in wealth on contract choice is clearly identified. We show that tests of risk sharing relying on wealth as a proxy for risk aversion are identified only insofar as the econometrician is willing to assume that (a) the principal is risk neutral or her preferences exhibit constant absolute risk aversion (CARA); and (b) the agent is risk neutral.}, number={1}, journal={American Journal of Agricultural Economics}, publisher={Oxford University Press (OUP)}, author={Bellemare, M.F. and Brown, Z.S.}, year={2010}, pages={273–282} }